Dr. Jeppe Trautner

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner

Dr. Jeppe Trautner

@jptrautner

Scholar. Officer. Cold War I + II veteran. 10 Years in 75 Countries. Fluent in the Language of Military Power. Defence analyst.

Denmark & Any Zone of Conflict Katılım Temmuz 2013
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
Returning from Ukraine some notes: 1. Ukrainians are industrious, tough, inventive and their country is very welcoming, quite wealthy, and fairly organised. Its potential is vast. Think a new West Germany. Bring Ukraine into the EU!
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
Brilliant point made by @BiankaB12 - truth is not hidden but drowned in a tsunami of semi-truths and irrelevance, and in part also willed and bot-amplified lying from the strongest autocracies that are the most active enemies of truth👇
Бианка@BiankaB12

One of my longest-standing arguments is that we are not living in Orwell’s 1984, where truth is centrally suppressed and censored by force (that’s former communist societies, modern-day China, Russia, North Korea). We are living in something much closer to Huxley’s Brave New World. The truth is not hidden - it is almost always readily available. But it is buried beneath an industrial quantity of noise: propaganda, outrage, half-truths, conspiracy theories, influencer theatre, algorithmic rage bait and an endless stream of content designed not to inform us, but to keep us emotionally stimulated. The modern information system does not need to censor the truth when it can simply drown it in noise. A fact no longer has to be disproven - it only has to be surrounded by a hundred competing claims, stripped of context and nuance, turned into partisan ammunition and pushed into the same feed as celebrity gossip, memes and 15 second videos engineered to deliver the fastest possible dopamine hit. By the time the truth reaches us, it appears as just another piece of content competing for our attention. That is the more sophisticated form of control: not preventing people from knowing, but exhausting their capacity to care. Orwell feared a world in which people would be deprived of information. Huxley feared a world in which they would be given so much distraction, stimulation and triviality that they would lose the desire to seek it. The defining struggle of our age is therefore not simply between truth and censorship, but between truth and indifference.

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
@ELuttwak Wall Street Journal, not exactly a Commie rag, alleges that Trump ripped off his loyal fans. Who could have known?
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Edward N Luttwak
Edward N Luttwak@ELuttwak·
It is good to know that President Trump is donating his cripto windfall & a bit more to the IRS thereby helping every single tax payer, and also future Americans by reducing instead of adding to their public debt burden. This is a moral obbligation for Trump, & smart politics
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
2018/12 - Retreated from ISIS War 2019/10 - Betrayed Kurdish Allies 2020/02 - Capitulated to Taliban 2025/01 - Ended support to Ukraine 2025/01 - Saved Hamas from expulsion 2026/05 - Abandoned Taiwan to China 2026/06 - Capitulated to Iran A pattern?🤔
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
An Emirates' take on Trump's surrender there seen as treason.
Amjad Taha أمجد طه@amjadt25

To Trump: In the Middle East, loyalty is currency. If you abandon your closest friend halfway through a fight and cut deals behind their back while leaving them exposed, don't expect anyone to trust your guarantees again. You told the world, "The U.S. and Israel carried out an operation against Iran," then walked away and left your ally standing alone. In the Middle East, we don't judge friends by speeches; we judge them by who stays when the missiles fly. A person who abandons an ally halfway and cuts deals behind their back is not someone you call in a crisis. You will say it's about American interests. Fine. But others also have interests, and they have memories. You can call it "America's interests." We call it something else: leaving your friends in the storm. Before asking, "Why don't they defend themselves?" remember that countries like Israel did and are still doing so alone. And also remember that the UAE defended itself, struck back forcefully, and banned the Muslim Brotherhood. Many of your countries in the West did neither. The lesson is simple. If you can leave your closest friend exposed today, why should anyone trust your promises tomorrow? Maybe it's time for the Middle East to start thinking about alternatives. And yes, when Iran strikes again, don't assume the Middle East will dial Washington. People don't call someone who might leak information to Turkey or cut a deal with Tehran while their friends are still under fire.

