jingrangmuke81(Merlin 🔮🧙)

principles.com/Principles-For… 从第41页开始讲通胀去杠杆，完美贴合牢美现状。总结：牢美具有典型的通胀去杠杆的条件：生产低于消费导致的贸易财政赤字，热钱涌入和债务推高的资产泡沫。一旦泡沫破裂预期反转，热钱流失导致无法借钱满足支出，经济衰退同时恶性通胀。

@IranMediaNow Barbecued little girl serves Israel. So American president is a barbecued little girl.

Chinese President serves China. Russian President serves Russia. Iranian President serves Iran. American President serves Israel.

@shanaka86 Does "missing" mean that their children will not get the money?

BREAKING: A US Air Force KC-135 Stratotanker crashed in western Iraq on 12th March. Six crew are missing. Rescue operations are underway. A second KC-135 involved in the same incident declared an emergency and landed safely, reportedly in Tel Aviv. CENTCOM confirmed the cause was not hostile fire. On the same day, the USS Gerald R. Ford caught fire in its laundry spaces in the Red Sea. Two sailors injured. Also not combat-related. Two incidents. Same day. Same war. Same cause: a military operating at a tempo its infrastructure was not designed to sustain. The KC-135 is the aircraft nobody talks about because it never fires a weapon. It carries fuel. It is the flying petrol station that makes every other aircraft in Operation Epic Fury possible. The B-2 that flew from Missouri to drop a GBU-57 on Parchin did not carry enough fuel to reach Iran and return. A KC-135 met it somewhere over the Atlantic, or the Mediterranean, or Iraq, and transferred 200,000 pounds of jet fuel through a boom at 530 miles per hour at 30,000 feet. The F-35s flying combat air patrols over the Gulf refuel from KC-135s. The surveillance aircraft mapping IRGC positions refuel from KC-135s. The electronic warfare platforms jamming Iranian radars refuel from KC-135s. Without tankers, the air war stops. The aircraft that crashed was designed in the 1950s. The KC-135 is a military derivative of the Boeing 707. It entered service in 1956. The airframe that fell in the Iraqi desert was built during the Eisenhower administration. It has been re-engined, upgraded with CFM56 turbofans that produce 50% more fuel offload and 25% better efficiency than the original, modernised with Block 45 avionics, and extended beyond every projected retirement date because its replacement, the KC-46 Pegasus, has been delayed for over a decade by technical problems that Boeing still has not fully resolved. The USAF is fighting the most complex air campaign since Desert Storm with tankers older than the pilots flying them. Six human beings are missing in western Iraq tonight because this aircraft, which has been in continuous service for 70 years, was performing the mission that makes the $2.8 billion daily burn rate possible. The B-2 costs $2 billion. The F-35 costs $80 million. The GBU-57 costs $3.5 million. The KC-135 that puts all of them in range costs a crew of three, a boom operator, and a 70-year-old airframe held together by maintenance schedules that were designed for peacetime rotation, not a six-front war against a country whose Supreme Leader just ordered continuous strikes from a hospital bed. The Ford’s laundry fire and the KC-135 crash are not connected by cause. They are connected by condition. A nine-month carrier deployment and a 70-year-old tanker fleet are both symptoms of the same structural problem: America is fighting a war with the logistics of a peacetime military. The weapons are 21st century. The platforms that deliver them are Cold War relics operating beyond their design parameters because the replacements were never built fast enough and the war started before the transition was complete. Col. Razmjou of Khatam al-Anbiya predicted this. Not the crash. Not the fire. The attrition. The $20,000 Shahed does not need to hit a KC-135. It needs to keep the KC-135 flying 18-hour sorties, day after day, week after week, in a 70-year-old airframe, until something gives. Today, something gave. Six families are waiting for news from western Iraq. The fire is out on the Ford. The rescue continues in Iraq. And the war that was “very complete” just lost an aircraft that nobody knew was the most important one in the sky. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@leadlagreport Still too many population in Taiwan island. We are happy to see the blockade of oil in middle East. Better time awaiting ahead.

