lhtan

@PLA_MilitaryUpd Wrong application/use for tanks. The fundamentals will kill them.

Indian Army has deployed 400 T-90 Tanks near the Ladakh, where there has been a clash between🇨🇳China and🇮🇳India If India fires a single shot to our side, the treaty is broken, and DF-17 missiles would be coming to eat it’s breakfast. x.com/TrishulxIN/sta…

@ldn433467433602 难得的天才。

请用四个字评价我没过门的妻子厨艺，不能太狠

@thatdayin1992 Now, Iran has China as the guarantor.

By accepting the ceasefire, Iran made the same mistake it did in the 12-day war. Iran just let the enemy go when they were weakened. They ran out of interceptors, but now they are going to rearm. Oil and gas prices were going up, but now they are coming down, and economic pressures are going to be lifted. The US/Zionistan are gonna rearm and regroup, get their oil ships, and bomb Iran again. Iran should've continued for at least one more month. I hope I'm wrong, and Iran gets what it wants, but the US/Zionistan's past behaviour tells me that is not going to happen, and they will not commit to any deal.

@Ad_Tel_210168 It's hard to work out things for countries forward even with a sizable country like India. Global powers are changing. We just have to have enough moral strength to do the right thing.

• Iran will be super-rich due to Hormuz Toll (share with Oman). • Expect regime changes in Israel & GCC. • US has lost whatever military credibility it had. • We (India at least till Modi is PM) are geopolitically screwed. We're on the wrong side of history with USA & 1/2

@pati_marins64 The only thing that China is not happy is exposing too many advance technology too early as Iran passed on. E.g. the use of BeiDou. The rest is front row case study to look in directly with US or unification in the future.

It had been a while since I read something so foolish. The Chinese are happier than ever. They are carefully observing, photographing, and documenting every doctrine and vulnerability of the American navy and air force. They are laughing at the depletion of interceptor stocks that will take 5 to 7 years to replenish, not to mention the guided munitions that will take several more years to replace. They are laughing at America’s impotence in protecting its bases and its allies. But more than that, they are paying close attention to the loss of more than $1 billion just in aircraft. There is no one happier today than the Chinese strategists who are watching from the front row as the false American umbrella, sold at a premium price for decades to several countries, is being exposed. Based on what we have seen in the Gulf and knowing the number of batteries on both sides, I dare say that the air defenses of Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan would be exhausted in 48 hours in the event of a Chinese attack. And there is nothing that can be done about it in the short term. It is time for everyone to adjust diplomatically and stop growling while relying on American dentures, because Trump and Netanyahu have exposed the vulnerabilities of this model and thrown away decades of work.

@SprinterPress It's a prepared kill zone. Good luck to those on the ground. Not sure what Trump and his advisers are thinking.

While many are expecting a US military operation to seize the Iranian island of Harg, a number of experts are confident that this is a diversionary tactic, and in reality, the US military will attempt to capture the islands of Larak and Qeshm, where the IRGC's naval bases, port infrastructure, and ship inspection control are concentrated The islands function as a narrow passage, effectively a toll collection point and the only guaranteed mine-free area of the Strait of Hormuz that can be "opened" for maritime traffic. It is noted that if Donald Trump's goal is to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, seizing the island of Harg does not make much sense, but seizing Larak and Qeshm does.

@shanaka86 It's a strategy that will go beyond Trump, JD will likely be 48th. If he is not, then, winning the nego will give him all the right merits, and a more stable relationship in the ME

