
Craig Smith
63 posts











🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 THE BATTLE FOR THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ Alex Christoforou analyzes Trump’s obsession with controlling the world's most critical energy artery. The goal isn't just to open the Strait, but to hold it as long-term leverage over global competitors like China. With both sides so far apart, the risk of a "forever war" in the Middle East is growing. @AXChristoforou





No matter what Trump does next, the Middle East will never look the same - Gulf countries are pissed - Iran is more hardline - Russia & China are salivating And if the regime survives, Trump loses any chance to control the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. will come out much weaker, and China much stronger Trump should have never started this war, but at this stage may have no option but to finish the job.


🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Borazjan. Bushehr Province. Southern Iran. This is IRGC missile city. Non-stop explosions are being reported from here. Iran's next wave of missiles just got harder to launch.




🚨🇮🇷 Iran has exported 16 million barrels of oil since the war began. Through the strait it basically closed. 90 ships got through; Iranian vessels, Chinese-affiliated ships, countries that negotiated directly with Tehran. The strait is in fact not closed... it's privatized, selectively operated, and generating revenue while the world calls it a blockade. Iran is the strait now. AP, The Independent


🚨 Six major allies, UK, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan, have issued a joint statement expressing readiness to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. This is progress from outright refusal. It is not a coalition. "Readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts" is deliberately non-binding language. It commits no ships, no troops, no timeline, and no operational framework. 6 countries. 3 weeks. And a few words that mean nothing. Insider Paper

















🚨🇮🇷🇵🇰 Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz... but left safe lanes. For ships that ask nicely. That Pakistani tanker delivered oil, but also proof of concept. Pay Iran. Stay close to Iran. Broadcast your position to Iran. Welcome to the new toll road.



🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸 Israel is running critically low on missile interceptors The U.S. now faces a dilemma: send interceptors to save Israel and risk depleting its own reserves, or hold back and let Israel manage on its own. Every choice carries big risks: Israeli defense, Gulf security, and the wider war hang in the balance. Source: Semafor




