Sir Nigel Gresley

@pollsstar @stuartpowell @JChimirie66677 Not everyone is happy about anything!!

@JLBKL @stuartpowell @JChimirie66677 Not everyone is happy about it

The Right Lost Big In Makerfield And Won Big In Aberdeen. The Difference Is Discipline. Andy Burnham won Makerfield with 54.8% of the vote and a 9,231 majority. Reform finished 20 points behind. Every poll in the run up to Thursday had this as a close contest. Survation had Burnham at 43 and Kenyon at 40. The actual result was not close. It was a landslide. The temptation is to explain this away with the vote split argument that has anchored analysis of this seat for weeks. Restore took 7%, almost double what senior Reform figures predicted on the night, taking real votes from Kenyon in a seat the right needed. That fracture is real and Farage himself called the result disappointing, urging Restore voters to think again. One in 15 Makerfield voters backed a party that did not exist a year ago. That is not a footnote. It is the central fact a divided right now has to reckon with. But 20 points is too large a margin to be explained by a 7 point third party alone. Something else moved. The most plausible explanation is the one the smaller parties' vote share points toward. A consolidation of left of centre support behind Labour, motivated less by enthusiasm for Burnham than by a determination to keep Reform out, would explain a meaningful share of a swing this size. The same instinct that delivers tactical voting at general elections, where Green and Lib Dem voters routinely back Labour in marginal seats to stop the right, appears to have operated here at scale. Burnham's own personal standing is also a genuine factor. Farage compared him to Boris Johnson's personal popularity as London mayor, a fair comparison. The same night told a very different story in Scotland. In Aberdeen South, contested simultaneously, the Conservatives gained the seat from the SNP with 49.5% of the vote, a 25.1 point swing. Reform finished a distant third on 8.6%. Labour collapsed to 5.4%. Where Makerfield saw the left consolidate around Labour, Aberdeen South saw the right consolidate almost entirely around the Conservatives. The contrast is instructive. Aberdeen South suggests consolidation on the right is achievable when one party is clearly the dominant challenger and the contest is framed around a question, in this case the Union, that unites right of centre voters more naturally than immigration policy currently does. Makerfield suggests that where Reform and Restore are both viable options, the right of centre vote splits exactly as the arithmetic always predicted it would, while the left, faced with the same choice between Labour, the Lib Dems and the Greens, consolidates instinctively around whichever party can win. What should worry the right is not which seat is more representative. It is that both outcomes point toward the same underlying truth. A divided right loses even where it should win. A unified right, as Aberdeen South shows, can still deliver landslide victories against a collapsing SNP and an even more collapsed Labour. The difference between the two results is not the public mood. It is discipline. Burnham now returns to Westminster with a comfortable majority and a clear path toward a leadership challenge. Starmer has confirmed he will not walk away and will stand if a contest is triggered. The mayoral by-election to replace Burnham will now be fought under the supplementary vote system rushed through the Lords two days before this result, a system designed to allow exactly the kind of left consolidation that may have just delivered this landslide. Restore took 7% in Makerfield and will not disappear. Aberdeen South proves the right can still win decisively when it is not competing against itself. The question facing Farage, Badenoch and Lowe is not whether the public wants change. Aberdeen South answers that emphatically. The question is whether they can stop handing seats like Makerfield to a party the country has already rejected. "The Right Lost Big In Makerfield And Won Big In Aberdeen."

@stuartpowell @JChimirie66677 @pollsstar Brexit won didn't they?

@JLBKL @JChimirie66677 @pollsstar The Brexit Party tried that in 2019 to give Conservtives a massive majority - think again.

@andrewlawrence @laverda1969 😂😂😂👍

By far the shittest production of 'The Wizard of Oz' ever attempted.

@benonwine Toast.

Describe Andy Burnham in ONE Word?

That are not voting for Labour they are voting for Andy Burnham as they see him as a savour of Britain. They do not want Starmer or Reform and they don't trust the Tories or Liberals , do not see the Greens or Restore as viable so they hope that Burnham will save us all. We shall see.

Makerfields result has filled me with doubt for the country and darkened hope. How can 55% of the voters vote for Labour? How do you look around the country, see it in tatters, a shambles, dystopian nightmare and go: "yes! give me more of that!". Restore Britain must double down

@KeithOl39477907 @SlyForTheRight Well I like them both and Ben as well. What I see that is unacceptable is personal feelings standing in front of the good of the Nation.

