
João Grilo Bitcoinheiro
13.8K posts










What a lovely surprise this morning! ☀️Independent detections of similar transients in European plate archives — exactly the kind of cross-validation this field needs. So it’s not just Palomar anymore. The study was carried out by a retired NASA scientist. This is how a signal begins to emerge from the noise. arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20407




Enjoyed meeting with President @nayibbukele today at @POTUS’ Shield of the Americas summit in Doral, Florida. I was glad to hear more about President Bukele’s pro-market reforms for El Salvador and his efforts to make El Salvador a digital assets hub. We will continue to work together to advance strategies to strengthen our hemisphere.


Bitcoin mean reversion is a restoring drift. It is like a beach ball held under water. The trend is the equilibrium. Price gets pushed around by news, leverage, liquidity, and panic. Important concept: But the farther it gets stretched from the power law trend value, the stronger the expected pull back. That is the logic of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process: dz = -κz dt + σ dW The first term is the restoring pull. The second term is the noise. Most people see the noise and think there is no structure. Wrong. Noise does not remove the anchor. It just makes the path messy. Bitcoin reverts because large deviations create stronger restoring drift. The path is chaotic. The pull is not.
















