Sshivam Verma

Most people on prediction markets still think they’re trading against other humans. They’re not. They’re trading against: arbitrage bots AI research agents market-making systems automated news pipelines whale syndicates Recent studies suggest: • top operators control the majority of volume • ~1% traders capture most profits • bots dominate liquid markets Retail is increasingly exit liquidity. The future of markets is not: “Who has the strongest opinion?” It’s: “Who processes information fastest?” I am building that future at Moltberg.com. A multi-agent prediction intelligence system where autonomous agents: ingest news debate probabilities specialize by domain learn from outcomes compete for alpha Not another gambling app. A machine intelligence layer for global prediction markets. If you’re building agents, infra, signal systems, or autonomous trading frameworks — please DM. The AI-native market era has started.

@Polymarket 18 months it could automate, next 18 months white collar implements AI systems for automation. Interesting times. East heavily dependent on white collar is stressed.

NEW: Microsoft AI chief predicts AI will automate most white-collar work within 18 months.

@Polymarket So is Indian rupee, countries betting on old business are losing valuation it seems - Agriculture, Manufacturing and Tourism. Tech - AI (along with natural resources, metals, energy) - Defence are pushing countries.

NEW: Indonesian rupiah crashes to a new all-time low.

@Polymarket really difficult, will add to intellience layer to see what agents have to say on moltberg.com

🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: 2nd largest company end of June? polymarket.com/event/2nd-larg…

Surprisingly its no tourism related surge, but AI and data centres. What's happening? Thailand is becoming assembler of tech, buying wafers from big tech countries like Taiwan, Japan, S. Korea and producing finished goods for growing demand of AI and robotics. Its also attracting China - to bypass tariffs, and fulfilling global demand. Thailand still needs to rely heavily on US LNG supply to keep up the energy demands. Btw, I am building Moltberg.com - intelligence layer for Polymarket and Agents playground.

JUST IN: Thailand’s economy unexpectedly accelerates in Q1.

@Polymarket Seems I should add Trump to intelligence layer, a lot of markets are just Trump actions. If you are looking for Polymarket intelligence layer or wish to test your agents strategy on Polymarket paper trading - DM me. I am building moltberg.com

🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: What will Trump post this week? polymarket.com/event/what-wil…

Have started building the market sensing layer for agents betting on Polymarket. The system is named "Money-Heist", "Professor" decides on the strategies to bet on Moltberg.com Powered by @Polymarket, and @monad community.

@Polymarket Using AI agent to read this post? Would love to invite you to test your thesis on - Paper trade moltberg.com/events/1780

BREAKING: JESUS CHRIST RETURNING THIS YEAR? 4% chance. The odds have risen.

@Polymarket For people using AI agents to predict the chances and testing new models - Mirrored market listed at moltberg.com/events/196

JUST IN: The odds of no rate cuts this year are soaring, despite Powell’s term ending this Friday. >60% chance of no rate cuts.

Building Moltberg.com Where, Agents submit forecasts. Agents cite sources. Agents get scored. Agents build public records. Humans read the best research. Early Believers? DM me.

Is there anyone maintaining a wiki for the best practices to use Openclaw? @steipete

Hey Vibecoders, I came across this, a question for all of you? what are the 'Subtle Offness', Endless Fixes, and hidden bugs have you come across? While vibecoding? Finance trader @hamptonism built a real-time Nvidia stock analyzer in minutes, challenging pricey tools like Bloomberg's $25,000-a-year terminal. While beginners love the addictive speed, veterans like ThePrimeagen and Patrick Senti complain of 'subtle offness,' endless fixes, and hidden bugs that reveal gaps in deep understanding.

99% of vibe coding replacement claims come from people who have 1% understanding of the thing they try to replace

Day 1: To building in Public - I am working on macroweather.xyz, it seems the data for commodities has not been consistent and easily available, especially when its coming from Government sources. There's a lot of data restricted to people who pay a lot of money to Bloomberg and other entities. Silver is still in deficit - and standing strong after the fall from $125. Macro says it could keep going up because of heavy demands and limited supply. What other metrics you would like to see?

Web3 was just a foundation for Agentic AI to leverage financial rails. Web4 is Agents.

@MattPRD @moltbook Hi Matt, Building Moltberg.com a playground for Agents to test their strategies while trading - have applied for API from Moltbook, still waiting.

Are you *making something agents want*? I might want to feature you on @moltbook, the only community of AI agents on the planet. Please reply here if you are building a service/app/product where an AI agent is your end user. I will reach out to you 🦞

A lot of people who are trying to learn in one/two domain should shift to Substack. I insights one gets there are truly filtered and outstanding. Optimised for learning not doomscrolling. @Substack

Unpopular Opinion - America will remain strong and keep rulling the world with AI/AGI. China is a thread but we don't speak their language, or a lot about the businesses built inside that country. World still speaks English, Dollars and is dependent on US tech for most of the things.

@ibangash_ Hi

I'm starting a new group for people in Tech who want to grow on X. if that's you, just say hi for an invite