Il Poltrone 🛋️

2K posts

Il Poltrone 🛋️

Il Poltrone 🛋️

@ilpoltrone

realista senza peli sulla lingua. credo che il potere, l’identità e gli interessi nazionali guidino il mondo, non utopie liberal. la verità prima di tutto.

Italy Katılım Ağustos 2024
397 Takip Edilen73 Takipçiler
Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@MaxAbrahms "we want the war ended - but not yet" ≠ regional support. only israel pushed this war ("special relationship"?). gulf states are just happy to watch iran bleed from the sidelines. basic realism, prof. try it instead of making a fool of yourself defending the indefensible.
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Max Abrahms
Max Abrahms@MaxAbrahms·
New York Times & Washington Post are running multiple reports a day that Mearsheimer’s thesis about the Iran war is wrong. His thesis is that only Israel in the region supports the war so it must be fought for Israel. The countries in the region keep saying Mearsheimer’s wrong.
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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@Osint613 wait, you need help from us european nobodies? aren’t you already destroying them on your own? or do you want to admit THE MIGHTY TAG TEAM is in trouble and made a catastrophic mistake?
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
Once Germany and the EU were part of the world order. I understand not wanting to join war, but allowing the Islamic regime to keep leverage over the world is not a better option. It’s an unfortunate situation, but the reality.
Open Source Intel@Osint613

German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius on Iran: We have not been consulted before. Nobody asked us before. It’s not our war and therefore we don’t want to get sucked into that war. What we need is now a diplomatic solution as soon as possible.

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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
One of the biggest risks right now, if Israel and the U.S. don’t finish the job in Iran, the Islamic regime keeps the upper hand, using oil and the Strait of Hormuz as leverage. A fanatic Islamist regime in control.
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LimitLess
LimitLess@LimitlesCobz·
🚨 THE DOMINOES ARE FALLING. IN MONTHS, NOT YEARS. Here is the playbook for the rest of 2026. Screenshot this. Come back in December. Step 1 ⏳ Ceasefire announced in April. Strait of Hormuz opens. Trump declares victory. Headlines everywhere. Step 2 ⏳ "Talks continue." Markets rally. Everyone exhales. Step 3 ⏳ Sell in May. Smart money exits. Retail holds the bag. Step 4 ⏳ Re-escalation. Strait of Hormuz CLOSED again. Oil spikes past $120. Step 5 ⏳ Threat of nukes. Not a bluff this time. Carrier groups reposition. Step 6 ⏳ Market nukes. Circuit breakers triggered. $3,000,000,000,000+ wiped in a week. Step 7 ⏳ Ground invasion begins. Troops that "came home" go back. Casualties mount. Step 8 ⏳ China hints at Taiwan invasion while the US is buried in the Middle East. Step 9 ⏳ North Korea missile tests. Three fronts. One military. Step 10 ⏳ BTC drops below $50,000. Crypto winter 2.0. $900,000,000,000 in market cap GONE. Step 11 ⏳ Buy signal Q3/Q4. Blood in the streets. Generational entry. Step 12 ⏳ Printer goes BRRR. Emergency rate cuts. Fed capitulates. Step 13 ⏳ War ends. Not because of peace. Because of midterm elections. Step 14 ⏳ Bull market starts. The people who bought the blood become the next millionaires. The ceasefire is Step 1. Not the end. Everyone celebrating in April will be panicking by July. This is EXACTLY what happened in 2001, 2008, and 2020. THE SAME SEQUENCE IS PLAYING OUT RIGHT NOW. Bookmark this. Screenshot this. Come back in 90 days.
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Barak Ravid
Barak Ravid@BarakRavid·
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷״משמרות המהפכה יקצרו אותם״: נתניהו הציע לטראמפ בשבוע שעבר לקרוא לאזרחים באיראן להפיל את המשטר, נשיא ארה"ב התנגד. הפרטים בכתבה שלי ב-@N12News mako.co.il/news-world/202…
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Naftali Bennett נפתלי בנט
Yet another miserable statement by the irrelevant UN Secretary-General. He’s telling Iran it’s fine to continue killing innocent Israeli citizens, as long as they don’t hurt others. He has proven himself unfit for office and must decide whether he serves as a spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps or for the free world. He must be replaced with a candidate who embodies the values of the free world.
António Guterres@antonioguterres

The conflict in the Middle East has gone too far. My message to the US & Israel is that it’s high time to end the war – as human suffering deepens, civilian casualties mount & the global economic impact is increasingly devastating. My message to Iran is to stop attacking their neighbors that are not parties to the conflict.

