Jaynisha Patel

@ViewFromTheQ 5.35

Qupdate Day 8.. Under 3000 and it’s very wet.

The #Sahel is caught in a dangerous downward spiral of deepening instability. In @ProSyn, Senior Policy Analyst @jayni_sha calls for a new Compact for the region – a cooperative framework to curb the rapid spread of extremism. Read more ⬇️

Trump sees Africa through a prism of strategic rivalry w/ China. Expect targeted US activity, shifting trade & security terms, less aid. The risk (& opportunity) for African nations is a balancing act: hedge partnerships to attract the right investments that allow policy autonomy

Read our full report from @InstituteGC here: institute.global/insights/geopo…

The Sahel’s diplomatic deadlock is fracturing the global response to the regions security crisis. Finding a solution is now a matter of some urgency. In a piece for @ProSyn I share some of the creative thinking we’re doing at TBI on a new Sahel Compact: project-syndicate.org/commentary/sta…

7/ 🌟 The challenges are immense, but with targeted action, the Sahel can transition from crisis to resilience. Explore our insights and join the conversation: institute.global/insights/geopo…

6/ 📢 The takeaway? Climate and security in the Sahel aren't separate issues. They’re deeply interconnected. Only a holistic, cooperative, and innovative approach can break the cycle of crisis and conflict.

1/ 🌍 The Sahel faces a perfect storm: climate change, violent extremism & fragile governance. Our new report from @InstituteGC, with @kittymant & Sandun Munasinghe, explores how these crises interlink and what can be done to address them. Read it here: institute.global/insights/geopo…

@Juggernaut9o21o @ViewFromTheQ It’s quieter than expected

@jayni_sha @ViewFromTheQ Is it very busy there now? I am planning to get there by 11:30 am

@ViewFromTheQ 6.25

For the last 30 years, the African National Congress has been the party of power in #SouthAfrica. But this may change in today's general election. After crippling economic stagnation, an electricity crisis, fracturing social cohesion, and soaring violent crime, a budding competitiveness in the political order means that the ruling ANC might lose its parliamentary majority. Find out who the key parties are and their main policies here: bit.ly/3yDnB3L #ElectionsExplained

Penned a short election-eve explainer for @InstituteGC - give it a read for the briefest overview of what’s at stake in South Africa’s most important election since 1994. More to follow on the geopolitical implications of the result next week 👇🏽👇🏽 institute.global/insights/geopo…

With worsening security in the Sahel, its West Africa’s littoral states that will be put to the test. How can they build societal resilience against jihadi narratives? My new piece for @GNET_research asks how Benin can entrench democratic engagement: shorturl.at/bgzPZ 👇🏽👇🏽

In response to jihadist groups expanding their influence among Beninese Muslim communities, @jayni_sha highlights the pressing need to employ 'peacetech' solutions to strengthen sociopolitical resilience and safeguard positive democratic sentiment. gnet-research.org/2024/01/22/har…

A welcome policy shift towards pragmatic partnerships amid the spectre of geopolitical competition in a multipolar & uncertain world. Also, great inclusions on peace and development. An honour to have participated in consultations for the International Development White Paper 👇🏽

Loads more in the paper, read it and share it: bit.ly/3Rbkgj9

So what can we conclude? - The safety of women and girls depends hugely on location and demography - Deterrence to GBV needs to be improved at both a society and state level, i.e stronger social stigma for perpetrators not victims, and more confidence in the police and the state

I recently co-authored a comparative analysis on African perceptions #GenderBasedViolence - while gains have been made, the @afrobarometer data shows us just how far we are yet to go in building a safe and equal Africa for girls and women. Key insights here 🧵