Joel

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Joel

Joel

@joel40hands

building things

Katılım Temmuz 2022
453 Takip Edilen42 Takipçiler
Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling I’m not arguing policy here, uncomfortable as it is to admit policy is of far less importance than we care to admit in many elections. Perception of policy, vibes, and optics are just as crucial if not more in the modern political climate.
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Paul Adair
Paul Adair@BrandNewPaul·
@joel40hands @CanadianPolling if you say so... but without being able to point at policy that has swung to the right, all you're left with is subjective observation
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling Nonetheless a ‘dubious’ decade of Liberal governance is not cause to disregard millenniums of history in which populism has proven deficient. It’s clear the CPC is foundering, but the burden is on them to be the more compelling party.
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Paul Adair
Paul Adair@BrandNewPaul·
@joel40hands @CanadianPolling After 11 years of decline, I find it tough to take any political advice the LPC has to offer when it comes to avoiding a doom loop
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Jamal Lloyd
Jamal Lloyd@JamalLloyd1986·
@gator_gum The canadian media and you liberal influencers have canada on lock! Canada will vote whatever way they are told. Since liberal are giving media money, media supports the libes. It will never change no mater how bad things get. Canadians are far to stupid.
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Gator⚡Gum
Gator⚡Gum@gator_gum·
I was attacked and called vile names for saying the Rogan Podcast wouldn't "move the needle" Well, about that.
Gator⚡Gum tweet media
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling Absolutely, look at how his mannerisms, speech and even aesthetics have evolved to project the strongman right wing populist image. There is a stark difference over the last number of years.
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Paul Adair
Paul Adair@BrandNewPaul·
@joel40hands @CanadianPolling And has he really leaned into the contrarian populism? His tone has been this way for far longer than Trump has been in politics
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling If the CPC doesn’t understand the importance of optics/perception that’s a strategic failing. The doom loop of populism is well established historically, to the point a feature of modern democratic institutions is reduced suspectibility to populist movements.
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Paul Adair
Paul Adair@BrandNewPaul·
@joel40hands @CanadianPolling Perception can be wrong - especially when there is no link to policy They may be more populist than Tories in the past... but is that really a bad thing? When did government stop being about the people?
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling In terms of tone Pollievre has leaned pretty hard into the contrarian populism of our southern neighbor’s administration. They’ve also absorbed the PPC pretty much entirely which also shifted their base’s leanings as well. Policy is important but equally so is perception.
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling By Canada standards it has absolutely drifted further right, this is just acknowledging the reality lol.
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Paul Adair
Paul Adair@BrandNewPaul·
@CanadianPolling Only a Liberal would think the CPC is far right... what policy would you ascribe to far right?
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Dino
Dino@dinonuggetzz2·
@CanadianPolling Wait, why are so many Liberals trying to get Pierre out? If he’s so incompetent and bad, wouldn’t you want him as the leader of your opposition party?
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
Good morning Twitter
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@Kinamuranyan1 @Osinttechnical There’s nuance here, more limited and targeted strikes against power infrastructure aren’t incredibly controversial but widespread ones definitely lean towards norm violating if not legally dubious.
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Kinamuranyan
Kinamuranyan@Kinamuranyan1·
@joel40hands @Osinttechnical It is war, there is no further escalation unless you mean dropping some suns. I am so sick of people claiming "escalation" when the kinetic conflict is in full swing.
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OSINTtechnical
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical·
Senior Iranian source to Reuters: Tehran would not show flexibility as long as Washington continues to demand its "surrender under pressure." The source added that Qatar had conveyed an Iranian threat to “plunge the region into darkness” if its power plants were attacked.
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@Kinamuranyan1 @Osinttechnical I guess people just view it as an escalation, in the 2003 invasion of Iraq the US didn’t deliberately strike any power infrastructure. Not unprecedented obviously as they did in 1991 but nonetheless it does seem like escalation
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Kinamuranyan
Kinamuranyan@Kinamuranyan1·
@Osinttechnical ....it is war. "Surrender under pressure" is the whole point. Have we over estimated their sub 80 IQ?
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@LikeableLobster The Lobster is unaware of the Isfahan and Natanz catastrophes.
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The Lobster
The Lobster@LikeableLobster·
The Lobster predicts good tidings to come.
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@youngwt @TheBrianMcManus Not all failures are equal; there may be a tolerance for more overall points of failure in exchange for less catastrophic ones.
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W^¥|\|€
W^¥|\|€@youngwt·
@TheBrianMcManus Surely more mechanical switches would mean more points of failure? Though I do understand software has its own risks obviously
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@Esoteric_Though @Adolfers316 @AnalyticaCamil1 @InternetTalking Without a shadow of a doubt, it will require months to put together the invasion force but they will win. Casualties could be similar to first two invasion’s of Iraq or it could get nasty. I dont think any sane person disagrees. Unlikely at this point lol
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EsotericThoughts
EsotericThoughts@Esoteric_Though·
No, we just understand that military performance is not always correlated to political objectives. When someone says “Iran is going to kick our ass on the ground” I can reasonably say that is highly unlikely nor is there precedent for it. Mention Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan - none of those lead me to believe our ground forces or joint forces especially would lose to anyone. Might the democrats declare a loss, surrender to Iran, pay them billions of dollars, offer them a weekly happy ending and pull out regardless of military reality? Sure that can happen.
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Internet Commenter
Internet Commenter@InternetTalking·
What universe are these people living in? How mind-raped by third worldist propaganda do you have to be to conclude the US is losing to Iran?
Analytica Camillus@AnalyticaCamil1

Oh my fucking God — our allies have correctly calculated that we’re going to lose (regardless of the assistance that anyone contributes), and they still want to be able to import oil from the Gulf states when the war is over. This is why you don’t engage in patently moronic wars.

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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@ChrisO_wiki @thomre @Noahpinion Crassus is a shitty comparison tho. Same thing with Caesar. The closest comparison is probably Sulla. Sulla had a similar ideology of returning to a mythologized past based on more vibes and feelings than fact. Even his temperament was quite Trumpian, and his grievance theatre.
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ChrisO_wiki
ChrisO_wiki@ChrisO_wiki·
Crassus was *already* a noted military leader (he crushed the Spartacus rebellion) and had fought in major battles under Sulla. He wanted military glory, not to prove himself as a military leader - he'd already done that - but to give himself an achievement equal to Caesar's in Gaul.
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Joel
Joel@joel40hands·
@ChrisO_wiki @thomre @Noahpinion He wasn’t overly known for any great victories though, even his victory over Spartacus was held in lesser prestige because he was fighting slaves and not foreign powers. And Pompey managed to co-opt a lot of the lime light as well which is part of the reason for their long feud.
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Keşfet

@BrandNewPaul @CanadianPolling @JamalLloyd1986 @gator_gum @dinonuggetzz2 @Kinamuranyan1 @Osinttechnical @elonmusk