@MarkDiStef I struggle to see how Taylor gets those odds relative to Hanson. I think the most likely outcome is ALP re-elected but if not I think it’ll be a populist wave to ONP, I just can’t see a LNP win in the short term
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LS
2.1K posts
You can do it on Sportsbet now:
Anthony Albanese $1.67
Angus Taylor $3.75
Pauline Hanson $10
Jim Chalmers $13
Andrew Hastie $17
Barnaby Joyce $26
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie
You have one last chance to make generational wealth and it is betting on Pauline Hanson as the next Australian Prime Minister as soon as it's up on Polymarket.
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@landOffering @RyanGeddie Do you actually think they wanted to hit the school and not the officers next to the school?
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@jo80351174 @RyanGeddie It’s not collateral damage when you know it’s going to happen and you just don’t give a fuck
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We tomahawked a school full of little girls not so long ago and every right winger in the replies of this post tweaking out about a centuries old tragedy defended this
James II did nothing wrong@James_II_1688
never forget what the jacobins did to Louis XVII, he was just a child when they tortured him, he was only 10 when he died, and keep in mind this is just what wikipidia is willing to have up, imagine how much worse the full truth is.
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@esjesjesj I happen to think physical violence is worse than an ugly word. I feel you people would agree if the races were reversed. Why should the person be rewarded for being incapable of controlling themselves?
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Getting someone to attack you so you can claim self defense when you shoot them should be first degree murder
Dexerto@Dexerto
Streamer ChudTheBuilder has been charged with attempted murder after shooting a man and himself in Tennessee He's also being held on charges of aggravated assault, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, and reckless endangerment with a deadly weapon
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@AdamKinzinger You can think the word is ugly and also think physical violence is worse than any word.
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So maga gave 100k to a guy who walks around calling people the N word.
How does this make you feel maga?
Right Wing Cope@RightWingCope
MAGA has given $104k to Chud the Builder for a legal fees on a case he'll obviously lose. Dumbest and most useless movement in the country.
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@ASFleischman People die from punches. Physical violence is much worse than any word. And people have been acquitted after shooting unarmed people. Eg Rittenhouse, Zimmerman etc
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I'm sorry but has nothing to do with race or free speech.
You can't provoke an unarmed person with the intent of shooting him if he poses a non lethal threat.
Joe Prich@JustCallMeJoeP
Regartless what you think of Bud the Chuilder this discussion needed to be had anyway. This whole "I can attack you with impunity because you made a specific sound with your mouth" thing has to come to an end. It's incongruous to a civilized and free society
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@DooshNozzlaz @sunnyright When has Angus King ever gone against democrats in a meaningful vote?
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@sunnyright There's an actual independent senator from Maine. It's not Susan Collins.
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@Grizz_Khalifa31 @TheRealJChubby We’re talking about house members here, not senate. People complain about the house just as much and they get 2 chances every 2 years to kick people out
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@jo80351174 @TheRealJChubby Congressional seats are 6 years with no way of outing someone if they start just doing what lobbyist pay them to do. You literally have to eat shit for 6 whole years.
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God damn, why are these people so against retiring?
Ken Klippenstein@kenklippenstein
87-year-old congresswoman Maxine Waters refuses to rule out a 100-year-old running for Congress.
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@Grizz_Khalifa31 @TheRealJChubby Every district has two votes of no confidence every 2 years. A primary and a general election. If nobody bothers to organise a serious challenge people should stop complaining.
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@TheRealJChubby What we need is every district to be able to start a vote of “no confidence” in their elected representatives if the representative is going against the will of the constituents. That and term limits would actually bring about REAL change and accountability.
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@souljagoyteller Deranged obsession with Israel is anti Semitic. Evoking Nazis to describe a war that has killed fewer civilians than have been born in that period is absurd.
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@ASFleischman You cite Benson. A case with quite a significant factor that differentiates it from this: the shooter was the one who became physical first. That’s not the case here. The case here rests on whether jurors decide jerks who simply use mean words should have to take a beating.
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There are three camps.
1. People who think he will be convicted because he sucks.
2. People who think he will not be convicted because they like him
3. People who know he will be convicted because they've read the relevant cases
Brizz-Chan (Mr drive)@billybrizzle420
The Chud the Builder case is going to be interesting Both parties who think it’s a slam dunk on either side of the spectrum are wrong On the one hand he does have freedom of speech & a word isn’t legal basis for an assault On the other there’s a massive case for him instigating conflict with the intent to cause physical harm This is going to come down to who he gets as a judge
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@Campbell_Trio @jaredlholt @MrYuckers Right but I meant he wasn’t convicted for the shooting of the unarmed either
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@jo80351174 @jaredlholt @MrYuckers Rittenhouse did not only shoot unarmed people and was actually defending himself lol
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@ForzaScunthonia @portraitinflesh If you people were around in 1944-1945 and Goebbels had social media he would have brainwashed you into weeping over flattened German cities and blaming the allies for winning
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@portraitinflesh It won't win people over when people see images of flattened Gaza cities though.
