
Will J.D. Vance Run In 2028? History Says VP Might Be The Strongest GOP Contender. dailytorch.com/2026/05/will-j… @realDonaldTrump @VP
The Congressional midterm elections of 2026 are just a few months away, and once they come and go, the 2028 presidential cycle to succeed President Donald Trump will begin almost immediately, with one of the biggest decision-makers being Vice President J.D. Vance. While in 2028 Republicans won’t technically be running for a third consecutive term — President Trump was elected in 2016 and 2024 to non-consecutive terms — standard voter fatigue attributable to second term presidencies set in almost instantly in 2025. If so, it could be the only thing worse than nominating a sitting vice president might be to nominate somebody else. The reason for that could be how the modern nominating process has unfolded, unquestionably favoring sitting vice presidents, with party nominations in Richard Nixon in 1960, Hubert Humphrey in 1968, George H.W. Bush in 1988, Al Gore in 2000 and Kamala Harris in 2024 going to the incumbent vice president. In the post-World War II era, they’re undefeated. If they run, they win the nomination. When sitting vice presidents or vice presidents who became president have run for the third consecutive or more term (defined by consecutive terms with the same party ruling), the elections were competitive or beneficial for the incumbents if not always successful: Harry Truman (a sitting president who had succeeded Frankling Roosevelt after he died) won 49.5 percent to Thomas Dewey’s 45 percent in 1948, Richard Nixon got 49.55 percent to John Kennedy’s 49.77 percent in 1960, Hubert Humphrey got 42.7 percent of the vote to Richard Nixon’s 43.4 percent in 1968, Gerald Ford (another sitting president who had succeeded Nixon) got 48.4 percent to Jimmy Carter’s 50 percent in 1976, George H.W. Bush won with 53.4 percent in 1988 to Michael Dukakis’ 45.7 percent and Al Gore got 48.4 percent to George W. Bush’s 47.9 percent (and barely lost) in 2000, or an average 48.63 percent of the popular vote. Compare that to non-vice presidents running for their party’s third or more term: Adlai Stevenson who only got 44.3 percent of the vote to Dwight Eisenhower’s 55.2 percent in 1952, John McCain only got 45.7 percent to Barack Obama’s 52.9 percent in 2008 and the one who did the best was Hillary Clinton with 48 percent to President Trump's 46 percent in 2016, or an average of 46 percent of the popular vote.

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