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
Trump, richly rewarded by Qatar, snatched defeat from the jaws of victory: A 14 point Instrument of Surrender now records the defeat of the U.S. Still, the war has severely fractured the Iranian regime, and it is too early to say if it will heal or collapse.
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner

At best, this war will free the Iranians, destroy the Iran-China-Russia Axis, help Ukraine, stabilise Middle East. Risks: No regime change, nuclear Iran; China escalates in South China Sea and Russia in Baltics, a stronger Axis, US/West humiliated, wider war. Trump gambles!

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
@emilykschrader At least the Qataris had the political acumen to make this U.S. instrument of surrender to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards sufficiently convoluted that their American proxies can present it as a draw.
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Emily Schrader - אמילי שריידר امیلی شریدر
7 The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, i.e. a Board of Governors resolutions, and all unilateral US sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned and expressed their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them to paragraph eight. Islamic Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons. United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran have agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpile enriched material pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon in accordance with the schedule mentioned in paragraph seven, with the minimum methodology to be down blending on site under the supervision of the IAEA. 8The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs, based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal. The final deal will confirm the provisions of this paragraph. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the nuclear issues above mentioned and express their intention to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them. 9Pending the final deal, the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic of Iran will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program and the United States of America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional forces in the region. 10The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of MOU until the termination of sanctions, US Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products, and derivatives, and all associated services, including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc. 11The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Upon the implementation of this MOU, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiations. Such funds, whether retained in the original account or transferred, shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designed by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly. 12The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree that an executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful implementation of this MOU and the future compliance of the final deal. 13After signing this MOU, and subject to the beginning of the implementation of paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10, and 11 of the MOU, and the continuing implementation of these measures, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will start negotiations regarding the final deal exclusively on the other paragraphs. 14The final deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution.
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Emily Schrader - אמילי שריידר امیلی شریدر
This is what a bad deal looks like — and yes I believe it’s worse than JCPOA. Concessions for absolutely no concrete deliverables. Massive overreach concerning countries that have nothing to do with them. A brutal betrayal of all American allies in the region The text reads as follows: 1The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war, by signing this MOU, declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other, and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and other provisions of this paragraph. 2The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs. 3The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days expendable with mutual consent. 4Immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal. 55. Upon the signing of this MOU, Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge for 60 days only from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman, and vice versa, the traffic of commercial vessels will immediately start, and considering the need for removing the technical and military obstacles and demining by the Islamic Republic of Iran will be instated within 30 days. The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf or [Gulf] states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz. 6United States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive, mutually agreed plan with at least USD $300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The mechanism for the implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of a final deal within 60 days. All required licenses, waivers, and permissions needed for the relevant financial transactions will be granted by the United States of America.
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Jeremiah Johnson 🌐
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐@JeremiahDJohns·
Reporting from the Financial Times on Xinjiang remains incredibly grim: * In some areas, 90% of children are taken from parents to be educated in boarding schools where they aren't allowed to speak Uyghur * Officials monitor who eats during Ramadan and report those who skip meals * Basic items like prayer mats and religious text are considered illegal contraband * Adult Uyghur women are pressured to marry Han Chinese men, and there are official goals to sterilize a certain % of them. * Xinjiang has the largest prison capacity in the world relative to population * Huge numbers of Uyghur prisoners are now being shipped across the country in forced labor schemes, as a way to dodge Xinjiang sanctions/boycotts * The CCP shut down all 10 existing Uyghur-language publishers, none remain. They fed one university's book collection into a shredder. There's a lot going on the world, but it's worth remembering that China is still actively engaged in cultural genocide. They're barely even hiding it, they openly talk about the need to 'correct' Uyghur culture and create 'ethnic unity'. They are openly destroying an entire culture as efficiently as they can, cutting children off from parents, restricting language, restricting religious practice, forcing sterilizations and intermarriage, imprisoning anyone who resists the tiniest amount and shipping them out to forced labor factories. That is what the CCP is. ft.com/content/119d8c…
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
@cyrus_razavi Proportionalitet, specielt overfor hans fem børn. Enig med HR. Men hvem i statsadministrationen havde i 2016 ansvaret for at kontrollere, om ansøgeren faktisk var berettiget til at få tildelt statsborgerskab?
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Cyrus Razavi
Cyrus Razavi@cyrus_razavi·
Når Højesteret siger, at statsborgerskab opnået ved svig alligevel ikke må fratages, er det ikke bare én sag. Det er præcedens. Signalet er brutalt enkelt: Svindel kan betale sig. #dkpol #dkmedier bt.dk/krimi/hoejeste…
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Бианка
Бианка@BiankaB12·
How many people truly realize that today’s “culture war” trends - the manosphere, radical feminism, left- and right-wing wokeness, gender wars, racial divides, and religious conflicts - are to a large extend, manufactured? While some may be organic and comes from a real place of frustration, there are clear signs that these movements are arguably fueled by nation-state actors and other players (including intelligence agencies) seeking to sow discord and destabilize society for a range of strategic ends. Meanwhile, social isolation - especially among the young - and excessive screen time are being weaponized to amplify the noise until people mistake it for reality.
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
The West is divided over the Islamist challenge to our freedoms. Ironically, most Iranians and Lebanese (and many Palestinians) risk their lives rejecting Islamism while leading Western leftists support Islamist symbology if not its aims👇
Masih Alinejad@AlinejadMasih

