Jeb Ory

Polymarket has over 27 live markets on DeepSeek and its implications for the AI arms race. In today’s Oracle by @jebory: - Nasdaq winners and losers from DeepSeek - Odds DeepSeek used banned Chips - How OpenAI will respond - Odds for AGI this year

7/7 Key takeaway: The AI game just changed -Hardware moat might be an illusion -Cost barriers collapsing -China found a way around US restrictions The race to AGI just got more interesting… read here: news.polymarket.com/p/deepsuck h/t @polymarket, @polymarketinfo and @wasabiboat

6/7 What's next: -21% chance DeepSeek becomes top AI by July -20% chance US bans DeepSeek (like TikTok) -93% chance it stays #1 free app this week OpenAI likely forced to respond - expect faster releases & better security.

🔮 NVIDIA JUST LOST $600B in market cap because a Chinese startup built ChatGPT-level AI for $6M (vs OpenAI’s $100M training spend). Everyone knows that. What happens next? @polymarket is telling us how DeepSeek will impact the AI incumbents. My thread from @polymarketinfo 🧵1/7

We believe equity should be preserved for what it was intended to underwrite: unstructured risk like investments in product and engineering. Components that are “structured”, like S&M and CAC, deserve a solution that is precisely matched to their output generalcatalyst.com/perspectives/t…

@MegPatten @WashSpirit Welcome @MegPatten! It’s a great brand, can’t wait to see where you take it!

⚽️✨Life Update ✨⚽️ As some of you may know, soccer is my first love. I played the beautiful game from ages 2 to 22 - it’s a big part of who I am 🤍 I’m excited to finally share that I’ve joined the @WashSpirit as the Head of Brand Marketing and am your newest DMV resident! ⚽️

@baixx062 This is a very good idea.

Potential correctives include requiring AI to self-identify as AI, embedding identifiers for AI-generated text content, training AI to detect AI-generated content, and implementing guardrails on AI to refuse tasks such as generating arguments in favor of unfounded claims. 9/11

New WP: 🚨Artificial Intelligence Can Persuade Humans on Political Issues🚨Large language models (like #ChatGPT and #GPT3) are changing the world. Here we show that GPT3 can write messages that change people’s attitudes on important policy issues osf.io/stakv 🧵1/11

@baixx062 Very interesting…

Exclusive interview: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman spoke with me about ChatGPT and whether it will replace Google Search, his company's unusual investment from Microsoft -- and how the coming artificial general intelligence could "break capitalism." forbes.com/sites/alexkonr…

Known as the "father of the video game cartridge," Lawson led the team that would create a system that paved the way for several popular video game consoles. cnet.co/3uetdfd

@BobEUnlimited Smart money holding the bag.

One of the biggest dynamics in '23 will be the recognition that privately held, illiquid assets are worth nothing close to their current marks. VC, PE, CRE, PC are all marked around highs and do not reflect the re-pricing of the risk free rate, let alone any economic weakness.

Strong analysis by Fiona Hill of how Putin is looking at his war in Ukraine… “Elon Musk Is Transmitting a Message for Putin’ politi.co/3CFM72d via @politico

Congratulations to our Tech Accelerator graduates 🤩 We can't wait to see what's next for these bright young people! 💥 #DCTech #FutureOfWork #TechApprenticeships

“The more specific and urgent your call to action is, the more engagement you will get” said @jebory, commenting on advocacy efforts at NADA's Washington Conference #NADAWC

Rock and a Hard Place is thrilled that, this year, we had THREE stories selected as Distinguished Stories in Best American Mystery and Suspense, 2022 Bad Hearted Man by @TravisWBeaty The Six of Me by @SJ_Writer and Courtesy. Professionalism. Respect. by @richie_narvaez