Lucas Martin Calderon

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Lucas Martin Calderon

Lucas Martin Calderon

@lmc_security

price how you see the world | founder & ceo @kash_bot | prediction markets

London, England Katılım Mart 2022
868 Takip Edilen3.4K Takipçiler
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Lucas Martin Calderon
Lucas Martin Calderon@lmc_security·
why did i become a prediction markets maxi ? (opinionated take) ai will endanger capitalism, as the output of elite education with raw intellect will become globally available and cheap ai will endanger manual labor, as the human capital required for construction, mechanics, or even home chores will be priced at $1.50/hour with robots like tesla’s optimus my take? ai perfectly masters and replaces performance-oriented tasks (consulting, coding, manufacturing, trading, healthcare…), with entertainment and attention being the black sheep, or rather golden eggs here: “ai as the engine, and humans as the steering wheel” (@VitalikButerin ) a few years ago, prediction markets were sanctioned by the cftc, actioned through the fbi. today, every month polymarket and kalshi have billions worth of volume. tomorrow they will be bigger wrappers than the nasdaq and the collective “proof-of-stake” tool against a dangerously growing misinformation flywheel without a shred of doubt, those companies that master attention, put humans in the steering wheel and go with the users already are, will undoubtedly win the game DM if you are interested to be part of that new world
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kash
kash@kash_bot·
How to Trade Prediction Markets on 𝕏 🟡 Today • 3PM UTC Join Lucas @lmc_security, founder & CEO of Kash, and the team to discuss the future of social-native prediction markets, testnet updates, and what’s coming next. Set a reminder below 👇 x.com/i/spaces/1RKZz…
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Verdigo
Verdigo@prokopkor·
Okay this is actually huge for Kash. The moment you add API access, it stops feeling like just another prediction market. You can already imagine AI agents interacting with markets on their own. Feels like Kash is slowly building something much bigger than people realize. Stay kashed-in Lucas🤝
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Lucas Martin Calderon
Lucas Martin Calderon@lmc_security·
permissionless prediction market + long-tail + social native + no market makers needed + new permissionless API this better than sex for ai agents
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XnonameX
XnonameX@XbanPourRien·
The team is incredibly active and very responsive to its community every request and every comment is taken into account (hi @lmc_security, @0xth320v, @andrew__lw 👋). A wonderful, strong community has been building for several months now. 👇
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XnonameX
XnonameX@XbanPourRien·
The @kash_bot testnet has been running for over 2weeks now, we're starting the 3 week, here are some important figures to know: -600+ active players -27 million+ in volume -9000+ prediction If you haven't tried it yet, you're missing out on something 👇 x.com/i/status/20513…
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kash@kash_bot

[ PUBLIC TESTNET LIVE ] 🟡 the gates are open. anyone can trade now. not your typical prediction market. here's what's live, what's at stake, and how to enter ↓

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CoinGecko
CoinGecko@coingecko·
What's a project everyone should know about?
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ms 🇻🇪
ms 🇻🇪@miguelsantafe·
two weeks into @kash_bot's public testnet 🟡 here's everything we shipped ↓ 🧵
ms 🇻🇪 tweet media
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Lucas Martin Calderon
Lucas Martin Calderon@lmc_security·
prediction markets last 48h - polymarket launched prediction markets for private company milestones and performance powered by data from nasdaq private market - the cftc filed a lawsuit against minnesota to block a new state law that would make operating or assisting in the operation of a prediction market a criminal felony - kalshi announced a $2 million partnership with the national council on problem gambling to support a new initiative for trader health and safety - jpmorgan warned its 320,000 employees to think twice before placing bets on prediction platforms like kalshi and polymarket - the u.s. sec delayed again the launch of the first batch of prediction market etfs to review product structure details - kash rolled of its third week of public testnet on 𝕏 which update is most bullish?
GIF
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Lucas Martin Calderon
Lucas Martin Calderon@lmc_security·
kash is simply built differently kash’s community is our most valuable asset kash will always ship faster than anyone else smth new is coming
Fola@Fola_web3

. @kash_bot is shipping at an insane pace. Suggest a feature today, and it’s live tomorrow. Report a bug today, and it’s fixed within hours. A few weeks ago, I suggested the X bot should notify traders when a market resolves. Today, it doesn’t just ping you; it gives a full shoutout with a clean breakdown of the market: the outcome, volume, winners, and losers. New UI features keep rolling out, each one making the dashboard cleaner and easier to navigate instead of being cluttered. Whether it’s the X bot or the dashboard, the only constant is that both keep getting better. As you continue to test, if you have any suggestions or find a bug, hit the feedback button in the dashboard or just post it and tag the team. @miguelsantafe is always active on X and constantly iterating for a cleaner app. @andrew__lw and @0xth320v are always available on Discord, no matter how busy they are, they actually listen and move fast. At this rate, mainnet feels right around the corner. Keep cooking, team!

