Ricky

625 posts

Ricky

Ricky

@letmebyouroasis

Katılım Temmuz 2022
59 Takip Edilen9 Takipçiler
Ricky
Ricky@letmebyouroasis·
@assface_private May I ask why you gauge spy premiums and not SPX?
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Ricky
Ricky@letmebyouroasis·
@benjamincowen Bitcoin topped at 109k?? Would someone kindly explain this
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen·
SPX had its 10% drop. Now in the rally back near the highs. Topping is a long process that takes a long time to play out. It can frequently even involve going back to new highs for a while before dropping again. Think about how BTC topped at $109K in January 2025, then went marginally higher for a few months later on (to $126k), before a larger drop occurred. I think SPX is likely in a similar pattern. Because Bitcoin is further up the risk curve, the process played out for BTC sooner. But as the business cycle continues, the lower risk stuff likely can go through a similar pattern.
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Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen

I think we will likely see a 10% drop in SPX soon.

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Bassem
Bassem@Basssem666·
$SPY I’m seeing a lot of frustration and even personal insults (I have a skin that’s thicker than a crocodile so it doesn’t hurt me). I need to clarify a few things though because many of you need to understand the following. Drawdowns are a part of this business, like having multiple losing trades in a row. If you can’t survive a drawdown and blow up because of it, then go find a job and stop trading because it means you’re a gambler with terrible risk management. You don’t belong here. When I had a crazy winning streak from late December to March, in a very tough market environment by the way, I was giving out the trades for free, just like now, and people were banking and I never asked anything in return. I still kept telling people that this isn’t how it works. I kept saying to all those who were praising me and saying I’m the “goat” or “you never lose bro!” that I lost before and I will lose again. That’s just how it is. You need to have good risk management to make more when you’re right than what you lose when you’re wrong, and I’ve been doing just that and chilling through my recent drawdown. I survived multiple drawdowns before and always bounced back, just like I will with this one. Nothing new. I also don’t owe any of you here anything, with all due respect, I literally don’t need any of you for anything what so ever. The revenue sharing I get from X every two weeks is peanuts, I spend more on a night out with a girl or my boys. You don’t like me or my content, just fuck off, easy. I know there are real ones in my followers. The ones that are grateful for all the previous wins I gave for free, I know who you are and I love you all, we are going to get back to winning ways again, together!✌️
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Assface Unchained
Assface Unchained@assface_burner·
@buymeacoffee has apparently decided that I violated their terms and suspended my account for suspicious activity. My payouts have been disabled and the money is frozen. Thank you all for your support, but I have not received a penny, because @buymeacoffee has decided to freeze my account.
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC longs Et voila! New highs achieved ✅ Thank you and good night Good morning, dear community. As called out in live time, and in advance, new highs were going to be made. Yet your entire timeline was probably saying lower just because we had a "clean looking rejection". "CME gap 66k will be filled". Could be true, but again, the very timing of bears saying it couldn't be worse. Not all rejections are the same, and this was a classic example. We laid out a POI and a high density area of liquidity below us where many were likely to go short. Keep in mind, there are many sub 50k believers still out there, but they are not randomly shorting all the time, they are just trigger happy for every reason to go short and one of those times is when the market "looks" like it's reversing. That's exactly what my last post was about. A point where many bears go short and where we said they are likely wrong. And then, we indeed detected the order flow and confirmed how most of those signatures went short. That means they place their stop losses somewhere. Where? At new highs. And that is exactly where we want to target the longs we took. And with just a simple peak at the order flow (just use coinalyze for example), you indeed see the OI drop sharply now, meaning, they are liquidating their shorts at a loss into stop losses or manual closes. That fulfils my promise, to take the stops of all the bears who were bear posting right as we went long. I know it sounds very countertrade-ish. But it's sheer the reality of this game. Only about 10% of people win in trading and win big (it's an exponential game). Speaking of 10%, I am still leaving another 10 in case we get 76/77k area.
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Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC So many bearish posts again all of a sudden. I still think we will make new highs. And I just took a long for it. Alright, so we scored some major longs last week on what has been quite a big leg up. And yes, we did hit major targets of mine, into which the longs have been fully TP'd except for runners, but as we were making the high, I said, don't worry for pullbacks, we are going higher. And now, we're just getting another weekend pullback. We're also hitting local support, and the spot premiums have just increased during this drop. I don't know how I can be more clear, but many people out here are still on edge of calling every single pullback the end of the leg IMO interpretable as a clear sentiment read. What if I told you they are wrong, this leg isn't finished yet and we could dig deeper into the POI, and we are going to make a new high of this leg, stopping out all the bears who are calling for lower right now, and most likely short for it during this weekend. I know it's hard to believe now that prices are low. But what's the toughest to digest emotionally, is the most profitable move in trading. We'll see, but during times like this, I want their money, and I go long for it. So without any further chit chatting and bull posting, I put my money behind my words. I always have by the way, from the very start of making this account, as the long term followers know. And yes, this entry is taken quite up high, it is a semi top blast, so leave some room to manage it. But we are making new highs, and that's the main first target.