@JLBKL @SlyForTheRight Almost like it is by design. Let us not see and vapidly utilise colour for political gain; content of character is all. High resolution thinkers see through Farage. I back him over uni-party, but Rupert's character and offering is vastly superior in every sense

🚨 CHAOS ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL IN MAKERFIELD 🚨 An Indian-British Reform UK canvasser is spotted campaigning in Makerfield when a reporter asks a simple question: “What’s the response been like on the doors?” All he can manage is “very good, very good”… before he’s abruptly cut off by fellow English canvassers shouting over him and shutting the conversation down. So here’s the question: why the panic? What exactly are they trying to avoid answering? 👀

@afneil @UxbEconomist07 A simple word of sense in a storm of stupidity. Well done 👍

Remarkable victory for the Tories in Aberdeen South, beating SNP 50% to 29% — as resounding as Burnham in Makerfield. But it’s not replicable for the Tories on a national scale — and before the year is out Labour will discover that neither is Makerfield.

@Paul_lovmarina @MatthewStadlen Then why are you bothering me then ? 🤷

@JLBKL @MatthewStadlen There were lots of Windrush given indefinite leave to remain . Why are you acting like you’re thick? And that’s only part of it. During the 80’s there were 50k to 60k given indefinite leave remain. every single year. I’ve come to the conclusion you’re a fucking idiot.

Farage’s policy of kicking people out of their homes for not being British is profoundly un-British. We are careering towards dystopia.

@MartinKnight_ No they are all up on lampposts 😃

What’s missing? No England flags on cars. One day before our first match little palpable excitement for the World Cup. Have we fallen out of love with football? Do we think we will be embarrassed? Are people scared to display national fervour? Are flags too expensive?

@Bbmorg Enemies of the country as in “Counter Revolutionists” Comrade?

Anyone who supported the Starmer rent boys story are either idiots or enemies of this Country.

@Moltisa72098853 @LBC @jonsopel What, for thinking that the BBC and other media deliberately fake up news stories? It is a fact that they do. How stupid are you for thinking otherwise🙄

@JLBKL @LBC @jonsopel How stupid are you ?

'I want to believe that, because it reinforces my worldview.' @jonsopel describes baseless conspiracy theories circulating on far-right corners of the internet as 'corrosive to democratic life'.

You are talking nonsense chap. The windrush generation was not 500,000 but the 1973 was not all windrush was it 🤦🏻 In 1973 there was no DEI or positive discrimination so any of those who were granted a leave to stay could and should have applied for British citizenship although as they can from the Commonwealth they would had had the same or similar rights. None of. There people would have jumped the queue because there was no such rules in those days. So none of there people are relevant to the situation in hand. Having Google and being able to read it is not enough, you need to understand what you are reading as well. The issue is about undocumented non British illegal immigrants being given council houses ahead of indigenous British people of all ethnicities who are on the housing list but who are set aside for non British immigrants. So I will ask you again:- Is it fair for such people to jump the queue and get a council house to the detriment of those on the housing list?

@JLBKL @MatthewStadlen What are you talking about man. Stop with the bullshit already it’s embarrassing. You’re privy to to Google just like anyone else. You’re trying to bore the shit out of me with utter BS now. 🤦🏻‍♂️

Terrified by the sudden appearance of a notorious two masted schooner Captained by the infamous Indigo Cudgeon the Russians fired a warning shot across its bows. The Fearless Cudgeon shook a full bottle of Bolinger (bought at Sainsbury's - 25% off) and fired back with the aerodynamic cork still wrapped in its retaining wire. The cork whizzed across Briny Sea and struck the Russian Captain in the eye. Panic Ensued on the Russian ship and now without a leader they had no choice but to strike their colours in surrender. But Cudgeon refused to take them prisoner saying "I'm not sharing my Bolly with that bloody lot" And so an international incident was avoided as the ships sailed off in different directions saluting each other as they went. (Much better story than we had on the BBC don't you think?) 😬😬😬😂😂😂

Let me translate from the Russian for you: 'We are giving you fair warning that the next time that you Brits mess with one of our shadow fleet tankers and you embarrass us with that ridiculous PR stunt ahead of the G7 conference, this is what is going to happen. Just a little taster - and we are happy to do it in your back yard because we think that your armed forces and your political will to act are weak'.

@robertwlk Good point Bob? Also thank goodness the fish drink so much of it!👍

Imagine how high the ocean levels would be if it wasn’t full of sponges?

@christywhy9 It's not a bold claim it is an idiotic one as Jesus died centuries before Islam existed.

@I_Warned_You_68 @zarahussain999 And you are a lying idiot bye bye 👋 👋

@JLBKL @zarahussain999 Yeah I’ve had dogs all my life. You clearly want the dog to suffer while it waits for a vet, you’re a sadistic shithead who tortures animals in their final moments.

Restore Britain leader Rupert Lowe moans about halal being cruel and inhumane, but he ordered his pet dog to be shot. Isn’t that cruel and inhumane? The hypocrisy from this man and his party is sickening.

@I_Warned_You_68 @zarahussain999 Look it up on grok, this A I machine understands it more than you do.🙄

@JLBKL @zarahussain999 I train protection dogs. Absolute bollocks, you’d rather make the animal suffer longer so you can claim you did it humanely, when you actually tortured the animal in its final moments.