Hello @AOC, while you smiled in a hijab at a New York event, I was in Federal Court facing the 4th hitman hired by the Islamic Republic to assassinate me, for campaigning for Iranian women to have the same freedom you performed for a photo op. Will you come to court with me in August when I face the 5th hitman? Or does solidarity only work when it doesn't offend the Islamic regime? You wore hijab voluntarily in New York. Women are killed in Iran for taking it off. You are the very woman who, at every opportunity, protests against violence against women, decries gender segregation, and champions "inclusion." Yet here you stand, smiling and wearing a hijab, at an event in New York, in the heart of the West, where men and women are strictly separated. To me and millions of Iranian women, this does not look like a choice. It is no longer "My body, my choice," but rather "My body for votes." They who claim to fight for women's self-determination in the name of feminism voluntarily embrace an ideology that mandates our women cover their hair simply because they are women. They enjoy the prosperity, freedom, and privileges of the Western world, where they may live as autonomous individuals , yet they simultaneously accept that other women should not be afforded the same rights. #LetUsTalk

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
@cyrus_razavi @netanyahu @realDonaldTrump Israel could not continue the war against the regime alone after Trump chickened out too early to set then conditions for regime change. Now all Netanyahu can do, as in this tweet, is to try to commit Trump to remember the primary war aim, denuclearisation.
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Cyrus Razavi
Cyrus Razavi@cyrus_razavi·
Many Iranians believed you. They even named streets after you. You explicitly and repeatedly called for regime change in Iran, giving the Iranian people hope. Now you are doing what Europeans and Americans have repeatedly done before you: betraying the Persian people, the very people who have stood by Israel and the Jewish people for millennia. It was not only Cyrus the Great. During World War II, Persians stood by the Jewish people and gave refuge to those who needed it. Ask yourself what Cyrus the Great would do. Set a people free, or keep them in slavery?
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Benjamin Netanyahu - בנימין נתניהו
I spoke last night with President @realDonaldTrump about the memorandum of understanding to reopen the Straits of Hormuz and the upcoming negotiations toward a final agreement on Iran’s nuclear program. I expressed my deep appreciation to President Trump for his unwavering commitment to Israel’s security, including during Operation Roaring Lion and Epic Fury, when American and Israeli forces fought shoulder to shoulder against the Iranian threat. President Trump and I agreed that any final agreement with Iran must eliminate the nuclear danger. That means dismantling Iran’s nuclear enrichment sites and removing its enriched nuclear material from its territory. President Trump also reaffirmed Israel’s right to defend itself against threats on every front, including Lebanon. The partnership between us and our two countries has been proven on the battlefield and has never been stronger.  My policy, like President Trump’s, remains unchanged: Iran will not have nuclear weapons.
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Marko Mihkelson 🇪🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺
If Russia does not want @kajakallas to be Europe’s negotiator, that is a clear sign she is doing an excellent job defending Europe’s common interests.
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
AI-inspiration: Herunder en anvendelse af AI der ikke gør os dummere, men forenkler dokumentering og giver os mere tid til kerneopgaver. Mere af den slags, tak!
Cyrus Razavi@cyrus_razavi

