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@kar4arodon

♛ top 0,1% Polymarket trader ♛ early DeFi user ♛ madlads #6847

Polymarket Katılım Temmuz 2020
841 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
MB
MB@MBxxvv·
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Dan Rysk
Dan Rysk@DanDeFiEd·
They should just use rysk. Collateral on-chain. No rehypothecation. No counterparty risk.
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Ivan Benzema
Ivan Benzema@Ivanbenzemama·
237k dollars for 5 days. This polymarket account "Armin-1Q" can earn if his 2 preditcions happen. Predictions: > FDV less than 300m of EdgeX > FDV less than 500m of EdgeX He did only 48 predictions and has more than 47k profit. I think he will be right. The market can help him. @Polymarket can improve the mood in the dark days. Profile: @armin-1q?r=Kaito" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@armin-1q?r=Ka…
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karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
@nofadsec Maybe he is using these markets to hedge his positions
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nofad
nofad@nofadsec·
Polymarket is showing its teeth again. One of the strangest wallets on the board right now: 0x129a74a461309a9e4ebba1fa1403668c45cf9fb6 (kingofthe5) Joined only in March 2026. Already sitting on roughly $635K in positions. Biggest win so far: +$7.7K. And yet this wallet doesn’t feel “new” at all. The size is serious. The positioning is even more interesting. He’s leaning hard into Iran geopolitics: > massive “No” exposure on escalation-style outcomes > heavy conviction around Kharg Island staying under Iranian control > clear bet that the market may be pricing chaos too fast That’s what makes this wallet stand out. Not the age. Not even the profit yet. It’s the calm confidence behind the sizing. Either he sees something the market doesn’t... or this becomes a very expensive lesson. This feels like one of those wallets people ignore at first and then suddenly can’t stop watching. Would you follow this whale or bet against him?
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Billy Moose
Billy Moose@Bulgakoff_K·
Great article, but here’s some hands-on perspective. I spent a full week trading BTC 15m on Polymarket while tracking this indicator. Data: → 78 signals → ~60% accuracy (barely above coin flip) → longs: 63% / shorts: 58% → best window: Mar 23 (~75% - strong trend) → worst: sideways periods (~44%) Key insight: this indicator is not universal. It performs well at catching early momentum, but breaks down in choppy markets. Practical takeaway - use it only in clear trends with confirmation. Otherwise, ignore it. In my setup, the best combo is: indicator signal + strong momentum + confirmation via @PolySigma terminal = profit
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0xLanister@0xLanister

The only reason you are still not printing from $10 to $10,000 on 15 minute Polymarket markets is that you do not have professional software like institutional traders. In this post there is no bullshit about some Claude AI agent writing a "Polymarket bot" for you. in reality traders work through proper terminals and indicators. And honestly, 90% of people will not even try to set this up, even when there is a manual. In this post I will show how to use a professional trading terminal used by pro traders, and give you an indicator that uses technical analysis to predict the direction of the next candle. 🔸 The full installation guide is on GitHub, with a video tutorial. Here is the short version: 1. Install the terminal You need to install the trading terminal MetaTrader 4. No browser nonsense with TradingView. Real technical analysis is done in terminals where you have: - the power of real hardware - full quote history - proper indicators 2. Chart setup After registering a demo account - you will get access to the terminal and quotes. After that select the BTC chart in the instrument archive. Attention! Quotes in the terminal will differ from Polymarket, BUT the movement patterns repeat 1:1, so there is no problem using the Binance quote feed that exists in the terminal. What we care about is direction and movement in (%), not the exact price. 3. Installing the indicator I sent this indicator to several traders from the community - they are already running it on 15-minute Polymarket markets. Download my indicator from GitHub and move it into the Indicators folder inside the terminal. In the terminal select the 15-minute timeframe. 4. Open the market on Polymarket You need to open the 15-minute markets on Polymarket: polymarket.com/crypto/15M?via… 🔸 Now how the indicator works: At the start of every new 15-minute candle, if a signal appears, the terminal sends a notification with a sound. At that moment you enter the trade. There is one feature: The arrow on the chart appears two candles back. For example. Now it is 1:30. The indicator gives a BUY signal. On the chart the arrow will appear on the 1:00 candle. But this is a prediction for the current 1:30 candle, not the old one. This is how the indicator algorithm works. 🔸 Backtesting is checked very simply. Look where the prediction arrow is -> move +2 candles forward -> check whether the prediction won or not. According to my backtests this indicator gives about 65% accuracy. Honestly, I was surprised myself how consistently it performs on historical data. 🔸 Most people do not understand what this means in money. And this is where the interesting part begins. Here the math appears: If you place a fixed $100 on every trade, the expected value is calculated very simply. Formula: EV = (Pwin × Profit) - (Ploss × Loss) Where Pwin = probability of winning Ploss = probability of losing Plug in the numbers: EV = (0.65 × 100) - (0.35 × 100) EV = 65 - 35 EV = +$30 per trade. Which means on average every trade gives +$30 of expected value. Over a distance of 100 trades: EVtotal = 100 × 30 = +$3000. And this is with a fixed bet of only $100. 🔸 I also have several other indicators with winrates up to 80%. They predict more consistently than this indicator, regardless of the market phase (sideways, falling, rising). If this post gets decent engagement - I will release them too. Full guide and the indicator are uploaded on github: github.com/0xLanister/pol… When you test this - write about the results of your trading. DYOR. Print hard, print smart.

