Jay Kaeppel

6.7K posts

Jay Kaeppel

Jay Kaeppel

@jaykaeppel

Jay is Senior Market Analyst at https://t.co/BNBZdQZHaj and author of Seasonal Stock Market Trends (Wiley). Trader, writer, instructor and former CTA.

Illinois Katılım Haziran 2010
357 Takip Edilen23.4K Takipçiler
Jay Kaeppel
Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
There are lot's of reasons (rising rates, glut of homes, high home prices) to dislike the Real Estate sector. BUT price trend action isn't one of them. @sentimentrader
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Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
Lot's of talk of recession and AI taking all the jobs. Maybe. But recessions occur when Continued Claims are rising and, for now, this series is falling fast. @sentimentrader
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Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
Jay’s Trading Maxim #92: The most important question is NOT "what do you think the market will do?" The most important questions ARE "how are you allocating your capital" and “when will you cut a loss?” Your answers to those two questions will ultimately decide your fate.
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Jay Kaeppel
Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
I've been bullish on commodities since June 2023. Enjoying the ride. BUT, is it time for commodities to "take a breather?" @sentimentrader
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Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
$CRB Index vs. S&P 500 Index ($SPX). Breakout or Fakeout? Only time will tell. In the meantime, $DBA/$DBB/$DBE/$DBP gives you an instant, diversified commodity portfolio.
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Jay Kaeppel
Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
#Silver up 18+% in 4 trading days. Off to the races again? Everyone on my X feed seems to think so. BUT sentiment is offering a cautionary sign (SLV Optix cross above 98%). FWIW: Still holding a (small) core allocation in $SLV but not "loading up." @sentimentrader
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Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
@TradingLogica @sentimentrader I appreciate the comment, but you might be reading the chart wrong. It shows apparently enthusiastic buying by NDX constituents stock insiders. Cheers.
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Trading con Lógica
Trading con Lógica@TradingLogica·
This fits a pattern that's been building: insiders at minimum buying, institutions at maximum protection buying, and retail at maximum leverage. Three different groups, three different signals, all pointing in the same direction at the same time. The people who know these companies best are the least enthusiastic buyers right now. That's worth sitting with.
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Jay Kaeppel
Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
Interestingly, the recent spike in the Nasdaq 100 Index has not deterred corporate insiders at Nasdaq 100 Index companies from buying more of their own stock shares. Make of it what you will. @sentimentrader
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