BREAKING: Iran has rejected peace talks with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and indicated a preference for negotiating with Vice President JD Vance, per CNN’s Iranian source. On Day 25 of a war that Iran publicly says does not involve any negotiations, Tehran is now selecting which American it will not admit to speaking with. This is the sixth communication channel in 48 hours. The FM denies all contact. Ghalibaf calls it fake news. Araghchi says Iran never asked for a ceasefire. The IRGC declares complete victory. An unnamed source tells CNN that outreach has occurred and Iran will listen to “sustainable” proposals. And now a separate signal specifies which envoy Tehran prefers. Six channels. Six messages. Six audiences. One regime simultaneously denying talks, conducting talks, and choosing its preferred negotiating partner in the talks it says do not exist. The Vance preference is not random. Read the signal. Witkoff is a real estate executive turned special envoy. His portfolio is transactional: swap concessions for access, close quickly, move on. Kushner is the architect of the Abraham Accords and the figure most associated with Israeli normalisation in the Trump orbit. His presence at any negotiation signals Israeli interests at the table. Iran’s rejection of both is a rejection of what they represent: a quick transactional deal weighted toward Israeli security objectives. Vance is different. His foreign policy record in the Senate was built on “America First” skepticism of endless Middle East wars. He opposed open-ended military commitments. He focused on China as the primary strategic threat. He defended Trump’s current Iran operations as targeted and limited, not a prelude to occupation. And he backed the 5-day pause explicitly. Iran reads Vance as the figure in the Trump administration most likely to accept a deal that ends the war without demanding permanent Iranian capitulation on enrichment. The preference is not personal. It is doctrinal. Iran wants to negotiate with the man whose worldview most closely aligns with “declare victory and leave.” Axios reports that Vance already briefed Netanyahu on Monday about the components of a possible agreement. An Israeli official confirmed that mediating countries were trying to convene a meeting in Islamabad with Ghalibaf representing Tehran and Witkoff, Kushner, and possibly Vance representing Washington. Iran is now signalling that “possibly” should become “necessarily.” If Vance is not at the table, Tehran will not sit at it. Or rather, Tehran will continue to deny the table exists while simultaneously specifying who should sit at it. The preference is also a wedge. By signalling one American is acceptable and two are not, Iran forces the administration to either elevate Vance, potentially sidelining Kushner and reducing Israeli influence, or reject the preference and lose the channel. The signal is simultaneously a negotiating demand and a test of US internal cohesion. Iran is not just choosing an envoy. It is probing which seam opens. Trump told reporters Tuesday that the US is “in negotiations right now” and that Iran has “agreed they will never have a nuclear weapon.” Iran’s state media denied any such agreement exists. The 15-point plan demands zero enrichment. Iran’s NPT Article IV position says enrichment is “inalienable.” And now the country that denies all contact has specified which vice president it prefers to deny contact with. The pause expires Saturday. The envoy preference adds a new variable to an equation that already had six contradictory signals, five communication channels, three clocks, and zero confirmed agreements. The molecules do not have envoy preferences. They have chemistry. And the chemistry has not changed. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@dameizhongguo3 有木棍与黄瓜，手指与舌头

吴公公能怎么帮？

@kivi888888 沒文化的可怕

@BMNRTracker Get the rest of the DAT at an even cheaper mNAV.. Keep your second enough to distract the rest

$BMNR needs to buy 1.5 million $ETH to reach the 5% goal. $BMNR has $1.2 billion in cash. $SBET owns 869,154 $ETH and trades at a discount to their NAV (0.84 mNAV). $SBET current market cap is $1.6 billion. It currently costs $1.83 billion to buy 869,154 $ETH at the currently price ($2,115). I would not be shocked if $BMNR was raising all this cash to acquire $SBET. They could potentially get a $200 million discount (although they would likely have to pay more to buy them out). The main reason to do it though would be to take a competitor for liquidity off the market. $BMNR would likely trade at a higher volume with a higher mNAV if they didn’t have to compete with $SBET. Just thinking out loud. I would certainly approve of this move

@shanaka86 China's Liaowang-1, and it's cruisers are there near Omen. Btw, the Strait of Hormuize is not closed as far as China ships are concerned. What's the problem, President Trump?