3 ud af 4 tandlæger journalfører mere end nødvendigt, fordi de er i tvivl om de juridiske krav. Det lyder tørt. Men det betyder, at fagpersoner hver dag bruger enorme mængder tid på dokumentation, i stedet for på det arbejde de faktisk er uddannet til. Derfor bakker jeg @AllanFeldt_ op, når han siger, at AI skal have en større rolle. For lidt over et år siden besluttede jeg at bygge et system med én opgave: At reducere tandlægers tid på administration. Ved at fjerne det arbejde, der holder tandlægen væk fra sit fag. Løsningen blev et AI-system, hvor tandlægen eller tandplejeren indtaler behandlingsforløbet, AI behandler lydfilen, og journalen leveres på skærmen. Hastigheden var afgørende. Men kun hvis den kunne leveres ansvarligt. AI må ikke opdigte. AI må ikke gætte. AI må ikke pynte journalen, så den ser perfekt ud, men bliver juridisk farlig. Hvis tandlægen ikke har nævnt patientsamtykke, må systemet ikke bare skrive, at samtykke blev givet. For så står tandlægen pludselig med en journal, der ser korrekt ud, men ikke er sand. Derfor skal tandlægen hele tiden sidde i førersædet. Jeg har testet systemet sammen med tandlæger, justeret igen og igen, og kørt 1000 testcases med forskellig sværhedsgrad. 80 procent af journalerne blev genereret på under ét minut, inklusive den tid det tog at indtale behandlingsforløbet. De resterende lå typisk mellem ét og tre minutter, afhængigt af kompleksitet. Det, der reelt tog længst tid, var tandlægens egen indtaling. I praksis betyder det, at dokumentationstiden kan reduceres fra over 80 minutter om dagen til omkring 15 minutter pr. behandler. På en klinik med flere behandlingsrum bliver gevinsten hurtigt enorm. Selv edge cases blev behandlet forsigtigt. Hvis en tandlæge sagde: “Patienten kom ind med smerter, vi fiksede et hul, alt godt,” så skulle AI’en ikke lyde klog. Den skulle være ærlig. I de tilfælde citerede den tandlægen ordret, fordi inputtet var for tyndt til at gøre andet. Hvorfor fortæller jeg det her? Fordi hvis én person med begrænsede midler kan bygge et system, der reducerer dokumentationstid markant i én branche, burde et land med milliarder i midler kunne gøre det samme i langt større skala. Forestil jer så samme princip i hjemmeplejen. Hos lægen. På hospitalerne. Hvor mange timer bruger vi i dag på dokumentation, skemaer, gentagelser og systemer, mens mennesker venter på hjælp? Vi taler konstant om mangel på varme hænder. Men måske burde vi også tale om, hvor mange varme hænder vi binder fast til kolde skærme. AI er ikke fremtiden, fordi den kan erstatte mennesker. AI er fremtiden, fordi den kan give mennesker tiden tilbage. #dkpol #dkmedier

