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I really think whatever they agree on is just for the public and is meant to prevent the world economy from going into a recession. There’s no way Iran would surrender like that after everything that’s happened to them. I do hope, though, that they would.

@MarioNawfal I think Trump is lying to calm the oil prices down

I don’t know if Trump lied about his Iran negotiations, or whether Iran’s going through an internal power struggle But today’s developments made me a lot more hopeful of the current war Trump does not want a forever war, and he may actually pull off a Venezuela 2.0

As a matter of fact, the US has never been more of a laughingstock than it is now.

@shanaka86 I highly recommend reading this article @shanaka86 x.com/anasalhajji/st…

BREAKING: Iran’s Foreign Minister just told you exactly how the Strait of Hormuz was closed. Not with mines. Not with missiles. Not with warships. With a spreadsheet. Abbas Araghchi posted on X this morning: “Strait of Hormuz is not closed. Ships hesitate because insurers fear the war of choice you initiated, not Iran. No insurer, and no Iranian, will be swayed by more threats. Try respect.” He is not lying. He is describing the mechanism that nobody in Washington, Brussels, or on any trading desk wants to name out loud. Iran did not physically seal the Strait of Hormuz. Marine war risk insurers did. Major providers scrapped cover for vessels operating in the Persian Gulf. Without insurance, no tanker sails. Without tankers, no oil moves. Without oil moving, 15 million barrels of crude sit trapped every day. Iran’s weapon is not the mine. Iran’s weapon is the risk premium. The mine is the trigger. The insurer is the transmission mechanism. The underwriter’s spreadsheet closed the strait, not the warhead. This is why 22 countries coordinating with NATO will not reopen it. You cannot escort a tanker through a strait if no insurer will write the policy for the cargo. You cannot force Lloyd’s of London to underwrite a voyage at gunpoint. The mine clears. The drone threat neutralises. The coastal batteries degrade. And the insurer still says no, because the war is still happening, because the 48-hour ultimatum is ticking, because Iranian missiles just hit Diego Garcia at 4,000 kilometres, because the IRGC retains 90 percent of its minelayers, and because the actuarial model does not care about press conferences. The AAII sentiment survey published March 19 shows 52 percent of individual investors are now bearish, the highest reading since spring 2025. Bullish sentiment has fallen to 30.4 percent. The bull-bear spread is negative 21.6 percentage points. These are not numbers from a market worried about earnings. These are numbers from a market that has processed the same mechanism Araghchi just described. The war is not being fought in the strait. The war is being fought in the risk model. The market is splitting in two. Energy stocks have hit 20 all-time highs in 2026, the most since 2013. The sector is up 29 percent year-to-date and 367 percent since the 2020 pandemic low. New US home sales collapsed 17.6 percent month-on-month to 587,000, the lowest since 2022, with the median price down 6.8 percent year-over-year. Bitcoin fell below $68,000. One half of the market is pricing a world where oil stays trapped. The other half is pricing a world where everything else breaks. US intelligence assessed before Epic Fury that Iranian regime collapse was low probability. The IDF says weeks more of fighting remain. Araghchi says the strait is not closed. Trump says open it in 48 hours or he destroys the power grid. Iran says if the power grid is hit, the strait closes permanently and all regional energy infrastructure becomes a target. The insurer hears all five statements and reaches the same conclusion: the policy stays cancelled. The strait is 21 miles wide. The insurance policy is one page. And the one page is doing more damage to the global economy than every mine, missile, and drone Iran has fired in 23 days of war. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

I beg to differ. The US put the GCC in this position to begin with. The US has made Iran so desperate that it has had to attack its neighbors to take revenge on the US. The US will soon attack Iran's infrastructure, knowing that Iran will retaliate by attacking GCC infrastructure. So, is the US really a reliable ally?

@MarioNawfal Attacking their neighbors is only proving the US's point.