BREAKING: Trump just invited China to send warships to protect the waterway China is using to replace the dollar. Read his Truth Social post carefully. It is the most strategically loaded sentence of the war. “Hopefully China, France, Japan, South Korea, the UK, and others, that are affected by this artificial constraint, will send Ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat by a Nation that has been totally decapitated.” The invitation is a trap. Every possible Chinese response damages China. If Beijing sends warships, it legitimises an American-led coalition, subordinates Chinese naval power to US command architecture, and abandons its diplomatic neutrality with Iran, the country currently offering China yuan-only passage through the Strait that everyone else is locked out of. China loses its shadow fleet advantage, its discounted Iranian crude, and its CIPS leverage in a single deployment. If Beijing refuses, it confirms what Washington wants the world to see: that China is willing to let the global economy burn rather than contribute to the security of the waterway that carries 45% of its own crude imports. Every nation paying $96 a barrel while China pays less through yuan-settled shadow fleet deliveries will note who showed up and who did not. The free-rider narrative writes itself, and America writes the next chapter of dollar dominance with it. Trump named six countries. Five are allies or partners: Japan is signing Golden Dome in five days, France operates from Djibouti, the UK from Bahrain, South Korea has direct Hormuz energy exposure. Their participation is expected. China’s participation is the question, and the question is the weapon. While 16 million barrels of Iranian crude have transited to China since 28 February through shadow tankers settling in yuan, while CIPS processed $24.5 trillion in 2025 at 43% growth, while Iran offered to reopen the Strait exclusively for yuan cargo, Trump posted a sentence that forces China to choose between its shadow economy and its public legitimacy. The post also contains an admission that no briefing has delivered. “We have already destroyed 100% of Iran’s Military capability, but it’s easy for them to send a drone or two, drop a mine, or deliver a close range missile somewhere along, or in, this Waterway, no matter how badly defeated they are.” The President of the United States just acknowledged that total military victory does not equal total waterway security. Iran’s military is destroyed. The coastline is not. A defeated nation with a 33-kilometre shoreline, $500 mines, and $20,000 drones can deny passage through the world’s most important chokepoint indefinitely because the weapons of denial are cheaper than the weapons of dominance. “In the meantime, the United States will be bombing the hell out of the shoreline.” Bomb the coast. Shoot the boats. And hope that six nations send warships to escort tankers that have no insurance, no P&I coverage, and no private-sector willingness to transit a waterway the President himself admits a defeated nation can still threaten. The coalition call is not about Iran. Iran’s military is destroyed. The coalition call is about the world that emerges after Iran. If America escorts the tankers alone, the Strait reopens under American control and dollar pricing survives. If a coalition escorts them, the Strait reopens under international consensus and the yuan-for-Hormuz proposal dies. If nobody escorts them, the Strait stays closed and China’s shadow fleet is the only commerce moving through it. Trump is not asking for help. He is asking every nation to declare which monetary system they want the Strait to operate under when the war ends. The warships are the ballot. The Strait is the polling station. And the currency is the vote. Full analysis in the link! open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@shanaka86 Someone needs to explain this situation to Trump and rest of the world. It is a train that cannot be stopped unless the constitution allows it.

Iran is not on a suicide mission. It is on autopilot. And nobody in Tehran can reach the controls. In 2003, Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari watched the United States decapitate Saddam Hussein’s centralised command structure in three weeks. He spent the next four years at the IRGC Strategic Studies Centre designing a military architecture that could never be decapitated. In September 2007, he was appointed IRGC Commander and immediately restructured Iran’s entire military into 31 autonomous provincial commands, one per province, each with independent headquarters, command and control, missile and drone arsenals, fast-attack boat flotillas, integrated Basij militias, pre-delegated launch authority, stockpiled munitions, and sealed contingency orders. The doctrine was built for one scenario: the death of the Supreme Leader. That scenario arrived on 28 February 2026. The doctrine activated within hours. It has been running ever since. The question nobody has asked is whether anyone inside the Islamic Republic can turn it off. No. The reason is constitutional. Article 110 of Iran’s 1979 Constitution vests sole command authority over all armed forces exclusively in the Supreme Leader. He alone is commander-in-chief. He alone appoints and dismisses military leadership. No other institution, not the President, not the Parliament, not the Guardian Council, not the judiciary, possesses constitutional power to issue military orders or rescind the Supreme Leader’s directives. Ali Khamenei issued the pre-delegation orders. Ali Khamenei is dead. Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed successor on 8th March. He has not spoken. He has not appeared. He has issued no verifiable order. He was wounded in an airstrike and has never addressed his nation in his life. The sole constitutional authority that could override 31 autonomous commands exists in an office occupied by a man who may not be capable of exercising it. Ghalibaf can reject ceasefires. He cannot order the IRGC to stop. Pezeshkian can issue statements. He cannot countermand a provincial commander in Bushehr launching anti-ship missiles at a tanker. The Guardian Council can vet legislation. It cannot revoke firing authority issued by a dead commander-in-chief whose orders remain legally binding until a living one explicitly rescinds them. No living one has. The 31 commands are not disobeying. They are obeying. The last orders said: fight independently, with whatever you have, for as long as it takes, without waiting for instructions that may never come. Those orders were designed to survive the death of the man who issued them. That was the entire purpose of Jafari’s twenty-year project. For insurers: no counterparty can guarantee cessation across 31 independent actors. For diplomats: no signatory can bind commands they do not control. For military planners: no single headquarters whose destruction ends the campaign. For Gulf states: each faces localised harassment from the adjacent Iranian province’s fast-attack boats, drones, and coastal missiles without any central coordination to intercept or negotiate with. For markets: seven P&I clubs modelled the probability that all 31 commands would simultaneously honour any agreement and concluded near zero. That calculation has not changed because the constitutional mechanism that could compel compliance does not functionally exist. The doctrine was not designed to win. It was designed to make losing impossible. Jafari studied how centralised armies die. He built one that cannot. The machine runs without a pilot. The pilot is dead. And the constitution says only the pilot could have turned it off. Full analysis in the link. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@NPC888666 冮湖正义。没有线也要帮

