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adamn

@itsromzeye

24 | statistics king

Singapore Katılım Temmuz 2016
406 Takip Edilen4.8K Takipçiler
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adamn
adamn@itsromzeye·
rawr
adamn tweet mediaadamn tweet media
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fishious
fishious@fishquichee·
Showing up 20 minutes late to work with a huge ice cream cone
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Maya ☁️➡️🌸
Maya ☁️➡️🌸@mayaofspring·
"what is the ideal urban form" is a solved problem, and the answer is Tokyo All remaining research in urbanism is on enabling more cities to become more Tokyo-like
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
A fundamental lesson from my posts these last two weeks on modernization, industrial policy, and development is that development economics should be about understanding why South Korea got rich but Bolivia did not. The current field has largely given up on that question. Sharply identified RCTs on small micro programs are a fine way to publish in the AER and get tenure at a fancy university, but a profession that knows everything about microfinance impact evaluations and almost nothing about industrialization has misallocated its own intellectual capital on a pretty heroic scale. Four images of Seoul:
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde tweet media
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
That is not how I think about it. My question is: how would the social planner allocate development economists between RCTs (and related causal methods) and big macro-development questions? Both are needed, since it is very unlikely the optimal solution is at a corner. So let's call the optimal allocation to RCTs x* in (0,1). My answer is that, right now, publication incentives mean that x (the actual share of effort allocated to RCTs) is much larger than x*. The reason is simple. With an RCT or similar method, I have a clear identification argument, sharp answers, and nice tables. With a big macro-development question, I have to handle dozens of sub-questions for which I have only heuristic answers. Young researchers find the former a much easier path than the latter. So this is not about whether we need palliative care. It is about whether we are spending too much on palliative care, and right now, yes, I think we are.
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ida
ida@saintgumi·
i visited a villa built 100 years ago showcasing stunning taisho-era architecture
ida tweet mediaida tweet mediaida tweet mediaida tweet media
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Samuel Watling
Samuel Watling@watling_samuel·
The reason European university econ programmes produce PhD students like this is not because their normal econ programmes are bad. The problem is that they also label qualitative political economy work as economics rather than political theory or sociology.
Total NIMBY Death@BarneyFlames

No offense but I saw some leftist adjacent globes being like "actually the unlearning econ guy has a great academic background". This was much worse than I expected.

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adamn
adamn@itsromzeye·
!!!
Derek Thompson@DKThomp

I'm glad that the author of "Rent Control Is Fine, Actually" calls themself Unlearning Economics, bc it's good to just state things clearly, such as the open animosity that many left economic populists have for the field of economics and economists themselves. Economists aren't gods, and economics isn't a divine truth, but economists are good--better than most--at something critical for making public policy: They're good at identifying tradeoffs. "Rents are too high, so freeze them" is compelling politics. But in the absence of other pro-supply policies, if you make it illegal to increase rents, landlords will stop upgrading units and convert them to condos, which reduces the supply of units for rent, reduces mobility, and drives up rents for everybody else. The left econ populists have some clear, and clearly stated, policy ideas: - Rents are too high, so freeze them. - Electricity is expensive, so stop rate increases. - Homes are too expensive, so ban institutional investors. - Power prices are rising, so ban data center construction. ... All these policies feel like solutions because they're brisk, they name enemies, and they take on the most visible source of frustration. But they are much better as villain-naming exercises than they are as a complete public policy. On their own, each creates other problems: less housing built, less clean electricity built, abdicating energy policy by encouraging AI firms to build data centers abroad in unsavory countries with more emissions, etc. I can't think of a single economic populist idea that wouldn't be helped with a little dose of economics, which is why it's troubling when I see the left participating in, and even celebrating, the great unlearning of economics.

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adamn
adamn@itsromzeye·
sg dating scene be like r u chn? im chn. wait r u chn? sorry chn only. wait u kinda look chn. mly or chn? or mixed? local chn?
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𐂯
𐂯@bunnyums·
i let my pussy make decisions sometimes, call that clitical thinking
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