Mohan Malik 实事求是

“The world is on the edge of a gathering storm of military crises.History shows that regional crises often simmer slowly before erupting suddenly into wars..The decline of old and the rise of new powers is often accompanied by lawlessness, disorder, chaos” openthemagazine.com/feature/the-ed…

“Expect Beijing to counter the project through support for domestic critics in India, calibrated military countermeasures, and diplomatic pressure on Myanmar, Thailand and Bangladesh. Circumventing American and Indian defenses and penetrating the Andaman Sea are crucial to China’s Indian Ocean goals.” pacforum.org/publications/p…

‘The note makes extensive use of terms such as “non-viable,” “non-implementable,” and “non-logical,” along with structured elements like headings, numbered arguments, and subsections.’ That’s clear proof that’s it’s written by a Chinese govt think tank and not by @Jairam_Ramesh @RahulGandhi As I said last year👇 pacforum.org/publications/p… “Expect Beijing to counter the project through support for domestic critics in India, calibrated military countermeasures, and diplomatic pressure on Myanmar, Thailand and Bangladesh. Circumventing American and Indian defenses and penetrating the Andaman Sea are crucial to China’s Indian Ocean goals.”

@khanumarfa @khanumarfa FYI: Polarization has its origins in Ghazwa-e-Hind.

Polarization of Bengal is complete.

🚨IT'S OFFICIAL: The U.S confirms the new WORLD ORDER! 🇺🇸 U.S Secretary of State - Marco Rubio: “Russia, China, and Iran are not going to come from outside our hemisphere, destabilize our region in our own backyard, not under President Trump.” “THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE IS OURS!”

@NisargSDalal Think I was responding to a question on Asia-Pacific defence budgets. You’re right that the Quad is not a military alliance but two Quad members, Japan and Australia, are the U.S. treaty allies.

Small correction: The video is of the year 2024.

Prof. M Malik (@jmohanmalik), a noted academic on China, argued in 2025 before the arrival of the Trump 2.0 admin that the T 1.0 admin didn’t complain about the Quad members spending low on defence. I fundamentally disagree on relating Quad with defence spending itself.

Jairam Ramesh posted a four-page document opposing the Great Nicobar project. I read the document carefully and found it very unusual from the perspective of a political leader. It gives the impression that it may be the product of a large and well-resourced ecosystem, possibly involving NGOs, subject-matter experts, and other institutional actors like secret service agencies Here are the arguments supporting this assessment: 1. Hyper-precise data: The document contains highly granular ecological data from a protected zone, which may be difficult for a typical NGO to collect independently. This raises the possibility of access to advanced monitoring inputs, such as Chinese monitoring, satellite intelligence or maritime surveillance insights 2. Speed of publication: The government released its position on 1 May, and within 48 hours Jairam Ramesh responded with a detailed and data-heavy document. This suggests the possibility that the material was pre-prepared or supported by prior research inputs. 3. Strategic alignment with Beijing’s interests: The document advances positions that closely mirror those often articulated by analysts perceived as sympathetic to China, and which align with outcomes Beijing would likely prefer. Several maritime experts argue that the Great Nicobar project could disadvantage China, making opposition to it strategically aligned with Chinese interests. 4. Hyperlink scrutiny: The document notes that a government link to the Environmental Management Plan leads to an unrelated pharmaceutical file. This doesn't look casual observation of a busy politician; it is the work of someone who clicked through every hyperlink in the official press note with forensic patience, behaviour typical of a professional research team 5. Unusual language and structure: The note makes extensive use of terms such as “non-viable,” “non-implementable,” and “non-logical,” along with structured elements like headings, numbered arguments, and subsections. This style is commonly seen in legal documents, NGO reports, and formal policy briefs and Chinese think tanks Conclusion: The document is highly structured, Data-rich, Strategically impactful, which gives me hint that Jairam Ramesh did not write this document. There may be a big invisible ecosystem behind this protest 1-2

📢My new essay continues my work on the imp of the Great Nicobar project and in this essay I detail why India’s Great Nicobar Project is a strategic nightmare for the CCP’s maritime power projection. And China understands this only too well. Online link - sundayguardianlive.com/editors-choice…

This certainly belongs to the “In a move likely to anger China,…” genre of reporting by the @nytimes, @washingtonpost @FT, @CNN, @BBCWorld @ChannelNewsAsia @dw …

From phones to humanoid robots:“China’s smartphone and electronics supply chain is adapting its expertise to support the country’s fledgling but fast-growing humanoid robotics industry, as component suppliers seek new growth beyond a slowing mobile market” scmp.com/tech/tech-tren…

“In short, the ‘pivot to the Americas’ reflects a classic great-power effort to consolidate a sphere of influence under conditions of intensifying systemic rivalry. Latin America and the Caribbean—once peripheral to U.S.–China rivalry—are being recast as contested strategic space. As Washington increasingly treats Chinese influence as a security threat rather than a neutral economic presence, space for coexistence narrows. What began as an Indo-Pacific rivalry is becoming a global contest over access, alignment, and influence.” tandfonline.com/eprint/Z84CIAV…

Mao Goes Maritime — By @ChrisHSharman @ChinaMaritime @NavalWarCollege @USNavy “China’s navy is quietly reimagining Mao Zedong’s “People’s War”—a guerrilla strategy for land defense—as a blueprint for global naval conflict. Chinese strategists contend its asymmetric logic can be carried to the far seas, transforming a revolutionary idea born in the countryside into guidance for confronting the United States on the world’s oceans.” usni.org/magazines/proc…

“The stalled India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) could gain a new lease of life, since its geopolitical value lies in bypassing all three critical chokepoints—the Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and the Suez Canal—through integrated railroads and maritime links extending to the Mediterranean.” mei.nus.edu.sg/publication/me…

“This is not the first time the Strait has been threatened or disrupted. Military colleges around the world have war-gamed this scenario for decades. Yet, when it happened, the world was ill-prepared to deal with it. The crisis has exposed the limits of existing deterrence and preparedness frameworks.” mei.nus.edu.sg/publication/me…

“The Gulf’s energy future—and the Gulf states’ power and prosperity—will be defined less by the ‘volume of exports’ and more by the ability to ensure the ‘security of flow.’ In this emerging order, resilience, redundancy and contested access will define strategic and economic power.” mei.nus.edu.sg/publication/me…

What’s particularly concerning is that what Iran is doing in Hormuz is replicable elsewhere eg. by China in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea. The danger is a shift toward a fragmented maritime order where access becomes conditional & might is right mei.nus.edu.sg/publication/me…