这钱能收吗？

@mubeitech 阿联酋、卡塔尔、沙特、科威特, 都重新站队了。大美不是想像中了大。

伊朗以为四处出击能搞乱中东。 结果反而帮了美国一个大忙。 战争部长Pete Hegseth把底牌掀开了。 伊朗的 агрессия 没让战争扩大化，反而让局势变简单了。 它攻击了多少个国家？ 12个。 阿联酋、卡塔尔、沙特、科威特…… 这些原本想置身事外的国家，现在是什么态度？ “我们跟你一起干。” “基地给你用，我们一起防守。” 德黑兰的算盘彻底打错了。 它每多开一枪，都是在为美国打造一个更团结的联盟。 这些中东国家终于看明白，谁才是真正的威胁。 过去八年绥靖政策留下的烂摊子，正在被一块块纠正。 一个虚弱的美国邀请混乱，一个强大的美国带来秩序。 道理就是这么简单。

@zaobaosg forbes.com/sites/kenrober… 有没有买？

过去三个月，中国购买了约1200万吨美国大豆，扫清了一道备受关注的贸易关口，并履行了特朗普政府去年11月提出的一项关键采购承诺。 #Echobox=1768882075" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">zaobao.com.sg/news/china/sto…

Some how I felt that it has the image of Elon Musk.

@aleabitoreddit Tom Lee is more ambitious than just a DAT. He's building a financial ecosystems based on ETH. After 5%, he's going stack it, earning 1mill per day, give some dividends for pension fund to join aka changed the risk category, use the rest to invest companies that use ETH. Repeat.

This is actually real $BMNR: ->convince investors to give you funds to buy 5% of Ethereum supply -> call it “The Alchemy of 5%” -> say “Ethereum is going to 10k+” -> divert $200 Million of investor funds into Mr. Beast’s chocolate candy bar company.

@_FORAB 中国的九段线？

美国国土的面积，弄不好真的要扩大了。 丹麦同意与美国成立一个对接小组，就美国收购格陵兰岛进行技术性谈判。 格陵兰岛位于加拿大的东北方向，是日本的 5.7 倍、台湾的 60 倍大，特朗普正寻求收购丹麦的格陵兰岛，以扩大美国本土面积。

@williamlab 第一步：增发股份，并开始购买更多以太坊。第二步：回到第一步。

看到这个新闻，心里升起了两个疑惑： 1、他们到底哪来的钱，怎么行情差了也能一直买，越买越多？ 2、到底哪来的那么多ETH，怎么买都不涨，怎么买都买不完？

@jacksonhinkle Wait till counties start to seize US ships

🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺 BREAKING: Rep. Graham threatens to SEIZE ships carrying RUSSIAN OIL — just like the US does with Venezuela. 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