William Bergvik
192 posts




Following Shelly´s Q4 results, Arauca Capital has fully exited Shelly Group $SLYG. We are no longer shareholders. Some of the assumptions I held are no longer true *for me*. This is exclusively my process — I am sharing part of it here. I do not expect anyone to agree. I remain a committed supporter of the company and a genuine admirer of what Dimitar built. The potential is still immense — provided the right environment is in place. Disc: not a recommendation. Arauca Capital no longer holds Shelly shares. Note: @ricardog_77, a former member of my team who has followed Shelly independently for years, published his own thread on the same topic and prompted me to accelerate mine. His views are his own. I recommend reading both.






Ceotronics $CEK now reversed most of the gains after the excellent results on January 23. Which means it’s probably trading again at around 8x EBIT for this year, compared with competitor Invisio at 45x or defense companies in general at over 20x. The main difference is not the low multiple, but that Ceotronics is still ahead of the largest revenue growth in its history (2027/2028), with new orders both from the Bundeswehr and potentially from European NATO and ReArm. That’s how efficient Mr. Market is — and the kinds of opportunities it creates for long term investors, as shown in the chart.




Dollarn är brutal. Under 9kr vilken sekund som helst 💀


Sehr Schön with Ceotronics: Very strong backlog record at circa 76M EUR - this is really big also considering that this is without even the SMG 2027 lot. New records coming up? In perspective the previous record c. 71M EUR backlog counted for two yearly SMG GER lots - this new record only counts for one that is least to say impressive.










