James Raftery

11K posts

James Raftery

James Raftery

@jpraft

health economics, policy n research. overtreatment, clinical trials (value, cost), NICE, etc

Katılım Haziran 2011
1.8K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
James Raftery retweetledi
John O'Connell
John O'Connell@jdpoc·
When it comes to editorial corrections, this is one of the greatest of all time.
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Rory Stewart
Rory Stewart@RoryStewartUK·
It is so difficult to understand why Trump launched his Iran operation - an op so clearly damaging to US national interests, the global economy, Ukraine and the US’ closest allies in Europe and the Gulf. Then there is this….
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran

5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!

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M.A. Rothman
M.A. Rothman@MichaelARothman·
𝗜𝗡 𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗔 𝗢𝗙 𝗢𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗥𝗦 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘 — 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦 𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗛𝗜𝗧 𝗗𝗜𝗙𝗙𝗘𝗥𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗟𝗬 I'll be honest. The Oscars are not exactly must-see television for me anymore. But someone sent me this — and I watched it twice. Irish actress Jessie Buckley just won Best Actress. And instead of a political lecture, instead of a pin, instead of a land acknowledgment or a cause of the week — she talked about her husband. Her eight-month-old daughter dreaming of milk at home. Her Irish family whose flights were paid for by Ireland itself to be in that room. 𝘍𝘳𝘦𝘥, 𝘐 𝘭𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘺𝘰𝘶. 𝘠𝘰𝘶'𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘥𝘢𝘥. 𝘠𝘰𝘶'𝘳𝘦 𝘮𝘺 𝘣𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘥, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘐 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝟤𝟢,𝟢𝟢𝟢 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘣𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶. The room probably didn't know what to do with that. Then she dedicated the award to motherhood itself — on Mother's Day in the UK — with words that belong on a wall somewhere: 𝘛𝘰 𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘱𝘢𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘮𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳'𝘴 𝘭𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘮𝘺 𝘭𝘪𝘧𝘦. 𝘐 𝘥𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘢𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘶𝘭 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘰𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘮𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳'𝘴 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘵. 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗮 𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗲𝗰𝗵. 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮 𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘆. Hollywood spent years telling women that ambition means leaving behind the things Jessie Buckley just stood on the biggest stage in her industry and celebrated without apology. A husband she adores. A baby at home. A family flown in from Ireland. I don't know what film she won for. But I know I'll watch it now. Well done, Jessie. 𝗚𝗼 𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗯𝗵 𝗺í𝗹𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗮𝗴𝗮𝘁.
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
The new U.S. dime design has removed the olive branches from the eagle. This change is part of the Semiquincentennial program celebrating the 250th anniversary of the United States. While traditional U.S. coinage often balances an olive branch (peace) and arrows (war/readiness), the 2026 dime specifically focuses on the Revolutionary War theme. This redesign is temporary and authorized for one year only. According to the U.S. Mint, the dime will return to its standard Roosevelt design—which features the torch, oak branch, and olive branch—in 2027.
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Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker@sapinker·
Though LLMs often hallucinate blends of plausible snippets, they don't generally don't ratify conspiracy theories, pseudoscience, scurrilous rumors, and other staples of social media, but generally push toward rational and objective conclusions, and even change minds in positive directions. Dan Williams suggests that's because the corporate incentives are different - useful, reality-based intelligence vs virality and engagement - and because their polite sycophancy doesn't turn users off unwelcome truths. | How AI Will Reshape Public Opinion open.substack.com/pub/conspicuou…
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Bruno Maçães
Bruno Maçães@MacaesBruno·
Harris lost in great measure because of her position on Gaza. Mamdani won in great measure because of his position on Gaza. Polanski won in great measure because of his position on Gaza. But read most commentary and these facts are stubbornly ignored
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Harry Eccles
Harry Eccles@Heccles94·
The former British home secretary and buddhist daughter of a Kenyan descendant of Goan Catholics, and a Mauritian Hindu descendent of Tamil, born in Harrow, studied in New York, married to a Jewish South African who lived In Israel says multiculturalism has failed.
Suella Braverman@SuellaBraverman

Multiculturalism has utterly failed. Britain is sadly losing its grip of our cultural heritage, traditions, Christian values, sense of history and unity. Too many politicians have shied away from dealing with this crisis of confidence that many millions of British people feel. We need to fix the problems of poor integration.

