
World Citizen
9.4K posts

World Citizen
@jckcany
Caffeinated world traveler/photographer/artist; a private citizen independent of any party affiliation 🌻
United States Katılım Kasım 2018
26 Takip Edilen115 Takipçiler

@randymot4 Could you please post in Thread? I'll delete my account here soon.
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Stopping Putin's Game:
(1) Putin's only viable plan to keep part of illegally-occupied Ukraine is to erode Western military aid. Left as it is, every day Russia faces huge irreplacable losses, while the AFU grow stronger. See post below.
(2) The Russian attack on political support for the war is built on the erroneous premise that this will be "an endless war." This plays well as a theme to Americans disallusioned by the Afghanistan war, its costs and the "train wreck" withdrawal.
(3) Americans get very little detailed news on the military operations and results. Even well-ionformed friends of mine are surprised by facts that I report to them. It is simply not covered by US media. See post below.
(4) This Russian propaganda line shows up in the Russian troll acounts, with pro-Russian nut jobs and then creeps into traditional news and opinions, i.e. David Sacks, Elon Musk, NYT, and others. None of the non-Russian sympathizers actually have detailed factual justificationb for them allegations nor do the third-parties deceived by this actually check anything.
(5) This endless war narrative has been the underlining basis for the erosion of Republican support for Ukraine both in the public and in Congress. Creating the narrative of a stalemate allows people to argue that it is time for "peace" or compromise. Folks often cite the need to end the suffering in Ukraine as some kind of thinly constructed moral cover for their opinion.
(6) Ukrainians overwhelmingly want to keep fighting, despite the dear cost to their society. They know the price of Russian occupation in random civilian murders, rapes, looting and targeted assassination of political and military figures. Only 9% find it somewhat or fully acceptable to cede territory illegally occupied by Russia including 2022 seizures as well as Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk. Kyiv Institute for Sociology, June 2023 poll.
(7) I submit that Ukrainian sentiment would not run this strongly in favor of continuing to fight to achieve the 1991 borders if they felt they were losing or if the war promises an "endless conflict."
(8) So viewed totally objectively, is Ukraine winning and does the realtively small squre kilomerters of advances mean anything? (a) using the total map of Ukraine is very misleading: the actual area of the war now is a ban of land 40-80 km wide running from the north to Kherson. Ukraine needs only get a penetration or two through this lione to break out behind the generally undefended Russian rear areas. (b) Ukraine is making big progress in doing so, due to its attrituion of Russian forces, especially artillery and air defense. Precision artillery and drone strikes have decimated the Russian army, which is hitting horribly low morale, is poorly supplied and growing worse, and cannot replace either troops or equipment losses. New conscripts are untrained and lack officers to lead them. (c) Recently Ukraine has neutralized the Black Sea Fleet pushing it to the east and has virtually all of Crimea under indirect fire and drone coverage. Russian air defense is almost useless and has been taken out daily in key areas. Russian supply lines - never done well- are now reduced and threatened across the front. Russian troops and generals in linked communications have revealed general and growing defeatism.
#UkraineWillWin #RussiaLosing #RussianPropaganda
These facts are set out in these threads (below) and I seriously invite anyone who can contest any of the facts stated to make the effort. Please report, bookmark, and use this in discussions with people who seem to lack relevant information. [Note: it is also good to post these on media accounts on Twitter] Thanks!
x.com/randymot4/stat…
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@omw @Maks_NAFO_FELLA I wish for younger candidates on both sides, but Biden's age isn't a reason to vote for an insurrectionist who's only 3 years younger. I'm not a Biden fan but his effectiveness in getting bills passed the partisan Congress impressed me. His political experiences show.
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@silentlurker82 @ItsMeLeeBo @PierreDelecto02 @FreeUkraine91 @newtgingrich @renrubuk May 2023 troll. Bye.
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@ItsMeLeeBo @PierreDelecto02 @FreeUkraine91 @newtgingrich @renrubuk You should go the Ukraine frontlines, warmonger! America will not miss you, MIC bootlicker!
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@matthewallen The vengeful nature of Christianity was why I never like it. It's imperialist threat: If you don't accept, you & your descendants will suffer horribly! I prefer eastern religions where non-believers are just non-enlightened beings. Hell was reserved for truly awful humans.
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@AlexSGaston @UkrReview @Maks_NAFO_FELLA So you think Churchill was a bad leader and Chamberlain was a good one?
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@kromark Why would anyone to go to this length to prove someone's not killed if he's really alive? If he's alive, he just needs to show up at a public place. The troubles they went through make me think he's dead. All the "proof" above could have been photoshopped.
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A proof that the 're-enacted' award-giving video featuring Viktor Sokolov, the commander of the Russian Black Sea fleet who claimed to have been killed in the strike on Sevastopol, was filmed today, on September 27th. twitter.com/novostidnua/st…
Новини Донбасу@novostidnua
З'явилося ще одне непряме підтвердження, що відео з командувачем Чорноморського флоту РФ Віктором Соколовим знято сьогодні t.me/novostidnua/38…
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New @planet satellite image of the Russian Black Sea fleet headquarters after the Sep. 22 Ukrainian strike. Unlike the previous images, this one, without the smoke, clearly demonstrates the impact areas.