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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@DAVIDPARENZO nemmeno in quest'altra guerra riesci minimamente a capire la situazione reale, chi è ad avere il coltello dalla parte del manico, chi può permettersi di avanzare pretese e chi invece è nei guai fino al collo. ma sei tu, quindi chi si stupisce?
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David Parenzo
David Parenzo@DAVIDPARENZO·
‼️L'Iran ha respinto la proposta Usa per fermare la guerra e ha dettato 5 condizioni per una tregua."L'Iran porrà fine alla guerra quando lo deciderà e quando saranno soddisfatte sue condizioni". Tra le condizioni, "stop agli attacchi e agli assassinii, garanzie contro futuri conflitti,pagamento dei danni di guerra, fine dei combattimenti su tutti i fronti che coinvolgono gruppi alleati e il riconoscimento della sovranità sullo Stretto di Hormuz"‼️Ma chi le ha scritte queste condizioni? Forse @ElenaBasileIT del Fatto…😂😂😂
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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@MaxAbrahms usrael is clearly winning. the uranium is destroyed, ballistic missiles are no longer being launched, the proxies have been abandoned, hormuz is open, the regime has collapsed, the consequences for the west are imperceptible, and israel is a safe state that dominates the ME.
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Max Abrahms
Max Abrahms@MaxAbrahms·
There’s a debate among partisans over who’s winning the war but just look at Iran’s demands for the answer: —means to make sure no other war is waged against it; —halt to killings of its officials; —reparations for the war.
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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@MaxAbrahms yeah, we get the picture: you’re the good guys and the rest of the world is evil. that’s why we see love and empathy for you growing all over the planet, for this unprovoked aggression you’ve suffered.
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Max Abrahms
Max Abrahms@MaxAbrahms·
Iran only attacks civilian targets in Israel. Iran has literally only struck civilians in the war; no military hits whatsoever. Remember the beeper operation when Israel carried out the most selective counterterrorism ever on Hezbollah terrorists and still got criticized lol?
Yaroslav Trofimov@yarotrof

Iran fired a missile at one of Israel’s largest power plants, in Hadera. It missed this time. The attack came after the U.S. and Israel said they won’t attack Iranian energy installations as President Trump pursues ceasefire talks.

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FridayNight
FridayNight@FridayNtrades·
@ilpoltrone I got destroyed on the US strike on Iran by Feb 28th market I think Trump realizes the repercussions of this move. Not as easy to force a regime change like with Venezuela
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FridayNight
FridayNight@FridayNtrades·
Trump coming out publicly stating the war is in its final stages and that we are in the “deal-making” stage. At the same time the US is sending warships filled with marines The market still believes it’s more favorable that US troops enter Iran before April 30th A lot of @Polymarket sharp traders are betting heavy on No in the low 50s This is a great market to watch especially with a lot of new accounts betting Yes
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Department of State@StateDept

PRESIDENT TRUMP: Iran is going to make a deal. The new leadership gave us a significant present that showed me that we’re dealing with the right people.

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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@MMmarco0 grossa escursione termica come i giorni scorsi o scenderanno decisamente anche le massime?
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Marco M.M.
Marco M.M.@MMmarco0·
🌡️Venerdì mattina molte zone d’Italia rischiano di svegliarsi sottozero. I valori minimi previsti mostrano un concreto rischio di gelate su diverse aree del Paese, soprattutto dove il cielo resterà più sereno e il vento tenderà a calmarsi. Sarà quindi un risveglio decisamente freddo per il periodo, con temperature sostanzialmente invernali.
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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@DanielLDavis1 iss it really possible that the kabuki dance of "let’s distract them with negotiations" could work again?
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Daniel Davis Deep Dive
Daniel Davis Deep Dive@DanielLDavis1·
Did President Trump only delay of the punishment phase of his Saturday night ultimatum for five days so he could build up more combat power in the region before he strikes? If so, that's a bad idea, bc even with ALL of that additional combat pwr, its not going to make an operational dent in a country four times bigger than Iraq, when we have a tiny fraction of the ground force we used in the 2003 Iraq war. We're setting ourselves up for an ugly defeat...
OSINTdefender@sentdefender

Deployment of the 82nd Airborne Division from Ft. Bragg, as well as other units with the U.S. Army, appear to now be underway from bases within the Continental United States towards the Middle East, as staging continues for potential ground operations in Iran.

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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@fsyloslab non ce la faccio ad ascoltarla mentre fa l'accento inglese, ma se ha detto ciò che c'è scritto non mi sento di darle completamente torto come al solito
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
JUST IN 🔴 Mossad chief’s pre war assessment: bringing down the Islamic regime could take many months, possibly up to 1 year.
Open Source Intel tweet media
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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@rulajebreal rula ti leggono in mezzo mondo, perché scrivi "neofascista"? non sei stupida, lo sai che non è vero. puoi dirlo in italia per far bagnare gli antifascisti militanti, ma è ridicolo scriverlo in inglese quando dovresti sapere bene che è una cazzata
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Rula Jebreal
Rula Jebreal@rulajebreal·
Italy's PM Meloni lost a referendum on her flagship reform of the judicial system, suffering a crushing political defeat to her ruling neo-fascist coalition ahead of next year's general election. The Meloni government facilitated a pedophile war criminal, Almasri, flee justice, to Libya, in defiance of international law and an ICC arrest warrant. They weaponized Paragon—Israeli surveillance technology—to spy on journalists and opponents, and continue to sell weapons to Israel while it commits genocide and bombs Iran and Lebanon. This represents a long trail of criminality, corruption and complicity that the overwhelming majority of Italians have now rejected.
Rula Jebreal tweet mediaRula Jebreal tweet mediaRula Jebreal tweet media
Financial Times@FT

Giorgia Meloni loses justice referendum ft.trib.al/7uWJHkP

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Il Poltrone 🛋️
Il Poltrone 🛋️@ilpoltrone·
@Osint613 I follow you because you live in a parallel reality where things happen differently from the physical one I’m in.
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
BREAKING 🔴 IRGC Spokesperson : “Based on necessity, Iran will use ‘any’ capabilities to provide security.” Are they threatening chemicals?
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