Jerg Gutmann 🇺🇦

@KaiGehring1 @schnellenbachj @OrdoliberalBG @StefanKooths The more interesting and relevant question is whether AI makes hybrid systems more feasible compared to pure market economies. This links to Daron's argument about elite interest in having control over markets for their private benefit.

@KaiGehring1 @schnellenbachj @OrdoliberalBG @StefanKooths I think AI could help a lot with quantification and aggregation, but what you call collection remains unresolved. If without market exchange AI has no data to quantify and aggregate, it does not help with the fundamental problem.

I love Daron, but he is wrong on this, this is not Hayek's full argument. He is actually saying EVEN with infinite compute pure central planning is doomed to fail. The reason is that not all information can be - collected - quantified - well aggregated

🚨 Out Now: Elgar Encyclopedia of Public Choice, edited by Richard Jong-A-Pin & Christian Bjørnskov Learn more: e-elgar.com/shop/isbn/9781… Free chapter: doi.org/10.4337/978180… Contributors: @Nonicoc, @fuchs_andreas, @NathanPGoodman, @jerggutmann, @humphreys_brad , @PhilWMagness

The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025. US Constitution & institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.

@majdzadehr & @jerggutmann, co-authors in The Lancet, discuss with @ShabnamvonHein how #sanctions on #Iran worsen access to vital medicines & strain the health system. They call for enforceable humanitarian exemptions and better monitoring shorturl.at/EpyMi

How much do political leaders themselves matter for international politics? At a @UniLeiden lecture on 19 Nov, @jerggutmann (@unihh) explores if countries ruled by political leaders with more similar backgrounds are less likely to sanction each other. universiteitleiden.nl/en/events/2025…

The nation-state foundations of constitutional compliance link.springer.com/article/10.100…

The next IIEA webinar is scheduled for 12 November at 17:00 CET. @majdzadehr and @jerggutmann will talk about #Sanctions and their effects on #health and #conflict. Register to join here: iraneconomics.org/webinars

1/5 Our new correspondence in @TheLancet is a warning. The reimposition of UN sanctions on Iran threatens a public health crisis, and the international community is unprepared. We argue for a new approach. doi.org/10.1016/S0140-… #Iran #Sanctions #GlobalHealth

Currently in FirstView: In “An Expert-Sourced Measure of Judicial Ideology,” @KevinLynnCope develops a dynamic method for estimating the ideology of federal judges. The Jurist-Derived Judicial Ideology Score (JuDJIS) is based on over 20,000 evaluations by a sample of jurists.

The other day a student asked me about the prevalence of insider trading in prediction markets. I now have an answer.

📢 Einladung: ECONWATCH-Online-Meeting am 20. Oktober, 19:30 Uhr Thema: „Kapitalistischer Frieden und ökonomische Machtpolitik“ mit @TimKriegerFR (Uni Freiburg). 👉 Anmeldung bis 16.10. an info@econwatch.org

Finally, @TimSchnelle has contributed one of the very few studies on effects of constitutional compliance, asking whether noncompliance accelerates constitutional change. doi.org/10.1007/s10602… 6/6

@LewkowiczJacek, @ka_met_sza, and Jan Fałkowski have studied whether governments in more polarized societies comply less with their country's constitution. doi.org/10.1007/s10602… 5/6

Our special issue on the economics of constitutional compliance just appeared in Constitutional Political Economy. @ka_met_sza and I have written a short introduction that links the different contributions. rdcu.be/eInEP 1/6

Join us for #IIEA Panel #29 on "Sanctions & Human Rights" on Wed, 10 Sep 2025, 17:00 CET! Speaker Dursun Peksen (@uofmpolisci ) on "Political Repression in Post-Sanctions Countries." Sign up at iraneconomics.org/webinars #Webinar #HumanRights #Sanctions

Leader Similarity and International Sanctions by Jerg Gutmann, Pascal Langer, Matthias Neuenkirch papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…