Lucas Martin Calderon

why did i become a prediction markets maxi ? (opinionated take) ai will endanger capitalism, as the output of elite education with raw intellect will become globally available and cheap ai will endanger manual labor, as the human capital required for construction, mechanics, or even home chores will be priced at $1.50/hour with robots like tesla’s optimus my take? ai perfectly masters and replaces performance-oriented tasks (consulting, coding, manufacturing, trading, healthcare…), with entertainment and attention being the black sheep, or rather golden eggs here: “ai as the engine, and humans as the steering wheel” (@VitalikButerin ) a few years ago, prediction markets were sanctioned by the cftc, actioned through the fbi. today, every month polymarket and kalshi have billions worth of volume. tomorrow they will be bigger wrappers than the nasdaq and the collective “proof-of-stake” tool against a dangerously growing misinformation flywheel without a shred of doubt, those companies that master attention, put humans in the steering wheel and go with the users already are, will undoubtedly win the game DM if you are interested to be part of that new world

@PredictEX 🚀

@lmc_security this is what happens when information becomes tradable

prediction markets roundup last 24h - kalshi integrated cash app pay for seamless deposits - the CFTC issued a major staff advisory letter no. 26-08 signaling a shift toward encouraging the growth of prediction market - institutional brokers marex group and clear street announced they will begin offering hedge fund clients direct access to kalshi’s order books - polymarket partnered with palantir to build ai-powered sports integrity monitoring across its sports markets 👀 - senator adam schiff introduced the « death bets act » to ban prediction markets related to war, death and terrorism 👀👀👀

@goodworse Quietly and not so quietly!

@lmc_security prediction markets are quietly developing at a crazy speed

@klimonchain Wait and see 🔥

@lmc_security wait the cash app integration is actually huge mainstream access bout to spike ser

@sirsamjenks 💯💯

@lmc_security 👌 each day that passes I feel closer to that reality

kash space takeaway: people will quantify and profit from everything around them (2/6) we are getting closer to a future where people will be able to quantify absolutely everything around them and profit from their edge no more app-switching or wallet approvals; just pure, permissionless predictions where users and the narrative live and breathes in real-time

@boyscantcryy_ Precisely!

@lmc_security with Kash, measuring everything on social media can get prizes🥳

What happens when RWAs meet social-native prediction markets? Join @lmc_security from Kash & @optimalant from Go! tomorrow at 6PM UTC (March 17) to discuss how you’ll soon be predicting RWA narratives directly on X. Set a reminder below 🟡

@chribjel Why are they open now will answer the tomorrow question

Eventually the open labs will also close down their models

@ivanfioravanti If you wanna chat prediction markets and open source multi agentic reasoning systems, DM me 👌

@lmc_security Who knows yet 🤷🏻‍♂️

@askwhykartik @ycombinator @a16z @pioneerdotapp @angelpad @Techstars @500GlobalVC Totally recommend @fabric_vc , R3esidency programme

Here is a list of all startup accelerators you can apply to right now: @ycombinator ($500k for ~7%) @a16z ($750k-$1M for ~7-10%) @pioneerdotapp ($20k for 1%) @the_mint_vc ($500k for 10%) @angelpad ($120k for 7%) @techstars ($220k for ~5-7%) @500GlobalVC ($112.5k for 6%) @EFStartups ($250k for ~9%) @southparkcommon ($400k for 7% + $600k guaranteed follow-on) @sequoia ($1M) @pearvc ($250k-$2M) @greylock (SAFE note + $500k+ in credits) @conviction ($150k uncapped MFN SAFE) @openai ($1M equity investment) @StartupWiseGuys (up to €65k for equity) @apxaccel (up to €500k, typically €50k for 5%) @southparkcommon ($150k for 5-10%) @seedcamp (€100k-€200k for 7-7.5%) @antlervc (€100k for 10% + stipend / $200k-$250k for 8-9%) @googlestartups (up to $100k) @accel (up to $500k-$1M) @aigrant ($250k uncapped) @aforecapital ($100k-$500k) @BoostVC (up to $500k for 15%)

@NickPreszler Dapper Dan wouldn’t be happy youtu.be/BJbgZyHTptc?si…

When did we all stop saying dapp? No one uses it anymore but it used to be the default term for crypto apps. Feels like it fell out of everyone’s vocabulary all at once, but i cant place when the change happened.

@miguelsantafe @andrew__lw @kash_bot Amazing work the team is doing with your magic @miguelsantafe

KASHFLASH KEEPS GROWING it's been amazing to see everyone participating in the kasflash game, every market has more traction than the previous one! we keep testing, getting feedback & iterating @kash_bot put 20 on manchester city it's free to play → leaderboard.kash.bot

@ascetic0x indeed! just getting started

@lmc_security feels like a clear prediction markets supercycle

what just happened in prediction markets? - underdog acquired aristotle exchange, giving the sports platform its own federal license to launch and manage prediction markets - cboe announced the introduction of new prediction market contracts that offer partial payouts based on prediction accuracy - kalshi announced a strategic partnership with xp, brazil's largest brokerage - betr entered a multi-year partnership with polymarket to integrate its prediction market infrastructure directly into the app - polymarket archived its controversial "nuclear detonation" contracts following intense scrutiny from u.s. senators and allegations of insider trading tied to military actions in the middle east - predict​.fun completed a strategic acquisition of probable, a competing platform on bnb chain - cftc chairman michael selig announced that new regulatory guidance for prediction markets is forthcoming in the near future - kalshi partnered with luxury watch marketplace bezel to launch event contracts tied to high-end watches - nasdaq filed with the sec to roll out prediction markets options on a major stock index bear market has no say in PMM 🚀

@GoRWAChain @kash_bot unlocking real world opinions now with @GoRWAChain

🚨 New Strategic Partner Alert! 🚨 @kash_bot 🤝 @GoRWAChain = The RealFi Revolution Starts Here! 🟡💥 Predict RWA narratives right in your X feed (gold to $5k? BTC 120k? Oil spikes?), then EXECUTE them instantly via Go!'s AI-native infrastructure. No apps. No friction. Just scroll → predict → own & automate tokenized assets. We're building the Agentic OS for RWAs: 🧠 Autonomous AI agents optimizing strategies ⛓️ Quantum-secure zkEVM L1 + native Bitcoin settlement ⚙️ Enterprise simulation, automation & compliance 🌐 Decentralized agentic nodes powering it all 🏬 Unified RWA marketplace for real liquidity 1M+ ecosystem | $100M+ buying power | $250M+ committed RWA pipeline | Backed by Animoca, Polygon Ventures, Sequoia Scouts & more. 2026: Institutional scale + enterprise revenue. Narratives become executable capital. Your feed isn't noise, it's tradable intelligence. Predict the future of assets. Own it on-chain. Go! is kashed in 🟡🔥 Who's jumping in? gosmartchain.ai Buy & Own an Agentic Asset Market Node today: nodes.gosmartchain.ai

@kash_bot 🤝 @GoRWAChain Soon you’ll be predicting RWA narratives directly on X. Go! is now kashed in 🟡

@futuurHQ precisely

@lmc_security Turning uncertainty itself into a financial primitive changes everything

@kash_bot @GoRWAChain Let's go!

It’s my hope that, by marrying prediction markets with blockchains, we can see how decentralized trust and truth can act as a check on disinformation, outright falsity, and the threat of debanking.