Imteaz
2.2K posts

Imteaz
@imteaz1997
Trading JPEGs 'for the culture' | Council @CodexDAO | Mod @CryptoTraderRai DAO



This address just deposited 36M USDC in Hyperliquid and started buying HYPE. He deposited 8.8M USDC this morning and spent it all buying HYPE. One of the biggest single deposits in Hyperliquid.



BINANCE ANNOUNCES LISTING OF TSLAUSDT EQUITY PERPETUAL CONTRACT, TRADING 24/7



Extended VCs bought at 60m fdv , lighter Vcs bought in @ 1.5b but retards that faded lighter are shilling you extended as the next good thing. Goodluck twin.


Lighter ( $LIT ) is the pre-market lying? Lighter is entering the market with a strong background, $68M in funding and backing from giants like Founders Fund and Robinhood however, we are seeing an interesting gap between pre-market prices and how experienced market participants on Polymarket assess the situation let's break this down coldly and rationally 1. the VC premium VCs invested in the project at a $1.5B valuation (~$1.50 per token) current pre-market is trading around $3.43 (FDV $3.4B) this is a x2.3 markup on the private round price before the token is even out. with 25–30% of the supply allocated for the airdrop, natural sell pressure is expected at launch a fair question arises: can the market absorb this volume at a price that already prices in over 100% profit for early investors? 2. where does the market see the "fair price"? polymarket participants, voting with their dollars, see a more conservative picture they are confident the project is worth more than $2B, but doubt the $3B mark FDV >$2B: 85% probability (high conviction) FDV >$3B: 45% probability (uncertainty zone) this suggests that the $2B - $3B range looks like the most likely zone for the opening price, which is below current pre-market quotes 3. the "Degen" strategy: playing the rules There is another non-obvious scenario discussed by experienced players this is betting on the outcome "Less than $1B" (buying NO on the >$1B market) right now, the market gives a 93% chance that the cap will be above $1B seems logical for such a big project but here lies an opportunity to hedge risks with ~12 to 1 odds If the Lighter team decides to postpone the TGE (due to tech issues or market conditions) beyond the market resolution date, the condition "market cap one day after launch" might not be met in time in the history of Polymarket, there have already been cases where the crowd lost money by ignoring the possibility of schedule delays this is a low probability bet, but with very high expected value, working as insurance against a listing delay and some news about @On_Veera, is actually cooking for 2026 it’s looking like the first "neobank" that truly gets it, combining real yields on your card spend with features we actually need it’s a massive QoL upgrade for anyone living in crypto so which strategy do you think best for Lighter TGE?








The most stable and profitable follower of Elon Musk. I noticed a trader who has been regularly trading on the markets since August based on the number of Musk's tweets. > The guy has 917 predictions, but maintains a 66.6% win rate. > His only focus is Elon Musk tweets. He is not interested in other events. > This field requires high focus, constant speculation, and strict risk management. The trader uses all three of these points. I recommend adopting his strategy. Or, at the very least, take a look - @Annica?via=atenov_D" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Annica?via=at…
Or, if u just want to copy him, u can use this platform - polycule.trade/join/ufay5s














