Matan K

4.2K posts

Matan K

Matan K

@matan_writes

🏴‍☠️

Pittsburgh, PA Katılım Şubat 2017
247 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
New Medium Post: Part 2 of the FG blocking series as the #NFL season starts. This time focusing on edge FG blocking challenges and how 1 play turned the edge block on its head. Thanks again to @StatsbyLopez and the NGS team for '22 #bigdatabowl data. Link👇@matan_k/the-impossible-race-why-edges-just-cant-block-a-field-goal-1d746289b3bf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@matan_k/the-i…
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@tangotiger Claiming what it’s “mostly” about is a bit too strong imo. It’s difficult to disentangle, but faster pitches are much harder to time up. If you take it to the extreme in either direction (sound barrier pitches from far and soft-toss from close), timing would seem to be the key.
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Tangotiger 🍁
Tangotiger 🍁@tangotiger·
@matan_writes It's mostly about reaction time... the distance from 127 feet from home to 60 feet from home is meaningless This softball pitch will travel ~0.31 seconds... about 0.15-0.20 seconds is needed for reaction time. That leaves the batter with ~0.1 to 0.15 for recog and decision
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Tangotiger 🍁
Tangotiger 🍁@tangotiger·
Actually... things are measured to backtip of home plate, but contact is made closer to front tip And softball pitcher will release ball 6 to 8 feet from rubber, so all in all, flight distance is ~35 feet Baseball pitcher flight distance is 53 feet Softball also has more...
Roberto Shenanigans@Rob_Shenanigans

The rubber in MLB is 60.5 feet to the plate. The rubber to the mound in women's softball is 43.0 feet. This pitcher throwing 79.4 MPH to the hitter is the equivalent of a MLB hitter facing a 112 MPH fastball.

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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@tangotiger I’m a bit confused by what you mean. The reason why we wouldn’t say the equivalent is >200 mph is because reaction time is *not* all that matters.
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Tangotiger 🍁
Tangotiger 🍁@tangotiger·
... air resistance Finally, what matters is the reaction time of the batter. If the baseball mound was 127 feet away, you wouldn't say that the equivalent would be over 200 mph would you?
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@TigersJUK It’s almost as if that was thought of and the measurements aren’t just self-reported.
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@sunshinevvn @alicealeph0 @srbrown70 Yup. Looking at old slacks it says 80% top-1 which is hard to believe, but very interesting if so. ofc splitting by id is important. Fortunately I don’t build stuff models (and I never will!) but this discussion comes up every few months and I haven’t seen much public research
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@sunshinevvn @alicealeph0 @SamskiNYC Yes I tried this a year ago as part of a convo with @srbrown70 and a simple stuff-like classifier for FF was pretty accurate. Don’t remember exactly but maybe 50%(?) top-1 identified in a moderate sample of P. The stuff space is quite large for unique pitches to stand out.
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vivienne ૮ ˶ᵔ ᵕ ᵔ˶ ა
vivienne ૮ ˶ᵔ ᵕ ᵔ˶ ა@sunshinevvn·
@alicealeph0 @SamskiNYC no yeah this is a prolific problem stuff models face lol i bet if you trained a classifier to predict who threw a pitch based on all the same inputs as a stuff model gets it wouldn’t be that bad
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@TJStats A few guys with that P logo 🙂
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Thomas Nestico
Thomas Nestico@TJStats·
Daily tjStuff+ Leaders 2026-03-03 Min. 10 Pitches 1) Mason Montgomery - 111 2) Adrian Morejon - 111 3) Brody Hopkins - 111
Thomas Nestico tweet media
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@ZackSilverman18 You’re not kidding, especially if you have the 5th pick 🙄
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Zack Silverman
Zack Silverman@ZackSilverman18·
Recently found out that the MLB Draft was moved to Saturdays starting this year. Not to be dramatic but this might actually be the worst thing that's ever happened to me.
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@CarlosACollazo It’s a bit tricky though because excellent college prospects typically quickly become MLBers while elite HS prospects stick on lists for longer. So the implication of the first sentence doesn’t necessarily follow.
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Carlos Collazo
Carlos Collazo@CarlosACollazo·
Stars are found in the high school ranks. As teams increasingly try to offload player development to the college game, 47 players on our top 100 signed out of high school. High School — 47 College — 28 International — 23 Junior College — 2 baseballamerica.com/stories/2026-b…
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
Caden Connor Thomas Henry Davis Daniel Robert Mitchell Parker Carlson Reed Garrett Ramsey David Leon Hunter Gregory Allen Facundo Velasquez
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
Why did the Patriots not go for 2?
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
There’s no such thing as field goal range
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@drivelinekyle Nah. Bullet with increment isn’t real bullet. Tricky premoves are part of the game.
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
🕎 #1
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@TJStats Ugh. Pitch type tagging without seam orientation is rough
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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
@RuiterWrongFAN Acting like this is advanced “analytics” is disingenuous. Walder literally sums it up in 1 sentence: “Because the odds of converting a 2-point conversion once in one try are higher than failing twice in two tries.”
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Daryl Ruiter
Daryl Ruiter@RuiterWrongFAN·
Following analytic probabilities works so well for them. 8 of 10 losing seasons. 6 double digit losses. They aren't outsmarting anyone.
Clevta@Clevta

@RuiterWrongFAN I don’t have the energy to debate this. If u don’t agree with the math that’s your choice. If u don’t have background on why it makes sense u can read this. It’s far from dumb or “a hard concept” to not kick the PAT first.

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Matan K
Matan K@matan_writes·
Considering I’m only logged in to Fangraphs on my phone, this is a little scary.
Matan K tweet media
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Keşfet

@EliBenPorat @tangotiger @TigersJUK @sunshinevvn @alicealeph0 @srbrown70 @TJStats @ZackSilverman18