KARCZEK

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KARCZEK

@karczektrader

Investing world enthusiast. The market is always right.

Katılım Eylül 2020
97 Takip Edilen402 Takipçiler
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
Final post about brokers. I've spent time going through every metric of all 4 retail brokers $HOOD $TIGR $FUTU and $BULL Revenue. Profit. Client growth. AUM quality. Deposits. Product. Valuation. Here are the winners in each sector: $HOOD is the overall winner if you're looking at the complete business the largest, most diversified, strongest deposit moat, most product optionality, and 52% revenue growth on a $4.5B base is genuinely impressive, not "barely growing." $FUTU is the winner on pure growth metrics and margin quality, fastest revenue growth, fastest client growth, best GAAP profitability, and guided 800k new accounts in 2026. $TIGR wins on valuation and client quality. Trading at 2.1x revenue while growing 56%, with the richest client base of all four. $BULL wins nothing outright, but the turnaround from flat 2024 to +46% revenue growth in 2025 is real, and it's the only one that hasn't peaked yet in the IPO hype cycle.
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KARCZEK@karczektrader

A few months ago I showed you why $TIGR beats $BULL in almost every metric. The BULL investors hated me. FY2025 full year just dropped. Let's focus on numbers not believes. 📊 THE REVENUE FLIP: Three years ago $BULL had a $117M revenue lead - it was 43% ahead of $TIGR back then... Today it's $41M behind and the gap is widening - TIGR grew +56% vs BULL's +46%. I won't even compare income story, because WeBull apparently invest in growth... it isn't even visible in rev growth:) 👥 CLIENT GROWTH - % vs BASE: $BULL added 370k new accounts in 2025 - base was 4.66M - that's +8% YoY $TIGR added 162k new accounts in 2025 - base was 1.09M - that's +15% YoY BULL added 2x more clients in raw numbers. TIGR grew nearly 2x faster in % terms. Each new TIGR client brings ~$49k AUM. Each new BULL client brings ~$5k AUM. 🎯NOW ADD THE MARKET CAP: $BULL market cap: ~$2.6B $TIGR market cap: ~$1.3B BULL: MC/Revenue = ~4.6x TIGR: MC/Revenue = ~2.1x BULL: MC/Net income = not profitable (GAAP) TIGR: MC/Net income = ~7.6x The market is paying 2x more for a company with: - lower revenue - slower % revenue growth - slower % client growth - 10x lower avg client value - no profitability FACTS. That's the anomaly. Same thesis as before. Stronger now. 🐯 quality over 🐂 quantity. If you agree, a retweet would be appreciated.

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Investify Daily
Investify Daily@InvestifyDaily·
$BULL I’m long on Bull and not selling for a long time. Thinking of starting a $GRAB position. Love companies with good financials and cash on hand. $GRAB community what is your bullish thesis?
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
@PamelaBies I am living in Poland and I know the conversion rate, that being said. You are absolutely delusional.
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Pamela
Pamela@PamelaBies·
£200k house: Poland vs UK. Mind blown yet?
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
It's not a US broker Revenue Recognition: Historically, subsidiaries in New Zealand, Singapore, and the U.S. have contributed over 92% of total revenues, but the high U.S. revenue figure is often attributed to self-clearing operations and investment banking (underwriting U.S. IPOs) rather than a large U.S. retail customer base.
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
17% of all company feels minor? It's huge imo, but as I said I initiated small starter position, because there're some signs and promises, but still it's just a big IF. Fortunately there's a clear institutional growth trend and that's a bit ensuring me about the direction where we're heading.
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DROCK STOCKS
DROCK STOCKS@DRockStocks·
@karczektrader Trina only has 17% minority stake though right? I agree don't like any ties to China since whole thesis is US Solar Manufacturing, but feels minor.
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
$TE company I've been looking into recently. A few things caught my attention and my thesis about it. Revenue from $3M to $755M year over year. Guidance for 2026 and 2027 shows further acceleration. Gross margin turning positive. EBITDA moving toward breakeven. Global energy demand is growing - AI/neoclouds. Domestic solar manufacturing in the US is one of the few sectors where policy, tariffs and institutional capital are all pointing in the same direction. Institutions are buying : 173 funds added positions last quarter. That's more important to me than any single indicator. Chart wasn't great on the daily. But hourly shows a sharp retest of the zone and a clear reversal. Confluences are coming together. Biggest risk? Trina Solar ownership and FEOC regulations and this could hit the 45X tax credits which are critical to the entire financial model. Can't ignore that. Initiating small position. Long term thesis.
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KARCZEK@karczektrader·
Additional PA chart of $TE
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KARCZEK
KARCZEK@karczektrader·
@Kelplosh To improve their own returns ;)
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kelplosh
kelplosh@Kelplosh·
@karczektrader It’s incredible how the share price has performed over the last few months. Management should launch a share buyback program to improve the shareholder returns.
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John
John@ContrarianKiwi·
If you like $TIGR, have a look @ $MNTN - like a baby emerging $TTD • Revenue +25% YoY • Customers +63% YoY (3,632) • Net income: -$4M Q4'24 → +$34.5M Q4'25 • EBITDA as % of rev: just 23% today, guiding 40% (mature TTD is @ 41%) • CEO/Founder Mark Douglas still owns a large 12% of the float My 2026 fair value (current price $8.70): ~$19 | FCF ~$55M | frwd PE ~6x Seems like pretty safe, easy upside from here @weareMNTN @MarkDouglas
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