JPawchan

best CT accounts for traders to follow sorted by performance Diamond 💎 Platinum 🏅 Gold 🥇 Silver🥈 Bronze 🥉 + Bots 🤖 Researchers 🔬 🧵

@gitlawb @XiaomiMiMo just did, towerdefense.

@jpawchan @XiaomiMiMo have you bale to publish?

Gitlawb Playground is live! 🟢 BUILD ANY APPS FOR FREE powered by OpenClaude, OpenGateway Sponsored by @XiaomiMiMo will be selecting 3 winners $200 each, judge in 2 hours just publish your app and hit the share on X button

@rumgewieselt motherboard?

@fidenzamacro imho more probable place to put boots wud be in balochistan. smol population, no mountains, alleged insurgences, airport, pakistan in back. from there going to strait looks easier. if true wud gib at least a month to build a base with burger king and start touching strait defence

I’m surprised that any traders were holding out hope that Trump will pull out of Iran anytime soon. Maybe there is an echo chamber on Wall Street that I’m not aware of. They are clearly putting boots on the ground. You can’t put a timeline of 1-2 weeks on taking over Iran’s uranium and Kharg Island. It could take months, it could completely fail. Nobody knows. “Making progress towards military objectives” is now code for boots on the ground. “Ahead of schedule” is just backward looking and tells us nothing about how much longer the the Srait of Hormuz will be closed.

@0xaporia and then third bet comes, 16 years of sideways :D

Most of what Technical Analysis offers you ultimately boils down to one of two bets: either price will keep going (trend following) or price will come back (mean reversion). That’s it. Once you understand that, you stop collecting indicators and start asking better questions. You’ll understand more about trading than most people who’ve spent years studying candlestick formations without any rationale behind it.

@velo_xyz @bit_hedge lfg

Trading on Velo is now live. Data, news, and trading at velo.xyz

feels bottomy

@honey_xbt after retesting ma50 feels we'll go looking for buyers :D

BTC taking it's sweet time, still think we go to 1W MA50 next (102k currently) and then we see what happens in 2026 🧚‍♀️

(1W) hype did gud since last post. now it's coming back to test support levels currently i can see three potential support areas which cud hold and reverse the downtrend 1) 28.5-30.5 (orange) if it's v strong it cud fill this inefficiency area and reverse 2) 20.3-28.5 (green) first big consolidation area 3) 17.3-20.3 (bright green) area that acted as gud sr level and last area which started big uptrend. invalidation is acceptance below that which is illegal and wud probably mean that it will go below 10 on high timeframe i think hyperliquid is the best project since ethereum, eigenlayer and lagrange. but most importantly for traders, the project actually supports token's value. so i cud easily see a future with $100B-150B fdv am starting to add here at 28.5 and hope someone will sell it to me below 21 even tho ct suggests that dicaprio levels won't give up

@fidenzamacro I remember some years ago you said that initial jobless claims consistently above 265k would be first sign of weakness in labor market. Is it still true today?

Today’s Challenger employment report showed a surge in layoffs, which suggests that the fine balance of “no hiring, no firing” might be tipping over for the worse. This should keep yields under pressure and maintain the disinflationary environment that is supporting equities. “October’s pace of job cutting was much higher than average for the month. Some industries are correcting after the hiring boom of the pandemic, but this comes as AI adoption, softening consumer and corporate spending, and rising costs drive belt-tightening and hiring freezes. Those laid off now are finding it harder to quickly secure new roles, which could further loosen the labor market,” said Andy Challenger, workplace expert and chief revenue officer for Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

feels like we're entering pre rich stage of the market. the stage before big pumps. last pumps which will conclude the bull market. last big rally before we go into the next bear market

@fidenzamacro no, just referring to this and curious wen will you flip back because it felt like it's a short term bearish flip

@jpawchan You're on the paid subscription right?

The highest EV trade I can think of right now is harvesting the risk premium in the markets from the conflict in Iran. Of course this could backfire if the conflict escalates or if Iran blockades the Strait of Hormuz. With the oil markets well supplied and positioning pretty clean in risk assets, it’s a risk I’m willing to bet against.

@maxanderson nice

Launched a new site microplastics (dot) org Any feedback on what would make more useful? Link in next comment 👇

@krugermacro or @Jason

The market will top when AOC launches her own memecoin

@donalt @RunnerXBT @CoinMarketMan yep

@RunnerXBT @CoinMarketMan TBH I think this is so much better Lose a little until you hit it and hit it hard, then lose a little until you hit it again

A lot of traders get "impressed" by Win Rate and I cant emphasise enough that its wrong here is mine last 90 days trading performance (data @CoinMarketMan ) 26 trades, 25W, 1L (96.15% WR) yet as you can see that one loss paralysed my PNL curve for good chuck of last 90 Days.

so here's another prediction on these fundamentally sound coins: the upside is limited. the reason why normies investing in them is the same reason why they will stagnate in later stages of the bull run. expected value or revenue can be calculated therefore valuations are capped

right now these coins still strong but at some point we'll get more or less accurate picture of user base and then these coin will hit the ceiling

think this prediction is playing out with defi coins. normies and tradfi investors came to crypto with legacy mindset and investing into fundamentally sound projects (aave hype ena crv link etc..)