Kay | 🌺
703 posts

Kay | 🌺
@keon_zero
spiraled into trenches, tauren chieftain https://t.co/0cP0ErXmyz

🏄♂️BTC(Beyond The Candle) - Technical Analyze (12/11) 1. BTC Monthly Chart — Three Uptrend Criteria & Technical Weakness Signals Red line = 20 EMA / Orange line = 20 MA 1) Uptrend Criteria on the Monthly Chart (Three Conditions) 1/ MACD Golden Cross remains intact 2/ Monthly candle closes above both the 20 EMA and 20 MA 3/ 20 EMA and 20 MA maintain a Golden Cross (20 EMA stays above the 20 MA) In the green-circled areas, all three conditions were satisfied, supporting a continued bull market. 2) 2018 & 2022 Cases 1/ Condition #1 broke first (yellow box). 2/ Two to three months later, conditions #2 and #3 also broke (red arrows). 3/ After that, the market shifted into a downtrend and a prolonged accumulation phase. 3) Current Situation Condition #1 has already broken, and conditions #2 and #3 are also at risk. It remains to be seen whether conditions #2 and #3 will break again—similar to previous cycles—potentially signaling entry into a bear market. 2. BTC Weekly chart: bullish momentum has been completely lost. The weekly candle has clearly entered a downtrend. 1) RSI The RSI 44 level has served as the momentum baseline for the uptrend that began in September 2023. With the decline in November 2025, the RSI broke below 44, signaling a loss of bullish momentum. 2) Trendlines Both the white ascending trendline and the green ascending trendline have been broken. Price is currently making a retest bounce on the green trendline. There are no remaining lower ascending trendlines supporting the structure. Given this, the weekly chart is considered to be in a downtrend, and unless price reclaims the green ascending trendline, further downside continuation is likely. 3) Possible Support Zones if Downtrend Continues - 78k - 69–71.5k - 58.7–60.2k - 47–52k If the weekly downtrend continues and the monthly downtrend is also confirmed, a correction toward 58.7–60.2k is the most reasonable expectation. A drop below 47–52k is unlikely, but if it does occur, it would be considered a full-allocation buying zone. 4) Invalidation Level If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above 105–107k, the weekly uptrend can resume and the current bearish weekly structure would need to be reevaluated. (105–107k corresponds to the zone where the November 2025 decline broke RSI momentum.)
















Drop the ego, don't leave money on the table. In a traders perspective, this is the most optimal and opportunistic mode you want rn. see ya onchain, gl








