Isabel Rathburn

It’s the anniversary of Joplin so I went back and watched the gas station footage from that day. It’s chilling every time I watch it. Also @junefirstwx released a great video today, there were a lot of stories in there I hadn’t heard before. Such a sobering event. #wxtwitter

@oldscarf1stweek @brendonme “Structure of the year” and it’s the Grand Canyon

@imr_wx @brendonme I think I’m just gonna go to national parks

Tornadoes have gone extinct

@ariah_wx @TarenskyWX It’s giving Kate from Twisters!

wouldn’t trade any of this for anything else🌪️

@JaydonShawwx Exactly what I was thinking lol

Congratulations to anyone chasing Limon Colorado today on bagging TOTY

@NocturnalKoyoWX These are so aesthetic!

Had fun chasing today!!! Didn’t see any hail but it was very windy! I got a lot of photos of cumulonimbus and most the storms actually came to me😭 Was a great day overall and I can’t wait to go through all the photos I took!!

@BradyBGWX Very insightful, thank you!

Imo understanding usually comes from application. When ur trying to figure out something. I’m not gunna pretend I’m a full on teleconnection expert in fact I think they got often over-used and are turned into a too much black and white state and eliminate the grey area of every new setup/forecast. I think best forecasters try to pinpoint what the end result is and aren’t obsessed with that stuff. Like many will look at MJO phase as a number alone, and look at teleconnections as a number alone and then make a boxed in black and white forecast versus actually looking all around at the big picture and connecting the puzzle pieces. But some may be successful with a boxed in forecast so it’s really figuring out how u separate yourself as a forecaster to the best of ur ability and not trying to fit in with the norm. Will allow u to be more free as a forecaster I’ve found. I think this link could be helpful tho as well. www2.atmos.umd.edu/~nigam/Nigam-B…

When it comes to forecasting it’s worth it once a day at least to just zoom out and look at satellite. Regardless of this is modeled moisture on this loop. Point is zooming out is incredibly helpful. Helps u connect the pieces to the puzzle so much better imo. And imo when u get good enough u can rely on satellite much more heavily than you ever expected and you don’t feel the need to rely on future model runs as much and models appear more as just a tool in the tool box. But it seems like so many now in this era of internet weather only show model runs. Which is fine… But many don’t present models as intended and so many rely strictly on models for the forecast and the forecast changes as the models do. And that’s not how models are intended to be used. But again zooming out is just very helpful to see the bigger picture and often provoke better thought when forecasting

@BradyBGWX Ohh I get you! Yeah teleconnections are super important, and I don’t have a great understanding of them but I’m trying to learn more!

Oh no I wasn’t insinuating u were. I was saying I was glad to see an example of someone looking at the big picture similar to satellite and I just used your post to bring that back to satellite as well. Especially in the current state where most of what drives the algorithm is 2-300 hour in advance storms lol

@PettusWX You can kind of see the waves of energy and how they interact and move downstream. It just helps me visualize the connections a bit better.

@imr_wx How does a video of dew points from a global model have anything to do with teleconnections?

This is actually helping me make sense of teleconnections. So interesting!

@ben_williams_wx @JaydonShawwx ‼️‼️

@JaydonShawwx We are all here for a reason. To live and spread the word of Jesus.

I hate how one of the biggest philosophical questions that people ask is “what’s the meaning of life?” There isn’t one, there doesn’t need to be one We just exist and that’s ok

@wxkylegillett It’s really interesting to see the difference in correlation between the seasons. Not sure how much work has been done already, but it seems like more research is needed for tornado environments in the off season.

There must be a more effective way to forecast. Studies have shown that STP is really inconsistent and oftentimes useless across seasons and regions. Conditional probabilities of significant tornadoes based on STP & an example case of poor STP performance (Hart & Cohen 2016):

I want to start a dialogue on STP/SCP. This is an *example* STP calculation. I really don't understand the continued reliance on these composite parameters. I'd argue that storm behavior/evolution is far more important than a generalized statment of the environment.

Every person with “storm” in their bio is in Salina right now (except for me) #wxtwitter

@TannerChasing You are having crazy luck with lightning this week! 🤯

I saw the light

@P_SimmsWX This is so cool! Today is complicated lol so it will probably come in handy

I decided to break out my hand analysis skills again! I have not done this in quite some time.

@WxEverett @WestonBrya27345 Ugh I’m jealous

Sky bubbles! The most amazing mammatus I've ever seen earlier in Southern Nebraska.

@Christian1White I’m so sorry for your loss!

Dad, I’m gonna miss you sincerely. My heart is broken and hurts. I never thought it would be this soon for when you’d go, but I know at the same time. You don’t have to suffer pain anymore, no more agony, no more despair, no more sadness, no more stress or anything.

@VinceWaelti Oh this is crazyyyyy

There it goes! I-70 in Kansas near Grainfield

@oldscarf1stweek Everybody stay home

June is dead