IntelStation

6.5K posts

IntelStation banner
IntelStation

IntelStation

@intel_station

This is an OSINT account dedicated to any relevant geopolitical issues around the world. Come to Canada while you still can. #NAFO

Canada Katılım Ocak 2020
1.3K Takip Edilen437 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
A lot of pro-Ukrainians are reflexively supporting Azerbaijan, but that's horribly misguided. In truth, the scenes playing out in Nagorno-Karabakh would've occurred in Kyiv, if Hostomel Airport and other battles went the other way. We need some compassion and humility.
English
0
0
4
4.7K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor The only way out of the Iran War is further in. Trump can't cave, and he can't stall anymore. So, the only real path is further strikes.
English
1
0
0
43
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station Why are you so compelled to think he'll strike? So far, he's caved on every threat to do so.
English
1
0
0
32
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
We’re getting two completely different stories from the same official sources. Either someone is lying, or different narratives are being pushed to different audiences.
Trey Yingst@TreyYingst

Israeli political source to Fox News: "The United States is updating Israel on the negotiations over a memorandum of understanding for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and entering negotiations on a final agreement regarding the disputed issues. In last night’s conversation with President Trump, the Prime Minister stressed that Israel will maintain freedom of action against threats on all fronts, including Lebanon, and President Trump reiterated his support for this principle. President Trump made clear that he will stand firm in the negotiations on his longstanding demand for the dismantling of Iran’s nuclear program and the removal of all enriched uranium from its territory, and that he will not sign a final agreement without these conditions being met. The Prime Minister again expressed his appreciation to President Trump for his longstanding and exceptional commitment to Israel’s security."

English
4
5
48
3.6K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor It could easily be both, if Trump's conducting a desperate push for diplomacy to avert an imminent strike.
English
1
0
0
22
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
Trump said he wouldn’t allow it, so many stood up to the regime believing the U.S. had their back, and some lost their lives because of it. Then he abandoned them once it became politically convenient.
Drew Pavlou 🇦🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@DrewPavlou

@TrueSlazac Iran killing 30,000 protesters in January should have been casus belli for Europe and American liberals. But they hate Trump more than shithole third world jihadi dictatorships that massacre their own people

English
4
11
50
4.3K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor I was talking about Iran's "strategic patience" policy, which led to the decimation of Hezbollah and made the war possible.
English
0
0
0
6
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station I wouldn't describe it as patience, he's desperate for a deal... any deal.
English
1
0
0
18
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor Even Trump has a breaking point, and you have to imagine that there are a lot of people telling him that more strikes might increase the pressure on Iran. He's a weak man, and that means he can be bullied into doing things too.
English
1
0
0
63
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station I'll agree that he's used up all his lifelines, but he's too hard headed to stop now. He'll stay the course.
English
1
1
3
215
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
His biggest weakness is... he's too predictable.
English
3
1
15
1.1K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor It would be a huge mistake for them to let their guard down, although the Iranians still make a lot of blunders. Indulging Trump with the ceasefire, to begin with, being one of their biggest.
English
1
0
0
15
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor It's also inevitable. Since Trump can't accept Iran's conditions, the only way for him to reopen the Strait is occupying the surrounding area. He'll hate it, but he'll do it.
English
1
0
0
16
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station The only military option that would truly satisfy the war hawks in Washington would be putting boots on the ground, and the American public has made it clear that’s where they draw the line.
English
1
0
0
20
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
They keep luring Trump toward a weak deal that he's eager to jump on, then pull back at the last second, giving him just enough rope to politically hang himself, playing him for a fool along the way.
English
3
2
24
1.4K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor Trump desperately wants to TACO, but he can't. No matter how hard he tries, he can't walk away under politically acceptable terms. Since he can't run, and doing nothing only leads to higher gas prices, he will gamble on the military option, because it's the only real choice.
English
1
0
0
11
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station A lot has changed politically since then, and he's all about the politics.
English
1
0
0
16
Faytuks Network
Faytuks Network@FaytuksNetwork·
High-level sources tell Al Arabiya the memorandum of understanding will be followed by negotiations on a final agreement
English
5
18
137
17.6K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor He pushed the button once, after several rounds of failed talks, and he'll do it again. It could literally happen any hour now.
English
1
0
0
8
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
@intel_station It is wearing everyone down, but it’s also the only playbook he seems to have, and the people around him don’t appear willing to seriously push back.
English
1
0
0
12
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor It must be wearing everyone down by now, and he must be awfully tempted to roll the dice.
English
1
0
0
8
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor No, he really can't pull this crap every single week. The pressure for him to do something, especially during the long weekend, is very high, and Netanyahu can now point to another failed (half-brained) attempt at diplomacy.
English
1
0
0
13
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@TheWarMonitor No, Trump can only pull this so many times, and he'll eventually resume the strikes. In fact, the long weekend in the USA is still a valid strike window, meaning that he could attack with little warning.
English
1
0
0
253
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
So now I expect one of two things to happen: The administration backtracks and claims no such deal was ever being considered, and/or More threats of military action that ultimately never get carried out, with everything back to normal before the markets reopen.
English
1
3
32
5K
IntelStation
IntelStation@intel_station·
@MoonlitMonkey69 @TheWarMonitor I think that a major treasury selloff will gather a lot of momentum, and that we could be looking at 6% yields or higher, if the USD loses its status as the global reserve currency.
English
1
0
0
12
Moonlit Monkey
Moonlit Monkey@MoonlitMonkey69·
@intel_station @TheWarMonitor Yeah, they could probably tick up another whole %, if this goes on without a compromise. Sure a compromise is viable, and without losing significant political face. And I'm sure the alternative to that is worse. But amusingly, still not sure which path is taken.
English
1
0
0
13
WarMonitor
WarMonitor@TheWarMonitor·
Iran deal so far: • $25B in frozen Iranian assets released • U.S. blockade ends • Iran will “allow” passage, but remain in control of the Strait • Iran’s nuclear program will not be part of the agreement. This basically meets all of Iran's demands.
English
207
586
2.7K
127.6K

Keşfet

@TheWarMonitor @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates @NASA @nikifrancismediavine