KPC
262 posts

KPC
@kpcrocket
Independent thinker | Entrepreneur | Only about positive vibes and cool trade ideas here. NFA. Index trader.
Singapore Katılım Haziran 2025
165 Takip Edilen473 Takipçiler

@asianinvestors @athuinvests Got the same three picks here. $TSEM is also great imo.
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$SIVE opens flat today. Thesis still remains intact but will we see a sell off later into the day?
Here are the catalysts the Swedes are ignoring:
1. MSCI inclusion (imminent inflows)
2. NASDAQ listing (anytime, big US institutional access)
3. $6.6M CHIPS Act funding
4. Jabil 1.6T LRO mass prod ramp (quals imminent, rev possible late 2026)
5. New M&A-focused board additions
6. More pluggable/hyperscaler wins + Apple optics potential
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@asianinvestors Well done! I got in just this week so will just keep DCA'ing.
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@kpcrocket We shall see. I got in early so no FOMO here
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I appreciate the thorough DD. But it still doesn't directly address the SIVE's 'chokepoint' thesis imho. We can establish consensus on 1) The CPO market is just taking off; 2) Laser will see large demand; 3) SIVE is at the forefront of meeting these demand with its widespread customer network. But does SIVE tech have any competitive advantages over its competition? Does SIVE hold any technical 'chokepoint' like AXTI does? So I am not sure if the play is solely based on asymmetric valuation or true technical differentiation. (Not a troll, only trying to build conviction here.)
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Serenity is single handedly destroying the $SIVE bears...😂😂 Imagine when it gets its US stock listing - this can go ballistic.
I still think timing is still early, we are basically front-running by at least half a year. Nothing materials has landed on the balance sheet yet. Value investor better wait till quarterly earning is out.
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Why does $SIVE stand out in your CW laser thesis? Not trying to troll, just want to understand what puts them ahead of their competitors. From the Goldman report, it is evident that CW laser supply will be in shortage for the foreseeable future, meaning that would benefit the wider spectrum of players. I just can’t see why SIVE has a higher potential compared to others. I’d love to hear your views.
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Just in: $SIVE gets $6.6M from the US CHIPS ACT.
This is a $6.6M Year 2 Program.
In collaboration with BAE Systems: "Modernizing U.S. Defense Infrastructure Using Sivers Technology"
This is incredibly bullish to have such a small company in $SIVE to get CHIPS ACT funding.
As it positions Sivers as a critical, US-government backstopped chokepoint for national security.

softcareline@user637826
$SIVE just got $6.6M Year 2 from U.S. Microelectronics Commons. Building simultaneous transmit/receive antenna arrays for EW & radar alongside BAE Systems and MIT Lincoln Lab. The DoD doesn’t keep funding companies it doesn’t believe in. And this is just one program. Once you’re embedded in U.S. defense supply chains with MIT and BAE as your references more contracts follow. sivers-semiconductors.com/press/microele…
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Trading options in Asian timezones has been tough, that is why I am stepping away from it, at least for a while. Need to re-focus on my longer term investment (2+ years hold)
Photonics, robotics and agentics are the main themes that I am planning to bet huge on. There are a few emerging players such as $SIVE $PATH $OUST $AAOI
I'd be quietly identifying and sharing alphas and keep building positions.
Slow is the new fast.
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$SIVE if you are not planning to DCA and hold for an extended period of time, don't touch this stock. Playing small cap is not for the weak handed. Build your position and conviction along the way not full porting because a X influencer tells you so.
BTW: I am bullish but have no position right now.
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@athuinvests A timeline of US listing would be fantastic. I expect a lot of pump and dump after that. Plenty of time to load. Hopefully...
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$SIVE this is getting a lot of traction recently. I admit the vision looks euphoric, and the bottleneck thesis does seem promising. I plan to accumulate it as the CPO super-cycle unfolds, and the holding period will be 2-4 years.
Why it is not a immediate buy for me: The valuation is pricing in a future that doesn't exist in the financials yet.
1) The true inflection point of the CPO market is in 2027-2028 when revenue will start to ramp up massively. We are still early in the market cycle.
2) SIVE has already 10x this year which is purely supported by the "bottleneck" thesis, which is again not fully proven in the financials yet.
3) Dilution is coming ahead; the business is still burning cash. 1.6B market cap with around $8M quarterly revenue, and loss making. Management will definitely need to raise more funds.
I still remain bullish in this theme, and in $SIVE. But going big right now seems like an insanely bold and risky move. Build slowly and cautiously.
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