Rio Montella

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Rio Montella

Rio Montella

@littleogerr

brand new me

Katılım Kasım 2019
197 Takip Edilen112 Takipçiler
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Cheytax Management LLC
Cheytax Management LLC@Cheytax_1·
Rupiah weakness YTD is noise. The real damage starts when implied volatility breaks above 20. That's when markets stop functioning normally. Gov about to learn you can't throw random policies into the system everyday without consequences.
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Cheytax Management LLC
Cheytax Management LLC@Cheytax_1·
True. That's precisely why "BrokSum" was a bad idea right from the beginning. You're relying on recommendations from analysts whose bonuses depend on pleasing clients, not delivering accurate calls. Check the breakdown below, they recommend BUY on BCA almost 90% of the time. After the latest earnings? 100%. They couldn't care less about how the stock actually performs. All they care about is hitting their next quarter's bonus. It doesn't mean they're stupid, they know BCA isn't behaving like BCA used to, but the incentive structure in this industry is literally built that way. And.. that's your answer to "Kok reksadana gue nggak pernah profit ya?" 😬
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Ricky Ho@rickyho_1989

If you ever wonder why the vast majority of sell-side reports are “Buy,” it is not because most stocks are attractive. It is because of incentives. Sell-side analysts operate within a system built on relationships. Access to company management matters. Relationships with buy-side clients matter even more. Analysts are ranked and rewarded based on votes from institutional investors, many of whom already own the stocks being covered. That creates a natural bias toward maintaining constructive views. The result is predictable. Negative calls are rare. Downgrades come late. Language gets softened. That does not make the research useless. It just means you need to read it correctly. Treat every report as a starting point, not a conclusion. Focus on the data, not the recommendation. Track the analyst over time. Who identified inflection points early. Who consistently lagged reality. Who changes their view only after the price moves. In practice, you are not just analyzing the company. You are also analyzing the analyst. That extra layer of skepticism is not optional. It is part of the process.

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Rio Montella
Rio Montella@littleogerr·
@jericho_Go Sindoro view sumbing. Menarik coba kita kumpulin masanya kali ya wkwkk
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JeriChow Yun Fat
JeriChow Yun Fat@jericho_Go·
@littleogerr Cakep amatt wkwkwk dmn nehh Om Rio ? Stockbit kaga ada rencana trip muncak bareng neh ?
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JeriChow Yun Fat
JeriChow Yun Fat@jericho_Go·
Ini foto foto gunungku, Mana foto foto gunungmu ?
JeriChow Yun Fat tweet mediaJeriChow Yun Fat tweet mediaJeriChow Yun Fat tweet mediaJeriChow Yun Fat tweet media
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Almer Sad, CFA
Almer Sad, CFA@Kutekians·
Kenapa Trump sering tiba2 keluarkan GOOD NEWS ketika UST 10Y yield naik/ada di area 4.3%–4.5%? COINCIDENCE? Saya rasa tidak. Saya coba backtest 17 event tariff pivot Trump sejak Jan 2025. Dari 17 kali Trump bikin "good news" (tariff pause, trade deal, soften stance): • 12 dari 17 event (71%) terjadi saat yield ≥ 4.3%. • Saat yield di atas 4.5%: 3/3 kali Trump langsung lunak, yield turun semua. • Saat yield di bawah 4.3%: Trump santai, jarang ada konsesi. Bukti paling jelas: 9 April 2025. • Seminggu sebelumnya yield spike dari 4.0% ke 4.4%. • Bond market mulai jual US Treasury besar-besaran. • Hari itu juga Trump umumkan 90-day tariff pause untuk 75+ negara. Utang US = $36 triliun. Setiap yield naik 1% = tambahan $360 miliar/tahun bunga. US harus refinance $9–10T utang tiap tahun. Setiap 10bps lebih tinggi = +$9B biaya permanen selamanya. BOND MARKET IS THE REAL BOSS. Trump boleh bikin kebijakan apapun. Tapi kalau bond vigilantes mulai jual, dia balik badan. Yield 4.3%–4.5% bukan sekadar angka teknikal. Itu batas toleransi fiskal US. Manage your portfolio accordingly.
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Almer Sad, CFA
Almer Sad, CFA@Kutekians·
Berapa lama IHSG recover setiap turun lebih dari 20%? 8 kali IHSG jatuh lebih dari 20% sejak 2008. 7 done, semua recover. Waktu recovery nya beda2: • Recovery tercepat: 8 bulan (EU Debt Crisis 2011). • Terlama: 46 bulan (COVID crash hit sebelum EM Currency recover). Crash ke-8 ini masih ongoing. Recovery will come. Just manage your expectations on timing.
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Indonesian Poop Base
Indonesian Poop Base@iPoopBased·
Mudik Lebaran. Akhirnya ketemu anak-anak yang gak pegang HP 😍
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Nakula
Nakula@03__nakula·
Selesai sholat Ied bermaaf²an ❌ Selesai sholat Ied tawuran ✅ TKP Masjid Takmiriyah, Kemayoran. 🎥 tt nayhanshop
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Pink Bourbon
Pink Bourbon@pinkbourbon8898·
Terimakasih atas semua feedbacknya. we went back, re-checked every single number, and revised the full document. What we added: "How to Read the FIF Column" new section explaining FIF Value and n/a actually mean. All data sources updated to primary: KSEI Holding Composition Report & MSCI consultation docs directly What we fixed: BREN ownership, DSSA scenario (FIF naik bukan turun), entity names, MSCI weights What we removed: Third-party source attributions all ownership data now sourced directly from KSEI, not media reports Every ownership %, every FIF, every entity name verified against KSEI (Feb 27, 2026) and MSCI primary documents. Free to read as always. Link : lynk.id/thestudyroom/g… Will update again once KSEI drops the 27 sub-category investor classification data. That's the dataset that changes everything.
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Rio Montella
Rio Montella@littleogerr·
THR gak ada artinya dibanding minus porto ini, asu lah
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IHSG Journal 🍀🌞
IHSG Journal 🍀🌞@aldotjahjadi8·
Indonesia’s ‘cowboy’ finance czar shrugs off investor alarm; ‘I know what I’m doing’ bt.sg/aVTv
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Rey Axelrod
Rey Axelrod@reyaxelrod_·
Sebenarnya mereka juga bisa masuk melalui closed-end mutual fund yang diterbitkan oleh rekanan asset management mereka. Dengan mekanisme seperti itu, nama Danantara tidak akan terlihat secara langsung di daftar pemegang saham.
Lambe Saham@LambeSahamjja

2 februari bilang mereka udah beli saham2 diskon yang di ihsg tapi per 4 maret gada tuh nongol danantara kepemilikan diatas 1% kecuali saham negara yang dialihin dulu Entah siapa yang harus di percaya di negeri ini dah

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