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Plux
Plux@pluxurik·
@lmc_security Have the rest of Europe produced any Suprenova talent yet?
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Lucas Martin Calderon
Lucas Martin Calderon@lmc_security·
vivat alma mater!
Tarique Sha@tariquesha1

One University has produced more billion dollar AI companies in the last 18 months than the entire rest of Europe combined. Its University College London. In the last two years alone,four UCL founded companies have either been valued above $1 billion or sold for $1 billion+: Google DeepMind >founded in 2010 by @demishassabis (UCL PhD Neuroscience), Shane Legg (UCL PhD AI) and Mustafa Suleyman. Acquired by Google for $500 million in 2014,now the world's leading AI research lab. Faculty> founded in 2014 by UCL graduates Marc Warner (PhD Physics), Angie Ma (PhD Physics) and Andy Brookes. Acquired by Accenture in January 2026 for a reported $1 billion. The largest takeover of a privately held British AI startup in history. Synthesia> co founded by UCL Professor @LourdesAgapito (computer science) with three collaborators,now valued at $4 billion. Ineffable Intelligence> founded in late 2025 by UCL Professor David Silver, raised $1.1 billion in seed funding at a $5.1 billion valuation in April 2026 , the largest seed round in European history. . Thats four UCL rooted companies. Combined value: more than $11 billion. Tim Rocktäschel @_rockt , another UCL professor with DeepMind history raised over $500 million for @Recursive_SI at a $4 billion pre money valuation. UCL has produced over 400 student startups in the last five years, raising more than £355 million and employing more than 1,900 people.

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shafu
shafu@shafu0x·
insane that there's no high quality group for people in tech who actually want to meet in person. fixing this. dm me if you're in New York
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Baheet
Baheet@Baheet_·
CLOBS are failing prediction markets on polymarket and kalshi, the long tail market doesn't exist because the market makers can't/won't provide liquidity for them which is why polymarket and kalshi both concentrate activity in a handful of flagship categories; most of their thousands of listed markets stay dormant or low-volume.
Baheet@Baheet_

we are yet to see a prediction markets that serves the long tail markets almost every prediction platform is focused on crypto, sport and usa politics this is a gap yet to be filled…. Who’s building?

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Light Node Ventures
Light Node Ventures@LightNodeVent·
In the Year of the Horse, you don’t wait for the future. You run toward it. That was the energy in the room at our dinner during @EthereumDenver. We were joined by @further , @theBBFund , @AD_VenturesX , @1kxnetwork , @borderless_cap , @blockwall_vc , @PSG_inside , @RedBeardVC , @EdgeVenturesVC , @Anti__Capital , @WTGVentures , @decasonic , @greenfield_cap , @translink_cap, @NonagonCapital, @PaulTaylorVC and several others. See you at the next one!
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Fola
Fola@Fola_web3·
I got rekt the other day on my SUI position. Like most traders, I immediately looked for a scapegoat. I blamed the system and convinced myself that whales were the reason I couldn’t break into the sprint leaderboard. Out of desperation, I overtraded with size, got it wrong, and lost it all. So I took my frustration to Discord and complained. My argument was straightforward: reset balances every week so everyone starts with the same capital. That way, traders who have accumulated size over time couldn’t dominate with larger positions. Then came the reality check. The team can’t simply reset wallet balances because the Kash wallet is non-custodial. My venting revealed something important about @kash_bot trust model. Your funds are truly yours. The team has no control over them and cannot access or move them arbitrarily. At its core, custody remains with you, not the platform. That said, it is not risk-free. The risk stays entirely with you. If you expose your seed phrase or private keys, your funds are gone forever. The second realization hit even harder: size cuts both ways. Larger capital lets you take bigger positions, but it also amplifies your losses when you’re wrong, exactly as it did in my case. A whale doesn’t just win bigger; they lose bigger too. Risk scales directly with size, and there is no special protection. In the end, both large and small traders are exposed, just at different magnitudes. What felt like an unfair system was mostly my own misunderstanding of how risk and position sizing actually work. Btw, please check the bug with closing position. @miguelsantafe @andrew__lw @0xth320v
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Keşfet

@prokopkor @XbanPourRien @0xth320v @andrew__lw @kash_bot @miguelsantafe @coingecko @meison_mswen