Josh Pasek (Frozen Account)

What is amazing about this poll result is that 1) these are not "values" and 2) all of the "values" they ask about have a completely different context than in the prior surveys - Interpreting them is a BIG challenge and everyone in the polling world knows it

@JohnKasich I suggest @AdamKinzinger

A block of House Republicans should get together with Democrats to pick a speaker to run a coalition government, which will moderate the House and marginalize the extremists.

@kevin_dorst @RaBhui @DG_Rand @DmitriGallow @KieranSetiya @hakeemjefferson @FabianNeuner and I found strong evidence that this happens with racial attitudes and police shootings cambridge.org/core/journals/…

...soon. (Looking at you, @RaBhui and @DG_Rand!) If you're interested, please get in touch! For now, many thanks to many people for questions, objections, encouragement, and making the project 1000x better than it would've been. On Twitter: @DmitriGallow, @KieranSetiya...

"Rational Polarization" is now forthcoming in The Philosophical Review! philpapers.org/rec/DORRP-2 (Shorter version: kevindorst.com/uploads/8/8/1/…) 5 years in the making; still lots more to figure out. Here's the TLDR, and a detailed summary:

@BillyJoyner More likely to be purchased by some foreign government though after we have all abandoned the place.

Everything you've ever said on Twitter getting vaporized into oblivion could actually be pretty great

The vibes… youtube.com/watch?v=frAEmh…

also proud to have published a scientific study based in part on street interviews from a @JimmyKimmelLive clip

Is the influence of question wording about framing or comprehension? We find it is often both.

@apearlma @gelliottmorris That was the source of my best-ever NYT Quote: “If somebody’s not transparent you can generally assume they’re crap.”

@zeynep We have a repository of data here at Michigan, but may only be internally usable; happy to try to find a local collaborator if you want - can you share a little more info/send an email?

Quick Poll: Are there folks with 2020-2022 wearable data (Apple Watch, Whoop, etc.) who might consider sharing it with a research team, if it came to be? We’d ask about Covid status and ongoing symptoms or Long Covid. Trying to gauge plausibility of a quick pilot study.

@NathanKalmoe @ntdPhD The marginal question is whether things change the probability of chaos if we had a perfect replication of the 2020 election scenario. To that Q, it seems the answer is the likelihood went down rather than up. Reps would need to win in 2024 rather than just pretend they did.

@jmping @ntdPhD Even if Rep Congressional threat was fully quelled, there's plenty of madness to go around outside of Congress, and I'm thinking about trajectories across more than one election cycle. I guess Ryan specified "short-term," though I'm not sure how limited that is exactly.

@NathanKalmoe @ntdPhD Yes, but the chance that we can avoid that madness is considerably higher today than we thought it would be yesterday. For madness to occur, Reps need to take the house more decisively than they are going to this cycle.

@ntdPhD At best, the election temporarily slowed the descent into madness.

chilling

22 months ago a violent insurrection inspired by the President sought to overturn a democratic election and prevent the peaceful transfer of power. The threat is now, if anything, worse. 2020 denialism is now pervasive & the legitimacy of the 2022 election is already under attack

@josh_braun I’m @jmping@mastodon.social

@nataliemj10 Ouch, that one stung.

Do all the laid off Twitter employees have a valid noncompete clause or are they instead perfectly poised to create a rival social network?

@davekarpf @cmMcConnaughy I wasn’t implying that you *would* do it, just that you are one of the few who could

Is there someone capable of writing the definitive comparison of social media/tech companies of the New Guilded Age to the railroads of the first Gilded Age?

@dfreelon I’d be in - I could also host it here through the Michigan Institute for Data Science if desired