Max Carlin

19 posts

Max Carlin

Max Carlin

@maxacarlin

Basketball, formerly.

Katılım Mayıs 2026
108 Takip Edilen182 Takipçiler
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
Hi friends, hope you’ve been well. When trying to dive deep into the WNBA, I found a void where I wanted advanced analytics tools to be. I built a site that tries to communicate the previously-unquantified impact in WNBA basketball. This is Help the Helper helpthehelper.vercel.app
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
I think opponent shot profile is such an important defensive indicator, so I've been trying to develop some rim protection metrics. 2025 Valkyries are giving me some trouble lol
Max Carlin tweet media
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@ApatheticBrent Yep, it's already multi-year to try to address that x.com/maxacarlin/sta…
Max Carlin@maxacarlin

@_punkcouple_ Thank you! The base RAPM model is multi-year since single-year is crazy noisy with W possession totals. Definitely considered using a box score prior, but I wanted to avoid it for philosophical reasons and felt good about the smell test results without it...

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Brent
Brent@ApatheticBrent·
@maxacarlin How about a multi-year option to potentially dampen noise?
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
Hi friends, hope you’ve been well. When trying to dive deep into the WNBA, I found a void where I wanted advanced analytics tools to be. I built a site that tries to communicate the previously-unquantified impact in WNBA basketball. This is Help the Helper helpthehelper.vercel.app
English
22
79
391
73K
Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
Very much crossing my fingers that this site does not crash
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@LastSunWarrior Just wait until she doesn't have the rookie prior dragging her down
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@ApatheticBrent Rankings are something I will continue to think about, but I am hesitant because I'm not sure I'd think about the values ordinally. Close values should be thought of as predictions where the confidence intervals have a lot of overlap. Appreciate the thoughts!
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@ApatheticBrent One stat is never the end all be all, and there is plenty of noise in this one, but I think it is a solid descriptive metric of player impact within a given context...
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@klaytheist11 @bjpf_ Of course! Let me know if anything really feels like it’s missing or would make the site better in the course of using it
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@_punkcouple_ If I wanted a more predictive stat, I think I’d have to consider it more strongly
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@_punkcouple_ Thank you! The base RAPM model is multi-year since single-year is crazy noisy with W possession totals. Definitely considered using a box score prior, but I wanted to avoid it for philosophical reasons and felt good about the smell test results without it...
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@zach_idiot We can worry when this account starts tweeting positively about Jaylen Brown
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@sportsdyke Hope it’s useful, and let me know if there’s anything you want added or changed as you use it
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
@bjpf_ Except I’m never watching AAU film again
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
3. I’m not a data scientist. My qualifications for building this site are that I wanted to, had the time, and know a thing or two about basketball (plus what a ridge regression is). I put a lot of effort into making sure everything is right, but take it with a grain of salt
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Max Carlin
Max Carlin@maxacarlin·
2. wRAPM will inherently be noisy. I’ve employed some techniques to try to stabilize it, but the WNBA season is short. I’m still undecided on how I’ll present in-season data, but wRAPM comes with all the usual caveats about impact metrics plus seasons (and games) are shorter
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