If China were to make a move on Taiwan, it’s now. Another massively underpriced risk in my view.

@lv210923759 The unhappiness face disappeared when American nuked Japs. Do you want to make more happiness?

中国人の友だちと日本で遊んでる時に、日本人は中国人だとわかると明らかに嫌な顔をしたり、サービスをやめたのを何度も見た。 爺さん婆さんならわかるが、若い人が。 日本人だけでいてもそんなことされたことなかったから、初めての経験。差別されてると感じたし、中国人の友だちに申し訳なく感じた。

@hanaamurakami "nukes" , when ameircans think of Japan

As a Japanese person, I’m curious what’s the first thing that pops into your head when you think of Japan? 🧐 Like how people think of “nukes” when they think of America or “carpets” when they think of Iran.

@chinafutureclub Australia is a place of compulsory labor.

China is not a morning place. Nothing is open before 10am and all the social energy happens at night. It’s different to Australia where lots of people wake up early as a habit.

@NoLimitGains What's the investing area of these blackrock's private fund?@grok

🚨 SOMETHING BIG JUST HAPPENED: BlackRock just blocked investors from pulling their own money out. The world’s largest asset manager is telling people: no, you can’t have your cash back. This has never happened before. BlackRock’s $26 billion private credit fund got hit with $1.2 billion in withdrawal requests this quarter. Investors wanted 9.3% of their money back. BlackRock said no. Capped it at 5%. Paid out $620 million and locked the rest. That means almost HALF the people who wanted out couldn’t get out. And it’s not just BlackRock. Blackstone’s similar fund saw a RECORD 7.9% in redemption requests. They had to raise their withdrawal cap and inject $400 million of their own money just to cover the demand. Blue Owl straight up stopped honoring redemptions. Replaced them with IOUs. BLK dropped 5%. KKR, Carlyle, Apollo, Ares, Blue Owl, and TPG all fell 5-6% with it. The entire private credit sector sold off in a single day. These funds lend money in illiquid loans. Loans that can’t be sold quickly. So when too many investors want out at the same time, the fund doesn’t have the cash to pay everyone. BlackRock also just wrote a separate $25 million loan down to ZERO. It was valued at full price three months ago. Gone overnight. JPMorgan’s Bill Eigen said it best: “Bad news often happens all at once. The opacity and the leverage in the sector is concerning.” This is a $1.8 TRILLION industry. – Rising oil. – War in the Middle East. – AI disrupting the software companies that borrowed heavily from these funds. – Rate cuts off the table. When the biggest funds in the world start telling investors you can’t have your money back… That’s a MAJOR warning.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Btw, I’ve been an investor for more than 20 years, and when I make a new move in the market, I’ll announce it here publicly. A lot of people will wish they followed me sooner.

🚨 BREAKING: This is HUGE for crypto. Most people have no idea what they’re looking at… but they should. If you’re holding any amount of crypto, you need to see this. The U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) just issued an interpretive letter confirming that national banks are now allowed to engage in riskless principal transactions involving crypto-assets. Let me translate that into normal language: ✅ Banks can buy a crypto asset from one party ✅ Instantly resell it to another party ✅ Without ever holding inventory risk ✅ All legally sanctioned by the OCC This means one thing: U.S. banks now have a regulatory green light to act as intermediaries in crypto markets. Why this matters: – This is the exact mechanism banks use in traditional markets to scale liquidity. – It opens the door for deeper institutional flow. – It pushes crypto further into the core banking system. – And it signals that regulators aren’t trying to kill crypto, they’re trying to integrate it. People keep waiting for “mass adoption” like it’s a single event. In reality, it happens quietly, buried in documents like this one. Circle this date. This is one of those moments we’ll look back on and say: “That’s when the door really opened.” I called the bottom at $16k and the top at $126k, and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at. Pay close attention. You’ll wish you followed me sooner.