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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
FEBRUARY 28, 2026 Don't forget to look up: a rare celestial spectacle is unfolding. Six planets are tracing a graceful arc across the evening sky.
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Zafar Macha
Zafar Macha@Maaachaaa69·
BREAKING NEWS: Rowan Atkinson, a legendary icon of comedy, television, and cinema, has left even the world’s richest and most powerful figures stunned—not just with his words, but with decisive action. At a glamorous red-carpet gala in Los Angeles on December 20, attended by film moguls, tech billionaires, and Hollywood’s most elite stars, Rowan Atkinson took the stage to receive a Lifetime Achievement Award. But instead of offering a conventional acceptance speech, he chose a moment of truth—direct, fearless, and deeply human. He did not thank the Academy. He did not reminisce about Mr. Bean, Blackadder, or decades of global laughter. Instead, Atkinson looked straight into the audience of wealth and influence and declared: “We sit here surrounded by diamonds and artistic glory while the world outside is falling apart. If your voice can move millions and you choose not to use it for those who have no voice, then you are not creating change—you are creating noise.” The room fell into complete silence. Film executives and invited guests sat motionless, struck by the weight of his words. He continued, unwavering: “If you have more than you need, it no longer belongs only to you. Your responsibility is to lift up those who are still beneath you.” And he did not stop at words. That very night, Atkinson announced that all profits from his archived works and future creative projects—estimated at 160 million USD—will be donated to fund children’s health initiatives, climate action programs, and arts education for underprivileged youth. His message was unmistakable: “Legacy is not built on what you earn. It is built on what you give.” In an era when celebrities are often dismissed as hollow symbols, Rowan Atkinson delivered a powerful reminder to the world: true impact is not created by applause, but by easing the suffering of others.
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Will Hutton
Will Hutton@williamnhutton·
Moving, terrifying and brave article from Danny Finkelstein. The scale and vitriol of today’s anti-semitism has to be confronted.Daniel Finkelstein: How the world’s antisemites turned on me thetimes.com/article/b2a9dc…
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Count Binface
Count Binface@CountBinface·
BREAKING: Peter Mandelson expresses remorse and vows to atone for past lies, by walking the Salt Path.
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Brian Krassenstein
Brian Krassenstein@krassenstein·
BREAKING: Music legend Bruce Springsteen just released this incredible song that will be sure to piss Trump off beyond belief. “Streets of Minneapolis”. He wrote this song about Alex Pretti and Renée Good Saturday and recorded it yesterday. Share it far and wide and play it as loud as you can
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Amy Klobuchar
Amy Klobuchar@amyklobuchar·
Thank you Bruce Springsteen for “Streets of Minneapolis,” a powerful tribute to Renee Good and Alex Pretti and to the strength of the people of Minnesota.
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
Betelgeuse’s impending supernova will turn our night sky into a breathtaking spectacle, creating what could be a "second moon" bright enough to outshine almost everything else. The brilliant red supergiant Betelgeuse — the unmistakable crimson shoulder of the constellation Orion — is in the final stages of its life and is destined to explode as one of the most powerful supernovae in our galactic neighborhood. When it finally detonates, the event will be one of the most spectacular and widely witnessed celestial phenomena in human history. For weeks or even months, Betelgeuse will dramatically increase in brightness, potentially rivaling or even surpassing the full Moon in the sky. It will become so luminous that it will be clearly visible in broad daylight, cast noticeable shadows at night, and provide enough light for people to read outdoors by its glow. This dazzling display will be visible to virtually the entire planet simultaneously — the first supernova of this scale ever seen by billions of people at once. Importantly, astronomers stress that Earth is safely positioned at about 650 light-years away. The explosion’s intense radiation will pose no danger to life here — it might cause only very minor, temporary effects on animal navigation systems. The timing is impossible to predict precisely: it could happen tomorrow, next year, or anytime in the next 100,000 years. Whenever it occurs, the supernova will blaze brightly in the sky for several months before gradually fading, leaving Orion forever changed — without one of its most famous and recognizable stars.
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Sir Chris Ham
Sir Chris Ham@profchrisham·
@wesstreeting @darrenpjones Lessons from what worked in pandemic must be applied now: devolve decision making, reduce oversight and regulation. Let local leaders and staff manage
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Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker@sapinker·
"Sergey Brin was on an NSF Graduate Fellowship. Larry Page was a PhD student on the grant. Google—now worth $2 trillion—exists because American taxpayers funded "the Stanford Integrated Digital Library Project.""
Adam Butler@GestaltU

Fun fact: The 1998 paper that introduced Google and PageRank to the world ends with this acknowledgment: "Supported by the National Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement IRI-9411306. Funding also provided by DARPA and NASA." Sergey Brin was on an NSF Graduate Fellowship. Larry Page was a PhD student on the grant. Google—now worth $2 trillion—exists because American taxpayers funded "the Stanford Integrated Digital Library Project." Not a startup garage myth. A government grant. Every time someone says public research funding "picks winners and losers" or "crowds out private innovation," remember: the most dominant technology company of the 21st century was incubated entirely with public money, inside a public university, by researchers on federal fellowships and grants. The private sector didn't see it coming. VCs passed. The government funded it anyway—not because it would become Google, but because fundamental research into information retrieval seemed worth understanding. That's the point. You can't predict which grants will change the world. You fund the science and let researchers explore. The internet (DARPA). GPS (DoD). Touchscreens (CIA/NSF). mRNA vaccines (NIH). Google (NSF/DARPA/NASA). Public investment in basic research isn't wasteful spending. It's the seed corn of the entire modern economy.

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