
Mattlo
2.3K posts





🇺🇸🇮🇷 The last 48 hours to prevent catastrophe... Axios reports a two-phase deal is being negotiated through Pakistani, Egyptian, and Turkish mediators, plus direct text messages between Witkoff and Iran's FM Araghchi. Phase one: a 45-day ceasefire. Phase two: permanent end to the war. Mediators say fully reopening Hormuz and resolving the uranium question can only happen in the final deal, not upfront. Iran won't surrender its two biggest bargaining chips for a temporary pause. The core problem: Iran doesn't trust this won't be another Gaza. A ceasefire on paper that Israel ignores whenever it wants. Tehran wants guarantees the bombing actually stops and doesn't restart in 45 days. Given Israel's track record of striking through every previous diplomatic window, that fear isn't irrational. Trump told Axios directly: "There is a good chance, but if they don't make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there." The operational plan for a massive strike on Iranian civilian infrastructure is ready to go. Iran has promised to retaliate against Gulf oil and water facilities if it happens. Mediators are warning Tehran this is the last real chance. Trump extended his deadline by 20 hours to Tuesday 8PM ET. That's either a sign negotiations are progressing or one final pause before the most destructive phase of the war begins. Source: Axios













🇮🇷🇷🇺 Iran FM Araghchi held a call with Russian FM Lavrov to address the escalating war. Tehran says the past 37 days of strikes hit everything: infrastructure, hospitals, schools, residential areas, even nuclear sites; calling them war crimes. They’re now demanding urgent UN action and warning about U.S. threats to Iran’s energy sector. Russia is backing that line. Lavrov condemned the strikes and warned the situation could escalate further. Source: Araghchi Tg


Trump is seeking to pay for his new $1.5 trillion military budget by cutting the following: $510 million - Grants for farmers and agricultural research $82 million - Loans for rural small businesses (Fully eliminated) $61 million - Support for farmers and food markets (Fully eliminated) $240 million - School meals and food education for children abroad (Fully eliminated) $659 million - Community building grants $47 million - Support for minority-owned businesses (Fully eliminated) $449 million - Economic development grants for communities $1.6 billion - Weather forecasting, fisheries, and coastal protection (NOAA) $993 million - Scientific research and technology standards $150 million - Support for American exports and trade $2.2 billion - Broadband and internet access programs $8.5 billion - Funding for public schools $1.5 billion - Vocational training and adult education (Fully eliminated) $2.7 billion - College access and higher education support $15.2 billion - Roads, bridges, and infrastructure projects $1.1 billion - Home energy efficiency and clean energy programs (Fully eliminated) $1.1 billion - Scientific research funding $386 million - Environmental cleanup programs $150 million - Cutting-edge clean energy research $4 billion - Help paying home heating and cooling bills for low-income families (Fully eliminated) $768 million - Refugee resettlement assistance $819 million - Care and shelter for migrant children $775 million - Local anti-poverty programs (Fully eliminated) $5 billion - Public health programs, mental health services, and disease prevention $5 billion - Medical research (NIH) $129 million - Healthcare quality and safety research $356 million - Emergency preparedness and disaster response $1.3 billion - FEMA community disaster preparedness grants $707 million - Cybersecurity protection for critical infrastructure $52 million - Airport and transportation security $40 million - Protection against chemical and biological weapons threats $53 million - Funding for homeland security operations $3.3 billion - Community development block grants for local neighborhoods (Fully eliminated) $1.3 billion - Affordable housing construction grants (Fully eliminated) $393 million - Programs to reduce homelessness $529 million - Housing assistance for people living with HIV/AIDS (Fully eliminated) $489 million - Housing and services for Native American communities $50 million - Grants to help communities build more housing (Fully eliminated) $60 million - Enforcement of fair housing and anti-discrimination laws $58 million - Homebuyer and renter counseling services (Fully eliminated) $45 million - Renewable energy development programs (Fully eliminated) $1.7 billion - Grants for local law enforcement and public safety $20 million - Civil rights mediation and legal access programs (Fully eliminated) $1.6 billion - Job training for at-risk youth (Fully eliminated) $395 million - Jobs program for low-income seniors (Fully eliminated) $234 million - Worker safety and labor protection programs $101 million - Enforcement of equal pay and workplace anti-discrimination laws $46 million - Programs to combat child labor and forced labor abroad $2 billion - International humanitarian aid $1.2 billion - Food aid for hungry families abroad (Fully eliminated) $4.3 billion - Global health and disease prevention programs $2.7 billion - Funding for the United Nations and international partnerships $642 million - International economic and treasury programs $315 million - Democracy and anti-corruption programs abroad $486 million - Grants for public transit projects $4.2 billion - Electric vehicle charging infrastructure $372 million - Airline service for rural and small communities $145 million - Grants for sustainable and equitable infrastructure $204 million - Loans and investment for underserved communities $1.4 billion - IRS taxpayer services and enforcement $100 million - Air pollution monitoring and reduction programs (Fully eliminated) $1 billion - EPA grants to states for environmental protection $2.5 billion - Clean drinking water and wastewater infrastructure funds $90 million - Grants to reduce diesel pollution (Fully eliminated) $3.4 billion - NASA space and earth science research $297 million - NASA technology innovation programs $1.1 billion - International Space Station operations $143 million - STEM education programs $309 million - Small business development and entrepreneurship programs $170 million - Small Business Administration operations $158 million - Loans for small businesses


🇮🇷 Iran launched overnight attacks on Kuwait, UAE, and Bahrain, targeting energy infrastructure.




I spent three weeks in Xinjiang in 2001, travelling all over the region. It is one of the, if not the most brutal, openly visible repression I've seen. And the situation has only gotten much worse since. You have to be spectacularly blind (or worse) not to see it.




🇺🇸🇮🇷 THE WAR ON IRAN WILL BE DECIDED BY THE POLITICS OF FOLDING If the energy crisis of Hormuz puts Europe under more economic strain than it can handle, Aaron Mate sees it becoming a de facto Iranian ally; otherwise, the threat of Russia will compel it to help the U.S. The U.S., in turn, needs to find a way to strike a deal with Iran while the leverage it has over Europe is greater than Iran's desperation. "He's not even funding weapons to Ukraine right now, but he is selling them. I can see him restricting some of that. But he's in a bind, because I do think he needs his allies." By @aaronjmate