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@pustota In the earlier photo, he's sitting leaning forward as we do in a work meeting. In the recent photo, he's leaning back against the "chair" (I still think it looks like a pillow) and his eyes look closed. He didn't speak or move. It looks like an image photoshopped in.
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@skateparken @pustota How "recent" is it? There's no date stamp on it so this is no proof.
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@MarkHertling @GovRonDeSantis @tkelce I got my flu shot last week and an appointment for COVID booster today. My 4th booster as well. My card is running out of space.
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I feel like such a rebel.
Ignoring @GovRonDeSantis and instead taking the advice of @tkelce, I got both Flu shot & #5 Covid today.
Who else follows science & health?
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@yarotrof A body with eyes closed propped up against a pillow is good proof of life to you?
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It wasn’t great for Ukrainian credibility TBH. Russia claimed falsely earlier this year to have killed Zaluzhny and Budanov, but Russian military statements were by then widely dismissed as fantasy. Ukraine until recently had a more sober record.
Yaroslav Trofimov@yarotrof
Admiral Sokolov, the commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, emerges at today’s meeting of the Russian military leadership, by video-link. (The one just below Shoigu.)
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SOROKYNE: 25 SEP 2023_0808
A Planet Labs satellite image from September 25, 2023 shows a very large explosion at a Russian ammunition depot in the town of Sorokyne (Krasnodon), Luhansk Oblast. The depot is located some 130 kilometers from the front line. This attack is particularly interesting because the large Russian logistics hubs located in rear areas in eastern Ukraine have been largely spared by Ukrainian strikes until now.

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@igorsushko Given our 2024 election, "as long as it takes" has an expiration date.
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Andrei Kozyrev was Russia's Foreign Minister under Yeltsin in the 90s.
Supporting Ukraine "as long as it takes" is a horrible slogan-turned-(lack of)-strategy.
Our leadership should reassess our approach.
Proverb: No matter how far you've gone down the wrong path, turn back now!
Andrei V Kozyrev@andreivkozyrev
A wrong strategy of a war as long as it takes instead of victory as soon as possible comes with a rising cost. The Russian military has steadily adapted on the battlefield as it shifts to a strategy of wearing down Ukraine and the West @WSJ
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@DefenceU How many artillery does Russia have left? 6260 were destroyed.
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@Maks_NAFO_FELLA Wouldn't they want to find all the bosies before demolishing it? Or they prefer them "missing"?
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@roy_t_334 @DarthPutinKGB Just to clarify, the 230K certificates are for Russian soldiers. It's not that much lower than Ukraine's estimate of Russian KIAs (270K).
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@DarthPutinKGB does he know about the 230k Certificates for Families of Dead Soldiers?
Newsweek have the gen, but as yet haven't confirmed its veracity
the figure sounds about right tho
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@nepovim_o @Osinttechnical S400 heroically intercepted several drones & missiles several days ago. 🙃
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@KINGWAMI1 @Osinttechnical Yes, the building and people in it sacrificed themselves to intercept the missiles heroically. 🙃
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@schwift_ytick @hugh_kraine @Maks_NAFO_FELLA Just because an approval rate is high, doesn't mean it's a good reason to suspend elections
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