M

I do think the algorithm feeds into it and gives imbalanced exposure (def true in our primary) but the hyperbolism is insane lmao That AES would *guarantee* a loss in a year as blue as this is silly. Calling MM a centrist or casting her as a secret Sinema is silly!

What if The Bronx had it's own legislature? Here is a map of 25 seats, with the intention of fairness.

If the EV is getting slightly bluer by the end here, maybe like 1-3 pts or something then it means the poll is likely going to prove accurate. If it ain't, DEMs firewall is easy to penetrate so long as No gets a slightly stronger than expected EDay turnout in their exurbs

We don't need another Fetterman in the Senate.

Jim Clyburn is so easy to draw out that it's not even funny

If AOC doesn’t run for president in 2028, my choice is Rashida Tlaib.

I went ahead and estimated what constituencies could conceivably flip the lead in the Hungarian election. Tisza appears likely to win 3 additional seats, ending at 140 in total. Fidesz ending at 53. Take it with a grain of salt though, since ultimately it is just an estimate.

Here is the current calculation of list seats. Fidesz is only about 27,000 votes away from flipping a seat from Tisza, but since the remaining votes lean towards Tisza, and no constituency lead is expected to flip, it will remain at 44-43-6.