kbot +EV

Officially a college graduate‼️👨‍🎓🎉 In the last 2 years of being student, I made over $42,000 with sports betting (not all on pikkit)✅✅✅ I’ve decided that this X account has become a priority for me. As I continue this process, I’m going to be posting a lot more in the future - picks, breakdowns, strategies, etc. Also want to give a massive thank you to @Amonahan @SportsByDustin and @PlusEV - these guys taught me the foundation for everything I know today. Literally can’t thank them enough 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼 I appreciate everyone’s support and interactions thus far, I’m going to make sure I put out the best content I can in the future 🫡 As always - Comments & DMs are open 💪

@Crwn22JD Yessirrrrr

@kbotlocks Let’s gooo!! 🫡🐐

✅✅✅✅✅✅ Yall doubt me?

@sLbxO1432 Let’s gooooooooooo

@kbotlocks Let’s go! 🖤👏

Betr profit boost. Run it l.betr.app/e/bQTJKc1V

@ShonuffTheTroll 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

@kbotlocks Glow!

Thank yall for 500 followers! I posted 3 slips about 30 min ago. I will be giving away another $25 for each slip that hits, plus another $25 if Josh Hart goes Under 12.5 Pts Like this tweet to enter 🫡

@CoachTim__ Yessir! Preciate you

@kbotlocks You a real one bro ✅ keep feeding the streets man ✊ 🙏 🤲

1 of these hit but imma do $50 cuz of the support recently 🙏🏼 Grok randomly picked @CoachTim__ Dm or comment your paypal or venmo 🫡

@Crwn22JD Let’s get it!

@kbotlocks Let’s go! 🫡🐐

🚨Betr MLB Profit Boost🚨 3 best plays in MLB at the moment! Holmes Ov1.5 BBs Dubon Un1.5 HRRs Antonacci Ov1.5 HRRs l.betr.app/e/lh2dMPVm

🚨Rare ParlayPlay +EV Bet🚨 All 4 plays are like even value but they’re doing a 15% boost for 4-leg parlays. I think it varies based on number of legs, but these 4 are solid parlayplay.io/tail/67c0d8bb-…

🚨DK Pick6 NBA Play🚨 Ran a similar slip with the other discounts, here’s my 5 favorites paired with the KAT discount 💪 pick6.draftkings.com/?sport=NBA&pic…

@CoachTim__ Yessir! Thanks for the like haha

@kbotlocks Ayyyy let’s go!! Thank you bro!! 🙏 🤲 appreciate you

@CoachTim__ Sent 🫡

@nishikoripicks Good breakdown bro! Hard for people to realize but sometimes you can place a really good bet that has an actual 20% chance to hit.

This week in my Wednesday newsletter I said that Mannarino’s odds vs Collignon in Geneva of almost 9.0 were a gift, even though he had lost the match. And I received this reply from someone called William: "Odds are never a gift if you lost lol." And this is precisely the mistake many bettors like William make. They see betting as something deterministic, as if the result was already written, and as if only winning bets were good bets, while losing bets were bad bets. I think most of you reading this already know that things don’t work like that. This is about probabilities. If Mannarino wins 1 out of every 5, 6, or even 7 or 8 matches in those exact pre-match circumstances, then the bet was good. Of course you never know it, but you know what I mean, this must be your thinking. By the way, you will notice that I almost never talk about my winning bets after the event. I find that quite embarrassing. I usually only talk about the ones I lose. Back to the point, in this world, I see a very strong relationship between the narrative and the result. One piece of advice I received years ago, and which helped me a lot, is this: Once you have obviously analysed all the variables that may affect the outcome of a match, try to see the odds as a kind of odds supermarket. You pick the prices that you believe are very interesting given the context, without worrying too much about the short-term results. I know it is almost impossible not to care about short-term results. But ideally, that is how it should be. You analyse carefully, you buy prices, and a few months later you check how you did. Because hasn’t this happened to you before? You start analysing a match. You look at the pros and cons of betting on a certain player. You get too focused on the narrative, the variables, the context… and in the end you decide not to bet. Then later you realise you probably should have, because the price was just too good. For example, you think: “Yes, this player is top 10, but he hasn’t been playing well on clay this season.” So you decide not to take 2.70 because of that supposed poor form. And then, after thinking about it again, you say to yourself: “Damn, but the price was very high. That was probably already more than priced in.” Those of us who bet without a machine learning model telling us where to bet still have to fight against this way of thinking. It's the price, it's the price, it's the fckn price. The focus should be on the price. Of course, you have to take all those factors into account. But you should not let them distract you from the most important thing: the price. Anyway, today I just wanted to talk about this. A bit of betting philosophy.

@sLbxO1432 @Pick6 Glad i could help bro 🫡

@kbotlocks @Pick6 Thank you 😮‍💨💰🖤

BAAAAAAAAANGGGGGG ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ $50 -> $780 ABSOLUTE BANGER Thank you @Pick6

@SunsRingSZN @Pick6 Hell yeah! Thank you for believing in me lol

@kbotlocks @Pick6 Tailed it thanks for the W bro

@jetskiiilife3 Hey thanks, I made a lot more than just that one!

@kbotlocks Caruso under points ? Stupid ass pick

🚨PrizePicks 6-man🚨 In for my $25 daily max. $15 on flex and $10 on power…. $5 of the flex is with the flex Friday boost Breakdown in replies, here’s the link 👇 prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntr…

@StevenManon05 Let’s fucking gooooooo

@kbotlocks Banggg the wbna !!!@kbotlocks

🚨Betr Profit Boost🚨 Castle Un18.5 Pts Gilbert Un5.5 Ks Soroka Ov17.5 Outs l.betr.app/e/r1a6kRuo

@BigSaucy05 Interesting. Still trending down is great for you

@kbotlocks little sus on the castle play. Got the under at 19.5 yesterday