Fred Martins

3.1K posts

Fred Martins

Fred Martins

@ioreh

O sonho não espera o sonhador Acordar Tem que se estar Bem desperto Para hora do sonho chegar (Eu)

Katılım Nisan 2009
611 Takip Edilen233 Takipçiler
Bernardo Braga
Bernardo Braga@eubernardobraga·
@BorisJohnson Maybe if you bought some hair gel people would start paying attention.
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Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson@BorisJohnson·
I've long suspected Bitcoin is a giant Ponzi scheme and now I'm hearing tales of woe that make me fear I'm right. mol.im/a/15643681
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Jacob King
Jacob King@JacobKinge·
NEW YORK TIMES: "Crypto Is Pointless. Not Even the White House Can Fix That."
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Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover@cryptorover·
What is next for Bitcoin? $50,000 or $80,000?
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Carl Moon 🌙
Carl Moon 🌙@TheMoonCarl·
Everyone expects this scenario. Majority is always wrong. This is the bottom.
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Killa
Killa@KillaXBT·
I predicted the top, now its time to predict the bottom. Based on diminishing returns/retracements & fractal analysis, I believe this time we wont bottom where most expect. I expect $BTC to bottom in August. You heard it here first.
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Fred Martins retweetledi
Rekt Capital
Rekt Capital@rektcapital·
#BTC If history is any indication, Bitcoin could spend some time between these two Macro EMAs (orange box) However, it's likely that any relief from the 50-Month EMA (purple) would be limited and could fall short of the green 21-Month EMA If history repeats, Bitcoin could breakdown from the purple 50-Month EMA into additional Bearish Acceleration (red box) over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Rekt Capital tweet media
Rekt Capital@rektcapital

#BTC On breakdown from the Macro Triangle, Bitcoin tends to experience its first bout of Bearish Acceleration Then, a bout of temporary relief takes place before continuing the second part of Bearish Acceleration afterwards $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

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Crypto Tony
Crypto Tony@CryptoTony__·
JUST IN: Tom Lee said, "I think Bitcoin hits $180,000 by February 31."
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Fred Martins
Fred Martins@ioreh·
@fatosdabolsa Quando eu ganhava mais pagava praticamente todas as contas, da casa e das filhas, quando ela, numa oportunidade que lhe caiu ao colo, começou a ganhar 5x o que eu ganhava, dividia meio a meio, fora quando eu pagava mais... resultado, divórcio
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Fatos da Bolsa
Fatos da Bolsa@fatosdabolsa·
Sou do partido de que a divisão tem q ser proporcional homem ganha 20k e a mulher 10k? Homem tem q pagar 2x o valor que a mulher paga na divisao das contas homem ganha 5x mais? paga 5x mais ganha igual? paga igual "ah mas se a mulher ganhar mais ela n aceita" amigo se sua mulher ganha mais e n aceita isso reveja seus conceitos sobre pessoa para casar
Italo@peppipets

Hoje descobri que existe gente CASADA que divide conta em restaurante Instituição do casamento virou nada mesmo 🫠🫠

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Grok
Grok@grok·
@ioreh @rektcapital Sim, os dados atuais indicam aceleração nasчё quedas do Bitcoin, com queda de 7,91% nas últimas 24h, atingindo US$66.588. O crossover das EMAs precedeu declínios em ciclos passados, mas mercados são voláteis e o futuro incerto.
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Rekt Capital
Rekt Capital@rektcapital·
#BTC It's official This is now the 4th consecutive cycle where the crossover of the Bull Market EMAs has preceded macro downside continuation $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Rekt Capital tweet media
Rekt Capital@rektcapital

#BTC Could this be the 4th consecutive cycle where the crossover of the Bull Market EMAs precedes macro downside continuation? $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

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Joao Wedson
Joao Wedson@joao_wedson·
Alpha Quant Signal continues to maintain a Sell Signal on Bitcoin and Ethereum. In fact, if you had followed at least half of these signals, you would be sitting on significant profits by now. I followed some of them myself, even with limited time lately.
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Joao Wedson@joao_wedson

Alpha Quant Signal once again proved to be extremely accurate on BTC. Now that it is pointing to the downside, an acceleration in volatility is almost inevitable. Exchanges and OGs will push aggressively to trigger stop-limit orders, further reducing the residual liquidity in the order book. Let’s keep monitoring.

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Bernardo Braga
Bernardo Braga@eubernardobraga·
@michaeljburry , although I respect your track record, the "Bitcoin Death Spiral" thesis you wrote recently has critical structural flaws: 1. Strategy's debt is unsecured with no BTC collateral All $8.2B in convertible notes are senior unsecured obligations. Creditors have zero claim on Bitcoin holdings. There is no price level that triggers forced liquidation. You can verify this in any of their SEC filings. 2. No restrictive covenants Unlike typical corporate debt, Strategy's converts have no Debt Service Coverage Ratio, no Limit of Indebtedness, no financial maintenance covenants. They cannot be forced to sell BTC to maintain ratios because those ratios don't exist in their agreements. 3. $2.2 billion cash buffer Strategy holds $2.19B in USD reserves as of December 2025, covering 32 months of preferred dividend obligations. First convertible maturity isn't until September 2028. The "existential crisis at $60k" narrative ignores their actual liquidity position. 4. ETFs don't "force" sales ETFs respond to investor redemptions through authorized participant arbitrage. This is normal market mechanics, not a "panic button." The same mechanism works in reverse on inflows (which totaled $35B+ since launch). 5. What you're actually describing The liquidation cascades you reference ($2.5B in January) are leveraged perpetual futures traders on crypto exchanges getting margin called. These are speculators with 10-100x leverage, not institutional spot holders. Conflating derivative liquidations with structural forced selling of corporate treasuries is analytically incorrect. The real scenario for Strategy selling BTC: BTC would need to stay below their cost basis (~$66k) for 2-3 years while capital markets remain completely closed to them AND they exhaust cash reserves AND convertible holders exercise puts AND they can't negotiate extensions. That's not a "death spiral" - that's a specific multi-year bear case that requires several independent conditions. You correctly identify that leverage in crypto derivatives creates violent liquidation events. But extrapolating that to "Bitcoin death spiral" via corporate treasury forced sales misunderstands how MSTR's capital structure actually works. The data is public. I'd encourage readers to verify Strategy's debt terms themselves rather than accept narrative over structure.
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry

$BTC Patterns

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Fred Martins
Fred Martins@ioreh·
@KAProductions Ok, but I think that this correction or dump of btc was too fast, faster then 2022, seems strange.. .
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Keith Alan
Keith Alan@KAProductions·
@ioreh I use the 200W which isn't too far from there. No telling where those MAs are if/when $BTC approaches.
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Keith Alan
Keith Alan@KAProductions·
We know where $BTC support isn't, where do you think it lands for a relief rally, and for the macro trend?
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Keith Alan
Keith Alan@KAProductions·
@ioreh What do you see at $60k that attracts you to that level?
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