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Here we have a clear case of Israel doing what pro-Palestine activists claim it never does: going out of its way to avoid collateral damage. But that's not good enough. Turns out the real, underlying demand is that Israel's enemies should get to make war without fear of reprisal.
Geoff Brumfiel@gbrumfiel
An absolutely astonishing account of Israel's AI-assisted targeting in the @latimes They called 62-year-old Ahmad Turmus and asked: “Ahmad, you want to die with those around you or alone?” His response, below, is chilling. Story by @nabihbulos latimes.com/world-nation/s…
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@jaredlholt @MrYuckers If you have any knowledge of the law you’d know you are simplifying things far too much. From Trayvon Martin to Kyle Rittenhouse and many other examples armed people can shoot unarmed people and not go to jail. Context matters.
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@MrYuckers There is no state where it is legal to shoot a person after you hurl racial slurs at them and stir up a fight with them outside of a courthouse in broad daylight. You are imagining a situation that did not exist here.
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@Sturgeons_Law And leftists thinking they haven’t created anti semitic hysteria are deluding themselves too. Jews have been demonized by progressives (with help from their far right allies) for things that non Jews do not get attacked for. You people would have been brainwashed by Goebbels too
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Many Israel fanatics believe this is easily reversible and will blow over.
Shibley Telhami@ShibleyTelhami
Israel is globally perceived more negatively than any other country in the world, followed by North Korea. Negative perceptions of the US have also exploded placing it near the bottom of global perception according to the 2026 Democracy Perception Index. allianceofdemocracies.org/democracy-perc…
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@regularhuman0 @commoncents1234 @electionsjoe @nikicaga They would rule it unconstitutional in any state. This court does have a conservative bias but they are not so extreme as to be contradictory on such a basic level. Nobody will ever be allowed to draw non contiguous lines. Just like Trump wouldn’t be allowed to have a 3rd term
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@commoncents1234 @electionsjoe @nikicaga Show us the statute then. I’m well aware the court would rule it unconstitutional. That’s what I said
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This post is going to be our Oppenheimer moment
matt mohn@mattmxhn
remember: there is no need for D states to do pizzamanders as long as they get over the mental hurdle of contiguity (which is not part of federal law) - you can draw a very compact IL 17-0 map and add new seats to the Chicago area by giving them satellites downstate
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@KarolusWangus It would entirely depend on what a critical mass of military officers chose to do. Will Americans shoot at other Americans for wanting a divorce?
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The thing is that in the real world, not only is secession illegal, rebellion is impossible. It's much, MUCH harder to resist a state now than it is in 1860. In 1860 the world was ablaze with revolutions. In 2026 even the FARC have thrown in the towel.
Christian Heiens 🏛@ChristianHeiens
"The Civil War proved that states can't legally secede." The only thing the Civil War proved was that the North possessed the greater industrial power, manpower, and firepower necessary to impose its will on the South by force of arms and compel the Confederate States back into the Union against their will. Now, 160 years later, tens of millions of Americans have ancestors who fought on both sides of the conflict, and we look at it as a historical event rather than a real fissure that still exists today. But that doesn't mean that disunion or civil war is forever banished. War does not operate on precedent like court cases do. You can't legislate or court rule your way out of the possibility of future conflict. Conflict is avoided by a government maintaining legitimacy, not by passing more laws irrespective of whether people view those laws or the institutions that authored them as legitimate.
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@NickyFrank30 If we had social media in 1944-45 you people on the left would be crying about the number of German civilians killed by allied bombing. Goebbels would have brainwashed you the way Hamas has now.
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It was Republicans who opposed our entry into World War II lol
Yossi Goldstein@YossiGoldstein8
If we had X in 1944.
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@rcobooth @MattBruenig And not every parent who stays in work wants to stay in work. But you people never talk about that
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this is a pretty staggering stat I’ve never seen
And we know those labor force exits are not all from parents (moms) who wanted to
Rachel Cohen Booth@rcobooth
an excellent, detailed report from @bd_econ on what kind of investments the U.S. would need to make to build a Nordic-style childcare system. Notably it’d be a lot less of GDP than decades earlier. One big key is higher wages for childcare workers peoplespolicyproject.org/projects/us-no…
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