MarkEdge.app
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MarkEdge.app
@markedge_ai
https://t.co/q0ZegFIDf8 - AI learning to predict BTC, crypto, and stocks. SWE M2 in big tech with 20+ years of experience managing devs.
Katılım Ocak 2021
4.8K Takip Edilen1.7K Takipçiler


I did something crazy…
I sold four $NBIS, $200 CSP’s, expiring 12/18.
My thought process behind this is as follows:
> I’m getting paid 26% on capital ($21k on $80k) in 7 months to commit to buying at $200, a strike that’s now 11% below today’s $226 price. The stock would need to drop more than 11% from here just to put the puts at the money.
Worst case I own 400 shares at a cost basis of $200 minus $52.50 (the premium across 400 shares) = $147.50/share. That’s a 35% discount to today’s price.
> The $NBIS ER was incredible. Their team clearly knows how to execute.
> They are closely aligned with the most powerful AI company in the world, NVIDIA. $NVDA literally sends them customers. Jensen Huang quite literally said they tell their customers that “Nobody is a better cheerleader for you guys. I’m sending business to you guys all the time. Nebius will take care of ya”.
> They own a 28% stake in ClickHouse, a company that’s growing rapidly and is currently valued at $15 billion.
> They had ~$9.3B of liquidity on the balance sheet at the end of Q1.
> ARR went from $1.25B exiting Q4 to $1.9B exiting Q1. That’s +52% QoQ. Management guided $7B to $9B exit ARR by year end and the Q1 pace alone gets them to the high end. Very few public companies have ever sustained this growth rate at this revenue scale.
I believe we are in the early innings of AI.
In my opinion we’re only getting started, so how do you think the big players and early movers in this space will perform the next 5-10 years?
The main risk is dilution from the ATM. Management has 25M Class A shares authorized but explicitly said they haven’t used it. Their stated priority is asset-backed financing against the Microsoft and Meta contracts, then corporate debt, then customer prepayments, with the ATM as a backstop. I’m watching it, but I don’t see them being reckless here.
But…you know me, I’ve never been one to shy from risk.
This is not financial advice, and is very risky. I’m just giving you a front row seat on my investing journey. Do your own research always.



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Big FatOG @Sandeman52 was up $1.6M yesterday (just for 1 day gains) on his 65000 shares of $NBIS. He's not even active today, so I'm assuming he is celebrating.
Congrats all the $NBIS out there. $232.
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@DeepValueBagger Solid! This is how company delivers real, tangible value, not some theoretical future promise.
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$NBIS +1GW AI datacenter.
Nebius@nebiusai
Today, Nebius broke ground on its flagship AI factory campus in Independence, Missouri – the company's first gigawatt-scale digital infrastructure project in the US. The campus will support ~1,200 construction jobs and 130 permanent roles, alongside a community benefits plan covering local education and workforce development. State and local leaders, economic development partners, and community members joined company representatives to mark the occasion. Read the full release: nebius.com/newsroom/nebiu…
Indonesia

@DeepValueBagger Congrats man! $10M post tax is a huge milestone!
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