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Ricky
Ricky@letmebyouroasis·
@assface_private Any truth to SPX (institutional) being proactive and SPY is reactive?
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Michael Bento
Michael Bento@MichaelPBento·
Rip is getting sold. This most recent leg up saw call net premium collapse and puts tick up. Can't wait to see what the MOC imbalance is today.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
John Loc has nothing on this guy!
Justin@iewney

$IONQ $OKLO [A transparency post] As some of you might know, I've not been able to make as many thoughtful posts as I would've liked due to the demand of my job. It occupies 85% of my time and mental capacity. AI is coming. AI is here. And work is enabling me to be at the forefront of AI design, development, and adoption. It's right where I want to be. With that being said, here's an update on my portfolio. From peak-to-trough, I'm down about ~$6.5M. What have I done? I have not sold a single share and I've been buying the dips. Why? Because my investment thesis and horizon haven't changed. Both quantum computing and nuclear energy continue to be national security priorities and global leadership must-win imperatives. $IONQ's recent notable achievements (from Gemini): - Technical Milestones & Roadmap: Launched the AQ 64 Tempo system and is on track for a 256-qubit system by late 2026, marking their sixth-generation quantum computer. - Financial Growth & Strength: Reported 202% year-over-year revenue growth, exceeding $100M in GAAP revenue, and entered 2026 with roughly $3.3 billion in cash and investments to fund R&D and acquisitions. - Strategic Expansion & Partnerships: Announced the acquisition of SkyWater Technology to bolster manufacturing, and expanded partnerships with organizations including QuantumBasel, SK Telecom, Hyundai, and KISTI. - Full-Stack Development: Beyond computing, $IONQ is scaling in quantum networking, sensing (e.g., experimentation with the X37B space plane), and security. - Commercial Adoption: Increased remaining performance obligations to $370 million, reflecting strong demand for their, as of, 100-qubit systems. - Record-Setting Performance: Achieved 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity, marking the highest performance in the industry, enabling more complex algorithms and advancing their roadmap toward million-qubit systems by 2030. $OKLO's recent notable achievements from Gemini): - $META Platforms Agreement (Jan 2026): $OKLO signed a landmark deal with Meta to develop a 1.2-gigawatt nuclear energy campus in Ohio. This agreement includes a prepayment mechanism for power, providing upfront funding to advance project certainty and fuel procurement. - Fuel Supply Chain: $OKLO secured a $2 billion partnership with newcleo for fuel fabrication facilities and is collaborating with Centrus Energy to secure LEU (Low-Enriched Uranium) and fuel materials from government reserves. - Acquisition of Atomic Alchemy: The $25M acquisition provides a subsidiary focusing on isotope production, with plans to turn on a test reactor by July 4, 2026. - NSDA Approval (March 2026): The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) approved the Nuclear Safety Design Agreement (NSDA) for Atomic Alchemy’s Groves Isotopes Test Reactor in Texas, following an "Other Transaction Agreement" signed in January. - Isotope Commercialization License (March 2026): $OKLO received its first materials license from the NRC for its subsidiary, Atomic Alchemy, allowing it to handle, process, and distribute isotopes for medical and industrial use. - Aurora Design Approval: The DOE approved the NSDA for the Aurora powerhouse project at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), allowing the Preliminary Documented Safety Analysis (PDSA) to proceed. - Fueling Strategy: $OKLO is utilizing DOE Reactor Pilot Programs, which allow for potential exemption from traditional NRC licensing, targeting mid-2026 for criticality of test reactors. - $OKLO CEO, Jason DeWitte, is a part of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) along with: Sergey Brin $GOOG Safra Catz $ORCL Michael Dell $DELL Fred Ehrsam $COIN Larry Ellison $ORCL David Friedberg Ohalo / $GOOG Jensen Huang $NVDA John Martinis Quantum AI Lab Bob Mumgaard Commonwealth Fusion Systems Lisa Su $AMD Mark Zuckerberg $META One doesn't get a seat at the table without any proper credential or doesn't bring any value to the group. So, yes, I'm still bullish. And, yes, I remain a long-term investor in both $IONQ and $OKLO.

