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ANONYMOUS
@kenekene47
FOREX TRADER|| WEB 3 ENTHUSIAST|| GHOST WRITER || BIG CHELSEA FAN
Katılım Nisan 2022
1.1K Takip Edilen999 Takipçiler
ANONYMOUS retweetledi

@0xPhilanthrop If you aren't using kreobot to maximize your high-conviction clusters, you're leaving money on the table every week. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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An engineer from [Anthropic]bought my espresso after seeing my Polymarket bot running at Sightglass.
He looked at the screen for maybe five seconds before asking:
"What is this actually running on?"
Claude Code.
Four repos. $25/month.
That’s when he sat down.
I showed him the wallet engine first.
Copytrade t.me/PolyGunSniperB…
86 million trades indexed.
Every wallet tracked.
Every entry and exit scored.
One Claude prompt:
Find wallets with 100+ trades and over 70% win rate. Rank by profit.
14,000 wallets scanned in minutes.
47 made the cut.
The top 20 earned more than the other 13,000 combined.
He just stared at the screen.
"That’s not analytics. That’s a kill list."
Exactly.
Then I opened the execution layer.
500 live Polymarket markets scanned continuously:
* liquidity gaps
* orderbook depth
* resolution timing
* whale flow
Claude filters almost everything before capital touches a trade.
A position closed while he was watching.
+$84.
"How does it decide entries?"
Three independent agents:
* whale copy
* arbitrage
* convergence
2 agree = full size.
1 agrees = half.
No agreement = no trade.
That consensus filter killed nearly half the losing setups.
"And exits?"
The best wallets never hold to settlement.
So my bot exits before they do:
* closes around 85% of expected move
* cuts instantly on abnormal volume
* redeploys capital immediately
Current setup:
* Claude API — $20/mo
* VPS — $5/mo
* everything else free
Started with $200.
27 days later:
$14,300.
271 trades.
74% win rate.
He looked at the screen one last time and said:
"This is literally what our red team worries about."
The next morning he emailed me asking for a call with their policy lead.
I told him:
The article is the call.
Philanthrop@0xPhilanthrop
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@LunarResearcher Copy-trading with kreobot is how you bridge the gap between "I hope" and "I know." t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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My dad told me I was wasting my life using Claude to analyze Polymarket wallets instead of "learning real trading"
2 weeks later he asked me why one weather market suddenly made someone $11,000 overnight.
I didn’t know how to explain to him that half the market is now bots reacting to each other.
So I started digging through GitHub trying to understand how deep this rabbit hole actually goes.
The first repo that caught my attention was:
github.com/warproxxx/poly…
A few hours later I found people building autonomous agents for Polymarket:
github.com/Polymarket/age…
That’s when the entire platform started looking different to me.
One wallet made $87k trading weather markets.
Another was making hundreds of trades a day while barely holding positions longer than 90 minutes.
The highest-performing wallets didn’t even look human anymore.
No emotional entries.
No hesitation.
No scrolling Twitter waiting for opinions.
Just instant reactions to forecast changes, liquidity shifts and crowd behavior.
Then I found this:
github.com/Polymarket/pol…
And suddenly it clicked.
Most people on Polymarket still think they’re trading events.
They’re not.
They’re trading how millions of emotional humans react to events in real time.
Huge difference.
One wallet I tracked kept entering positions BEFORE major sentiment swings happened.
At first I thought it was luck.
Then I realized the bot was monitoring forecast disagreements, Twitter activity and liquidity changes simultaneously.
Humans physically cannot process information that fast anymore.
Here wallet: @0xce25e214d5cfe4f459cf67f08df581885aae7fdc-1777575398144?r=lunarlunar#uWtkhrB" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xce25e214d5c…
The scary part is that almost all of this infrastructure is public.
Most people just never open GitHub long enough to notice what's happening.
Lunar@LunarResearcher
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@0x_Punisher If you aren't using a terminal to track these resolution gaps, you're just leaving money on the floor. That why I use kreobot t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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🚨 FOR POLYMARKET DEVS AND BOT OWNERS:
Your bot is sizing positions wrong and you have no idea.
No error message.
No obvious failure.
Just quietly worse fills and confused risk management.
This is one of the most overlooked mistakes in Polymarket bot building.
Here is exactly what is happening and why it matters:
Most people think about position sizing in USD.
I want to risk $50 on this trade.
My bot calculates the order in dollar terms.
Simple, right? Nope.
Polymarket does not work in USD.
It works in shares.
And the math between those two things is not as straightforward as it looks.
When you calculate in USD first and convert to shares second - rounding errors accumulate.
Small discrepancies between what your bot thinks it ordered and what actually hit the book.
At low prices like 3 cents or 4 cents those rounding errors become significant as a percentage of your position.
A bot ordering at 3 cents thinking it placed a $30 position might actually have placed $28.47 worth.
That gap matters for two reasons.
First - your actual risk exposure differs from what your risk management system thinks it is.
Your stop losses and position limits are calculating against wrong numbers.
Second - across thousands of trades daily those small discrepancies compound into real PnL drag that never shows up as a single obvious loss.
It just slowly makes everything slightly worse than it should be.
The fix is to flip the calculation order completely.
My bot had negative PnL before I fixed those issues.
Now i'm sitting at $100,000 PnL.
Public wallet: <@pbot-6?r=punisher" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@pbot-6?r=puni…>
Decide on shares first.
Then derive the USD cost from the share count and current price.
Never go USD to shares.
Always go shares to USD.
This keeps your order quantities precise and your risk management system working against accurate numbers.
It sounds like a minor implementation detail.
Across 5,000 trades per day it is the difference between clean execution and a bot that always underperforms its own backtest without any obvious reason why.
Hope this will help you.
I also recommend you to go through the whole article where I shared the most common mistakes and my public 6 figs results.
Leaving it quoted below.

Punisher@0x_Punisher
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@FabrizioRomano Bookmark this entire thread. The downfall next season is going to be a historic event. Enjoy the high before the crash. 📉🍿
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@FabrizioRomano Still secondary in London. Wake me up when you have a European elite pedigree. 😂
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@FabrizioRomano With all the robbery and back passes😂😂😂
Corner FC😂
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Still secondary in London. Wake me up when you have a European elite pedigree. 😂
Piers Morgan@piersmorgan
This is Arteta’s moment. Yes, the squad’s been amazing. Yes, the fans have been incredible. Yes, the club’s owners stepped up big time last summer. But it was this man’s vision, intensity, intelligence, courage and decisions that won us the League. Thankyou @m8arteta 🙏
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@piersmorgan @m8arteta Still secondary in London. Wake me up when you have a European elite pedigree. 😂
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This is Arteta’s moment.
Yes, the squad’s been amazing.
Yes, the fans have been incredible.
Yes, the club’s owners stepped up big time last summer.
But it was this man’s vision, intensity, intelligence, courage and decisions that won us the League. Thankyou @m8arteta 🙏

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