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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
@cyrus_razavi Vesten betaler for FN: 193 regeringer mødes der (heraf 25 fulde demokratier), 300.000 skattefri ansatte med diplomatisk immunitet, flertallet korrupte. Vesten får indsigt, adgang, afhængighed, et sted at forhandle. FN er pengene værd, men har minus moralsk autoritet.
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Cyrus Razavi
Cyrus Razavi@cyrus_razavi·
Det er utroligt at folk bliver ved med at råbe FN og international lov, når alle ved FN er til grin. Den 27. april blev den Islamiske Republik valgt som vicepræsident for FN’s NPT-konference (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty). You can’t make this shit up. Autoritet uden troværdighed er bare teater. #dkmedier #dkpol
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Cyrus Razavi
Cyrus Razavi@cyrus_razavi·
Next time someone brings up AIPAC as proof of “Israeli influence,” ask them why they never mention the billions flowing from Qatar and China into American universities. Then look at the campuses. Look at the streets. Look at the slogans. Influence leaves fingerprints. #ForeignInfluence #Geopolitics
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Henrik Dahl
Henrik Dahl@SociologenHD·
The West did not lose power after the Cold War. It lost its ability to understand reality. For 30 years, Western elites treated a temporary advantage as a permanent condition. Russia was “a partner.” China was “integrating.” The Middle East was “stabilising.” Energy would be “green and secure.” Those assumptions did not merely prove flawed – they proved systematically wrong. And now we are surprised that the world looks unstable. We should not be. What we are living through is not a sudden crisis. It is the accumulated consequences of misreading reality for decades. That is the real story behind today’s disorder.
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Dr. Jeppe Trautner
Dr. Jeppe Trautner@jptrautner·
Reza Pahlavi, by now the leader of the Iranians, is disappointed with Trump's moral collapse. In his message to the Iranians (English version below), he postpones the uprising. The regime was weakened but not ready to fall. Trump may have saved it. For now.
Reza Pahlavi@PahlaviReza

My Dear Compatriots, Great Nation of Iran, I salute each and every one of you who, over the course of these last one hundred days, have stood firm for freedom and the reclamation of Iran, who, with extraordinary sacrifice, have stood boldly against bullets, and who, for the past forty days, have braved the danger of bombardment. I know that news of the two week ceasefire between the Islamic Republic, America and Israel has disheartened many of you. But today is not a time for despair, it is a time for even greater belief in victory. What has transpired over these last forty days falls in line with the very demands the Iranian nation made of the international community; demands that, after laying down their lives in the streets of Iran, our people further echoed on February 14th’s Global Day of Action. The blows dealt to the Islamic Republic in a mere forty days have been unprecedented, and for this regime, irreparable. The elimination of Ali Khamenei, the man responsible for the murder of tens of thousands of courageous Iranians, is in itself a historic achievement for our nation. Beyond him, dozens of senior commanders and principal agents within the IRGC, the Basij, and the regime’s intelligence apparatus have also been removed. Thousands of the regime’s oppressive forces have been destroyed. The command-and-control structure of the regime’s repressive machinery has been paralyzed and has collapsed. The military infrastructure built not for the defense of Iran, but for the export of terrorism and instability, has been annihilated. The regime’s financial resources, used for oppression at home and terrorism abroad, have been drastically diminished. The Islamic Republic stands today more isolated and more reviled, in the region and the world, than at any point in its history. What remains for this regime is reliance on foreign mercenaries and a bloodstained few whose interests are bound to its survival. This regime has suffered a devastating defeat in reality, yet by severing internet access for ninety million Iranians and through its machinery of lies, still pretends victory and issues hollow threats. Those who claimed they would never accept a ceasefire have now lost their leader and their commanders, lost the war, accepted the ceasefire, and been dragged to the negotiating table for their complete capitulation. We knew from the outset, however, that the Islamic Republic would not fall solely through the elimination of its command structure and the degradation of its repressive apparatus by aerial strikes. That is precisely why, in every message I have addressed to you, I emphasized that it is we, the Iranian nation, who must deliver the final blow to this weakened regime and bring about its ultimate end. I want you to know that I am monitoring conditions inside Iran closely. I understand that while the Islamic Republic has been profoundly weakened, its capacity for repression has not been entirely eliminated. My singular objective is to ensure that the final action to topple the Islamic Republic comes at the lowest possible cost to human life. The life of each and every one of you is precious to me. I therefore ask that you remain patient, protect yourselves and, with faith in victory and full readiness, await the decisive moment. In the meantime, I and all our compatriots abroad will raise your demand for an end to the Islamic Republic with every ounce of our strength. Have faith that no force on earth can withstand the power of a united Iran. The Islamic Republic has no path of escape and no chance of survival this time, and it shall fall at the mighty hands of you, the great nation of Iran. Long Live Iran, Reza Pahlavi

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