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Michael Bento
Michael Bento@MichaelPBento·
One final thought before I try to get some sleep. I find it telling about the quality of the type of the people in here that I get unfollows when I admit I got something wrong rather than bullshitting with spin. So I’ll put this in a metaphor these gamblers can understand: Any good craps table can be hot and cool, but you show me a craps table that is always hot no matter what and I’ll show you someone throwing loaded dice. I’m not here to bullshit you, and I’m not here for ego, I’m here first and foremost for me to write out what I see to keep myself honest and I find the added scrutiny of a public forum more honest keeping than an offline journal. I try to help pass on what I know and freely admit there is much I don’t know, but I’m always learning new things which is how to stay alive in this business. I’m not a furu, I’m not an oracle, I’m not Barron Trump, I’m just an asshole who’s been in the profession for a while and calling it how I see it on the basis of my experience. I learned what I know listening to the old heads on trading floors and now I run my own shop. If my musings and observations help you learn and grow as a trader then that’s just a feel good bonus for me. I’ll never bullshit you because I don’t need to since I’ll never sell anything because I hate dealing with clients with a seething passion.
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🌞 Sherri 🌞
🌞 Sherri 🌞@SherriBoatQueen·
@letmebyouroasis Hi Ricky! For sure that is almost always the case. But when you can place your stop loss super tight as in the example, there is very little to lose if wrong. The R/R on a set up like this is very good. That said, one could absolutely wait for the cross for extra confluence
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🌞 Sherri 🌞
🌞 Sherri 🌞@SherriBoatQueen·
One of my fave set ups. Price tries to rally at open, fails and we still need to close the gap on previous day's close. When you see the sell pressure, allow price to retest and take your entry. SL above that candle. The R:R is so good. PT is previous day's close. Trail SL.
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Ricky retweetledi
Killa
Killa@KillaXBT·
KillaLabs will be open for a short 48-hour window before closing for 3 months. Inside, I share the frameworks and tools I use to analyse markets, including time-based price action concepts for assets like $BTC. This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC 67.7k ✅ They call it voodoo. We call it years of practice, collecting secrets, and execution. To showcase a one sided stance. Not calling for two directions and quoting back whichever one worked in hindsight. Instead, this is all called in advance and in live time. Again, and again, and again. Enjoy.
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Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC longs My next target is 67.7k Had this question commonly occur. "Where do we make money Astro?" The first place where I aim to reduce position size of this long is 67.7k give or take. That's the typical width of first trim of almost every trade we take. Hope that answers your question(s).

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