Idiocracy
788 posts

Idiocracy
@idiocr4cy
Executive Director of Nothing | Adjunct Fellow @ Nowhere, Advisor to nobody & Professional Observer of pointless conflicts | RTs not endorsements! Ξ ,#bitcoin
Katılım Eylül 2010
5.7K Takip Edilen706 Takipçiler
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This statement by Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, secretary of Iran’s SNSC and a longtime figure associated with the traditional IRGC-security establishment, is quite interesting in my opinion.
- At first reading what stands out is that diplomacy is not presented as an alternative to the “resistance” line, but as a continuation of it. The statement repeatedly argues that Iran resisted pressure, pushed the enemy back, and is now approaching “final victory” (an agreement I guess).
- In other words, the implicit message seems to be: negotiations are happening because Iran stood firm, not because it surrendered.
- I also think the text is important for another reason. Zolghadr is not a reformist or technocratic figure in the Rouhani-Zarif mold. He comes from the core security architecture of the system. The fact that he openly legitimizes the current negotiation phase may suggest that the process enjoys relatively broad consensus across major power centers in Tehran- from Mojtaba himself, the Office of the Supreme Leader, to parts of the military-security establishment.
- The line saying that “unity and cohesion are themselves another battlefield” is especially revealing. I guess this is partly about preventing internal polarization and ensuring that different factions do not openly undermine the negotiations during such a sensitive phase.
- That would mark an important difference compared to 2015, when parts of the security establishment often appeared far more skeptical of the nuclear talks.
- Of course, one should avoid overinterpreting a single statement. But overall, this reads to me less like a simple political message and more like a signal of internal discipline and vertical alignment inside the system during a delicate negotiating phase.
- Time will tell.
#Iran #IranWar

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An Iranian source told me the heavy gunfire heard near Bandar Abbas erupted after the IRGC targeted a vessel at sea, followed by U.S. fighter jets striking IRGC naval boats in the Gulf.
According to the source, several IRGC Navy personnel were killed in the attack.
“The situation is still unfolding,” the source said.
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مصدر إيراني رسمي أخبرني منذ قليل أن طهران أبلغت واشنطن بأن أي هجوم إسرائيلي على بيروت أو الضاحية الجنوبية من شأنه أن يعرّض الجهود الجارية لإنهاء الحرب لخطر جدي، وقد يؤدي إلى نسف المسار الدبلوماسي بالكامل.
Ali Hashem علي هاشم@Alihashem
An Iranian official source told me Tehran has warned Washington that any Israeli attacks on Beirut or the southern suburbs would seriously jeopardize ongoing efforts to end the war, and could derail the diplomatic track altogether.
العربية
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Netanyahu making his last stand?
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex
Three very loud blasts have been heard in Bandar Abbas in southern Iran, with the cause not yet known.
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Us offical about to make an unannounced trip to the middle east.
U.S. Government Jets@USGovJets
🧵(1/x) - USAF C-32A (SAM535) en route to Ramstein, Germany. Unknown who is on board. Departure: Joint Base Andrews (KADW) Destination: Ramstein Air Base (ETAR) Reg. 98-0002 | ICAO: ADFEB8
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An agreement in which Iran charges environmental and service fees for ships that pass the strait instead of tolls while also taking responsibility for clearing mines instead of outsourcing it to the U.S. or NATO would indicate that rather than trying to generate revenue from the waterway the deal is attended to affirm Iranian political influence over the strait such that access can be used as leverage to ensure sanctions remain lifted and a new war does not resume.
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