@KaliraBlack 主要是结婚是这辈子风险最高的事情，完全赌，胜率不高，败了万劫不复

@jingrangmuke81 虽然 基于我过去的经历 人还是要尽量把时间留给更健康的关系 如果没有 就把时间留给自己

这还能写书？人妻不都上赶着送的吗？

@KaliraBlack 是这样的。大部分人的婚姻都如此

@jingrangmuke81 我现在好像越来越看明白了 大部分人的婚姻真就一地鸡毛 在我看来 柴米油盐太消耗感情了 不要轻易恋爱（毕竟分手后可能朋友都当不成）科技不能无痛解决琐事之前不要轻易结婚

@mg49k6591t 你到底自认是不是中国人？

日本高市首相可能將參拜靖國神社 我台灣人絕對支持！ 一、過去日本處處自我矮化顧慮中國人感受，中國有因此不仇日嗎？沒有。甚至日本兒童還在中國被屠殺 二、既然不管怎做中國都那副屎樣，那為何不挺直腰桿好好做自己？ 三、日本首相祭拜為日本戰死的將士，天經地義 你越不怕中國，中國會越怕你

@skyguoCypherium 确实，卖淫女都是旧社会压迫导致的

我必须要说 这些女生是受害者 她们被哈佛的光环和奖学金骗过去 沦为了老色批们的性玩具 因为I20和签证而不敢声张 请不要对她们报以偏见 那些整天把尊重女性挂在嘴上的小龟男们 你们有为女性同胞挺身而出吗 论迹不论心 希望每个华人都站出来发声 请不要吃瓜取乐 我们的先辈当过慰安妇 而我们的同龄人也正在遭受着同样的苦难 newmitbbs.com/viewtopic.php?…

@Fabianduduosaka 爱丁堡人不是对政治不感兴趣，我线下认识的爱丁堡人从80后到60后没有一个不恨国牧羊的，没有一个

如果《朝日新闻》的报道属实，不得不说，浦东机场的场景真是我们民族的悲哀…… “对政治不感兴趣”？ 其实是毫无民族气节。

@xiaxiyan528 仨坤坤

老实说，三姐妹当中选一个做老婆，你会选哪个？

@nytchinese 我们的希望在于对你们做你们曾经对印第安人做的事情，都怪某党拦着不让我们做，好绝望

#观点 中国人正生活在一种奇怪的悖论之中。在国际上，中国看似强大。但在国内，人们对经济和个人前景黯淡的绝望感无处不在。人们感到自己成了一个痴迷于世界大国地位和击败美国的国家的牺牲品，无从发声。cn.nytimes.com/opinion/202511…

READ THIS TWICE: EXCHANGE STABLECOIN RESERVES ARE EXPLODING. THIS IS DRY POWDER. THIS IS POSITIONING. THIS IS PREPARATION FOR A MOVE. WHALES DON’T PARK BILLIONS FOR NOTHING. ARE THEY WAITING FOR LOWER PRICES… OR PREPARING TO STRIKE FIRST?

@Minokakay 你这么说，是让鬼子僭越了，怎么能说比欧洲国家都大呢🤣🤣

日本人在听到我来自中国后基本都会说中国是个很大的国家 我一般都会回应 日本也是个很大的国家，无论地理上还是历史文化上。 日本人一般都会说 为啥 你们中国无论地理上还是历史文化上都比我们日本大多了。 我只好告诉他们 你们觉得日本小只是因为你们在中国和俄罗斯边上，这俩比澳洲还大了，要是你们在欧洲，你们会是西欧最大的国家，无论文化上还是地理上。 日本的文化和历史很优秀很悠长，可惜日本在中国边上，日本的领土也很大，可惜日本在俄罗斯和中国边上。 这么看日本真挺可怜的，，

@CaptJack0427 @CarlZha Democrazy lead you fat big ass🤣🤣

@CarlZha No democracy in their lunch

School lunch in China.

@chen8340 @CarlZha American prisoners eat steak, play PS5, and don't work 12 hours or donate blood for a fresh vegetable🤣🤣

@CarlZha Like jail

@DarioOrtiz1976 @CarlZha Wild fire in California?🤣🤣🤣

@CarlZha They BBC: But at what cost??