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Indis

@indis00

Energy conservationist and internet anthropologist

Katılım Şubat 2020
342 Takip Edilen147 Takipçiler
Indis
Indis@indis00·
@AgentUnatco @thiccnoggin @CityBureaucrat You’re delusional. Iran is charging $1 per barrel for passage through the strait of Hormuz and satellite images show widespread destruction of US bases. I was just in the Middle East, so I know that you have no idea what you’re talking about
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Agent Orange 🇺🇲
Agent Orange 🇺🇲@AgentUnatco·
@indis00 @thiccnoggin @CityBureaucrat US bases are fine, Iran is running out of stuff to actually send out, most of it got destroyed, and the US has so far spared their infrastructure, which we could destroy at any time. Iran is at the mercy of the US
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Second City Bureaucrat
Second City Bureaucrat@CityBureaucrat·
Welp, it looks like the IRGC bent the knee and agreed to a ceasefire. If their victory conditions were economic, there was no reason to do this.
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Indis
Indis@indis00·
@AgentUnatco @thiccnoggin @CityBureaucrat That’s not the reality on the ground. US bases have been hit hard, the strait of Hormuz can be kept closed with drones, and Iran has leverage given all the critical energy infrastructure in range of their missiles. The US has hit Iran hard, but that’s not the win condition.
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Indis
Indis@indis00·
@CityBureaucrat If there’s a deal it’ll probably have a phaseout for sanctions i.e. upon handover of enriched uranium. The ballistic missile program will stay
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Indis
Indis@indis00·
@teortaxesTex People can just make stuff up on the internet. There’s no chance they’ll scale down the ballistic missile program seeing as it’s their main lifeline
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Indis
Indis@indis00·
Cue Epstein files discourse
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Indis retweetledi
Chebureki Man
Chebureki Man@CheburekiMan·
Trump's last remaining MAGA supporters on X all appear to be paid influencer accounts.
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Niccolo Soldo (Fisted By Foucault)
The problem with the idea of negotiations is huge. 1. The USA is globally viewed as "agreement non-capable" (Lavrov). This condition pre-dates Trump, but has been exacerbated by him 2. The USA is now also being perceived as negotiation non-capable (see: treatment of Iran) Both of these effectively negate all efforts at talks. The first one is still a hurdle that can be overcome, but only with the greatest of efforts. You always have to talk, and especially when it comes to dealing with the world's greatest power. But..... 3. Even if Iran engages in any talks with the USA, Israel just kills the negotiators anyway as it plays Good Cop to the USA's Bad Cop, making the effort pointless. Lastly: Back channels always, always exist. Any cessation would have to see iron-clad guarantees made to Iran, and concessions too.....those would be secret (as is common practice, especially when it comes to the USA. The problem would be: who can act as guarantor since the USA is agreement non-capable?
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Niccolo Soldo (Fisted By Foucault)
What are you going to do, bomb us? Gonna hand half the continent over the communists again? Gonna pressure Germany to take in another 3 million Turks like you did last time? Gonna use your CIA to infiltrate Salafi terrorists to kill European Christians in the Balkans?
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Just Loki
Just Loki@LokiJulianus·
Unpopular opinion: if Trump can get gas prices down & keep casualties minimal, he can continue this war indefinitely. Americans are used to “background violence.” I would prefer a decisive resolution obviously, but he has plenty of runway.
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Niccolo Soldo (Fisted By Foucault)
The 4 main differences between the foreign USA and the foreign China from a European perspective 1. China is not laying claim to any territory held by a EU member state 2. China has not actively pushed to start a massive land war on European soil 3. China has not purposely engaged in policies to harm European energy security 4. China does not occupy Europe via post-war treaties and forces on the ground China is not a European ally...but it is definitely not an enemy like the USA obviously is.
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