🇮🇷 Iran threatened to destroy every desalination plant in the Middle East. Nobody realizes the damage to the water: - Kuwait: 90% of all drinking water - Oman: 86% - Israel: 75% - Saudi Arabia: 70% (world’s biggest capacity) One coordinated strike and entire countries run out of water overnight. This is way more dangerous than anyone is saying. Source: @binsaeedrashid

@MarioNawfal x.com/i24news_en/sta…

How come normalizing with Israel has anything to do with the GCC wanting the US to keep bombing Iran? Saudi Arabia has been clear from day one: we didn’t want an unnecessary war and we pressured the US not to destabilize the region. The US went ahead anyway and created this mess. Now that the Iranian regime is hurting, it is clearly acting irrationally by attacking countries it had peace agreements with. It sounded like you were mocking the GCC. Given your extensive experience and interviews with many experts, what do you think the GCC should do? Join the war and keep the region in chaos forever? Or pressure the US to stop while the regime keeps disrupting the region? If anyone is to blame here, it is 100% the US for making such foolish decisions and supporting Netanyahu’s even more extremist government.

🚨🇮🇷 Gulf states to Washington: keep striking. Don't stop. Dismantle Iran's military permanently. Same Gulf states: we will not normalize with Israel. Same Gulf states: Israel is killing Lebanese civilians and weakening a government we back. Same Gulf states: the region hasn't forgotten Gaza. They want Iran destroyed. But they certainly don't want to be seen wanting it. @DropSiteNews, Times of Israel

بسم الله، توكلنا على الله. أول خطوة لتغيير مسارات التجارة في الشرق الأوسط من ميناء جدة الإسلامي إلى الأفضل والأسرع والأكفأ.

@Shahzarshahzar2 @PaliNewsNetwork Being a friend of the strongest country in the world is better than being its enemy. If this is really the reason, then I’ll let him keep us there. Go read about the Saudi conditions for Saudi-Israeli normalization, which the Trump and Netanyahu governments really hated.

@itsdullahkr @PaliNewsNetwork Saudi is literally an American/israeli slave. Why should it be under axis of justice category?

The Axis of Justice 🇵🇸 🇮🇷 🇾🇪 🇱🇧 🇮🇶 🇨🇺 vs. The Axis of Epstein 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇬🇧 🇩🇪 🇨🇦 🇦🇺 🇫🇷 🇦🇪 🇸🇦 🇰🇼 🇯🇴

@unirluvs If you are referring to Qatar, then you are mistaken; Qatar barely has anything to participate in militarily.

@itsdullahkr we u mean u? no one sees it except u...

the gcc ignoring iran and israel trying to drag us into a war

Publishing such critical info during wartime is already a failure by the Trump organization. Why release details that could potentially cause more damage to your so-called “allies”? It doesn’t matter if they were leaks or not. The US wanted the element of surprise in attacking Iran, and literally nobody knew when or how.

Trump likely wants Kharg Island as a pretext to justify massive illegal strikes on Iran after they massacre US troops. Same playbook as Netanyahu.

@AllahGreatQuran Transformative.

Describe Saudi Arabia in one word 🇸🇦

@Bamokiii @AllahGreatQuran Kurdistan? I just looked it up on Google Maps—it’s not there…

@AllahGreatQuran A holy land burdened by corrupt rulers.

@ABZayed You’re already blackmailed by your masters in Israel

We will never be blackmailed by terrorists

هذي هي الأخبار الحلوه. وان شاءالله خطوط بحريه اكثر واكثر

ستخرج بلادنا بإذن الله من هذه الشدائد وهي قويّة وثابتة ورائدة، وسيلقى كلّ المتربصين بها والحاقدين عليها والمتنكّرين لسابق فضلها خيبة كبيرة وخسراناً مبينا. (وَمَن يَتَوَكَّلْ عَلَى اللَّهِ فَهُوَ حَسْبُهُ ۚ إِنَّ اللَّهَ بَالِغُ أَمْرِهِ ۚ قَدْ جَعَلَ اللَّهُ لِكُلِّ شَيْءٍ قَدْرًا). #السعودية_خط_أحمر

Trump may get so stuck in Iran's mud that he'll face impeachment.

@clashreport @ggreenwald this warmonger really hates his country more than the Iranians

Senator Graham on invading Iran’s Kharg Island: We did Iwo Jima, we can do this. NOTE: In the Battle of Iwo Jima during World War II, U.S. forces suffered approximately 26,000 total casualties over 36 days of fighting.