Marek Janouš retweetledi
Marek Janouš
7.2K posts

Marek Janouš
@marekjanous
Human. I may tweet about anything, or nothing at all.
Prague Katılım Kasım 2009
2K Takip Edilen327 Takipçiler
Marek Janouš retweetledi
Marek Janouš retweetledi
Marek Janouš retweetledi

Jim Hacker: Humphrey, we have to do something about Iran.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Prime Minister, the government is already doing a great deal.
Jim Hacker: Such as?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Monitoring developments, coordinating with allies, reviewing contingency plans and expressing concern.
Jim Hacker: That all sounds like nothing, Humphrey.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: On the contrary, Prime Minister. In diplomacy it is vital to appear active without becoming involved.
Jim Hacker: The Americans are bombing things, the Iranians are firing missiles, the Strait of Hormuz is practically closed and we’re… appearing active?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Precisely.
Jim Hacker: Innocent people are dying, Humphrey!
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Yes, Prime Minister. That is why the Foreign Office is drafting a very strongly worded statement about it.
Jim Hacker: A statement won’t stop a war.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: No, Prime Minister, but it will ensure that we are on record as having been extremely concerned while it was happening.
Bernard Woolley: If I may, Prime Minister — the Cabinet Office has identified six possible courses of action.
Jim Hacker: Good! What are they?
Bernard Woolley: We can condemn the escalation, call for restraint, urge negotiations, support our allies, assist defensive operations or participate directly.
Jim Hacker: And what do they recommend?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Supporting our allies.
Jim Hacker: That sounds suspiciously like participating.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Oh no, Prime Minister. Participating means fighting. Supporting merely means allowing others to fight from places that technically belong to us.
Jim Hacker: Humphrey, if Iranian missiles hit one of our bases, we’ll be in the war anyway!
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Yes, Prime Minister, but we shall have entered it with the invaluable diplomatic advantage of being surprised.
Bernard Woolley: It’s generally considered the safest way to enter a war, Prime Minister.
Jim Hacker: How on earth can that be safe?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: Because if the war goes badly, we can say we never meant to join it. And if it goes well, we can say we were there all along.
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@Microinteracti1 The sooner he would cut his losses and declare victory, the less he would end up losing. But no, the moron he is will double down.
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A former NATO commander just said the quiet part out loud.
Trump is trapped. The military logic of this war has collapsed into a binary no one in Washington wants to say clearly: either launch a ground invasion of Iran – a country of 90 million people, mountainous terrain, and three decades of asymmetric warfare doctrine – or declare victory over rubble and go home.
Neither is winning. One is catastrophe. The other is theatre. The Strait of Hormuz is still contested. Iranian proxies are still operational. The nuclear program is dispersed, hardened, and possibly accelerated. Air strikes didn’t end the threat.
Every day this drags on, the gap between what was promised and what is achievable gets wider.
Gandalv / @Microinteracti1
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@clashreport Has he promised filing for the Article 50 yet?
Asking for the rest of Europe.
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Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban:
This battle is not just about Hungary, but also about who wins this match in Brussels.
The Brussels progressives… are squeezing Hungary.
They threaten with financial sanctions from Brussels, and Kyiv has put Hungary under an oil blockade.
If we win here, we not only save Hungary, but we also break down the Brussels gate of the progressives.
We will win this election, and after that, we won't stop, but we will step forward, because the future of Europe must be decided not by bureaucrats, but by the nations of Europe.
This is our mission. Our time has come. Onward to victory! Make Europe Great Again!
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@fragermk Trying to interfere in these elections in favor of Magyar could tip the scale to Orbán. You need to see the big picture too.
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@marekjanous @SariArhoHavren Did you know there’s a war on? Delaying several 10’s of billions in war financing can and will have real, material impacts on the battlefield.
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Likely one of the biggest and most detrimental signs of paralysis of the European Union is that the bloc cannot find a way to deal with this kind of internal threat, as Hungary is. The EU needs to find a mechanism to fully suspend members, followed by forcing them out completely when a member state constantly works against the union’s principles and slides towards autocracy.
The EU's inaction eats into its own credibility.
Mika Aaltola@MikaAaltola
Trump endorsing Orbán. Orbán blocking Ukraine’s €90B loan. Druzhba pipeline closed until April 12. These are not separate stories. This is a coordinated pressure campaign against European security, with the Hungarian.
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@Archivepaletc @SuppressedNws1 Another nuance lost in the usual English translation might be the thouing (túteo)…
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@SuppressedNws1 He didn't call him bastard, just genocidaire. The rest of the translation is fine.
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@peterdaou If you want to live through the dystopia that follows…
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Marek Janouš retweetledi

Since Europe would have a very low “pain threshold” in this fight (negligible willingness to fight a war not of our choosing), then any European government lured in by US/Israel would likely be toppled shortly afterwards.
That leaves us squarely with option 2: the extent of the decoupling will likely turn out to be proportional to how much the Europeans be pushed.
#IranWar #Europe #EU
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I’ll venture to make a bold prediction:
Europe will not be able to just wait this war out. She is going to be forced before two stark options:
1) to be dragged into the fight one way or another, while facing the grim reality of being within range of Iranian rockets.
2) to be forced to fully decouple from the USA to prevent being dragged into the fight.
Since I have advocated for full European strategic autonomy for decades, I know where I stand. But the #EU leaders will have a very difficult time with it, and expect a lot more of shit coming from Washington, especially since option 2 means the Americans will likely have to retreat from the #IranWar altogether, effectively defeated.
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In the opening of the #IranWar, the US effectively lost its bases and influence in the Persian Gulf. This would be the losses to cut now…
However, if Iran holds through a few more weeks, the compounding economic and other pressures may allow Iran to force the Europeans to think the unthinkable: to limit US presence in Europe — to fully decouple Europe from this war.
Aiming at Diego García have demonstrated that Ramstein could be next.
#Germany
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Marek Janouš retweetledi

@f_kalenda Bandité, kteří nemyslí moc dopředu. Oba to mají „za pár“…
Čeština

@Ashdown_Kyle How is that done in Texas, Kyle? Tell us about it.
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@business First they elect him and now they protest him.
Either remove him or make him quit.
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Hundreds of thousands of people rallied in the Czech capital of Prague in a demonstration against the cabinet led by billionaire Prime Minister Andrej Babis. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Marek Janouš retweetledi

@chrissomebody Please fuck off already.
But you won’t. Your global power projection would be much harder to do without bases in Europe.
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@Microinteracti1 @mitchellvii Sweet. So, Europe doesn’t need us, so no love loss when we walk away.
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