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karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
win rate 98.6% polymarket pnl +$25 204 joined nov 2025 strategy: - he buys at the last second for a couple of percent - lots of traders - 5 min crypto profile below 👇
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karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
@serpinxbt I asked for your wallet before TGE, but you didn't answer so I could transfer the allocation to you By the way everything - fine I just wanted to try out your broker (OTC)
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Serpin Taxt
Serpin Taxt@serpinxbt·
@kar4arodon I know where we made the deal but we never got in touch at TGE
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0xvinhpham
0xvinhpham@0xvinhpham·
.@hibachi_xyz Vaults are LIVE 🔥 First drop: Growi Alpha Vault (GAV) — powered by @GrowiFinance → 40.6% APY real yield Access isn't random: > activity + points = allocation > deposit = earn yield + stack points passively Affiliates & Hibachi NFT holders already got in 👀 This is how the smart money compounds early. Get in before the next allocations drop.
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Hibachi@hibachi_xyz

Hibachi Vaults are now live. Our first vault is the Growi Alpha Vault (GAV), operated by @GrowiFinance. GAV delivers a proven strategy with strong real yield, currently sitting at 69% APY. Access is based on activity and points. Deposits also accrue points passively while earning yield. Hibachio

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Bold
Bold@boldleonidas·
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karcharodon retweetledi
karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
safe 27% on USDC in couple months predictdotfun FDV above $500M one day after launch? -NO why? 1. no organic users 2. opinion has $300M FDV one day after launch and yet their volumes are several times higher 3. points farmers dump it 4. the design is garbage I can not stand being there. Just look at the video below
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karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
@vijn_crypto fees less than 2% profit for copy-trading might be 20% for a day
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vijn
vijn@vijn_crypto·
A lot of people think that adding fees = the death of copy-trading on Polymarket But that’s not true at all Here’s why: Fees were added across all markets But, yet for those copying actually profitable traders with good risk management and solid win-rate, almost nothing changed You still make money, the edge remains What actually died? Low-quality farming bots and random copy-paste strategies Smart copy-trading is still very much alive You just need to copy the right wallets For copy trading and searching for wallets, I use the Kreo terminal: @vijnadm" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@vijnadm
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karcharodon
karcharodon@kar4arodon·
@vijn_crypto emotion is very important, sometimes I was resting, when lost $$
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vijn
vijn@vijn_crypto·
You Won’t Make Real Money on Polymarket Until You Master These 5 Skills This article is straight fire Here are the key points to keep in mind: > Treating the rules like a legal contract (not the event itself) > Information triage - going to primary sources instead of Twitter noise > Spotting mispricings instead of trying to predict the future > Emotional detachment (being a stoic, not a fanboy) > Survival instinct & proper bankroll management (never risking too much on one outcome) Most people come to Polymarket for the thrill or to confirm their beliefs. The ones who actually print treat it like a probability game with strict rules and discipline
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Smaliy@smaaaaliy

x.com/i/article/2036…

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Hibachi
Hibachi@hibachi_xyz·
Hibachi Vaults are now live. Our first vault is the Growi Alpha Vault (GAV), operated by @GrowiFinance. GAV delivers a proven strategy with strong real yield, currently sitting at 69% APY. Access is based on activity and points. Deposits also accrue points passively while earning yield. Hibachio
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daki3
daki3@daki3crypto·
"Fock it" is dead. No one is saying this inside the Discord anymore, since everyone is looking for answers. This might come back, but not anytime soon.
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