Mensus

23.8K posts

Mensus

Mensus

@medrededeng

“It is hard to imagine a more dangerous way of making decisions than by putting them in the hands of people who pay no price for being wrong.” — Thomas Sowell

Katılım Mayıs 2010
421 Takip Edilen553 Takipçiler
0xNobler
0xNobler@CryptoNobler·
🚨 THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE THE WORST TIME OF 2026 Iran is CLOSING the Strait of Hormuz. Over 20% of global Oil supply is cut off. And most people have no idea about the impact on other markets. Stocks. Metals. Crypto. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know this: YOU ARE MISSING THE REAL RISK. The Strait of Hormuz has NEVER fully closed in modern history. This is not about symbolism. This is about a choke point. The Strait of Hormuz, the narrow passage between Oman and Iran, connects the Persian Gulf to global markets. Nearly ONE FIFTH of the world’s oil consumption flows through it every single day. After U.S. strikes on Iran, ships transiting the strait are receiving warnings, and the U.S. has recommended vessels avoid the area. That alone should tell you how serious this is. JP Morgan called a Hormuz closure their worst-case scenario in an Israel–Iran conflict. Because if Hormuz shuts down, oil doesn’t just rise. It SPIKES. Estimates suggest crude could jump to $120–$130 per barrel. Now connect the dots. → If oil surges, inflation comes back FAST. → If inflation returns, rate cut hopes evaporate. → If rate cuts evaporate, yields move higher. → If yields rise, liquidity tightens. And when liquidity tightens, markets don’t stay calm. Energy feeds directly into inflation. Every $10 move in oil can meaningfully push CPI higher, and oil is already up sharply from recent lows. And this is before any full disruption. Here’s what most people overlook: Saudi Arabia alone accounts for roughly 38% of crude flows through Hormuz. About 5.5 million barrels per day. Kuwait. Qatar. Bahrain. Much of Saudi production. They have NO alternative sea outlet. Pipelines can reroute some supply, but nowhere near enough to offset a full disruption. There is no easy workaround. Shipping costs are already surging, tanker traffic is diverting, and vessels have been warned to keep distance from military assets. This is not theoretical. This is active risk repricing. If Hormuz is closed or even partially disrupted, this stops being a short-term shock. It becomes a structural supply event. And structural supply shocks don’t resolve in a single session. There are only three paths: 1⃣ Temporary threat. Rhetoric cools, oil pulls back. 2⃣ Sustained tension. Disruptions continue, oil grinds higher. 3⃣ Full disruption. Traffic halts, oil spikes violently, macro regime shifts. Scenario three changes everything. Because once oil spikes hard enough, the market stops pricing in fear. It starts pricing in duration. And duration is where real damage happens. This isn’t just about oil. It’s about inflation. It’s about rates. It’s about liquidity. When liquidity tightens, investors don’t sell what they hate. They sell what they can. Risk assets get hit first. High-multiple tech. Speculative growth. Small caps. And yes - crypto. Bitcoin doesn’t fall because the network breaks. It falls because it trades like high-beta liquidity. When leverage unwinds and crowded trades clear, volatility accelerates. That’s how dominoes fall. The next 24 hours are critical. This won’t be “just another headline.” It will be a macro turning point. By the time it’s obvious, most people will already be too late. I’ve been calling major tops and bottoms for over a decade. When I make my next move, I’ll post it here first. If you’re not following yet, you probably should - before it’s too late.
0xNobler tweet media
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@NickHudsonCT Electric car manufacturers must be salivating. But look at the bright side...at least the greenies will soon understand that oil is not just fuel....it is the building block of our modern society... polymers, pharmaceuticals, paint, roads (Bitumen), etc.
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
The side effect is the intention. The Straits of Hormuz will be closed for a long time.
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Sowell Economics
Sowell Economics@sowelleconomics·
"Income is not distributed, income is earned." - Thomas Sowell
Sowell Economics tweet media
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
@Handre Which two kids would those be? Are you sure they weren’t CIA-funded?
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Handre
Handre@Handre·
Government labs produce $50 billion fighter jets that can't fly in the rain and "renewable energy" boondoggles that bankrupt entire states. Meanwhile, two kids in a Palo Alto garage create trillion-dollar companies that actually work. The bureaucrats will tell you they need more funding, more PhDs, more committees. But innovation dies in conference rooms full of people spending other people's money on projects they'll never be held accountable for. And that's why every breakthrough that matters—from the personal computer to the internet protocols that actually function—comes from people who can't afford to fail. Because they're betting their own money, their own time, their own reputation. Government labs bet your money on their fantasies.
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
@KwazaUnathi Quite right. Most of that effect arose from the covid scam, but the “climate crisis” scam has lined up a bigger shock.
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Katie Miller
Katie Miller@KatieMiller·
Americans should be exceedingly proud that our new Ambassador to South Africa is standing up against their blatant racism. South Africa today has more than 150 laws aimed against Whites. nytimes.com/2026/03/15/wor…
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@ProfTimNoakes How do you please someone that doesn't know what he wants and changes his mind all the time. Eventually he will ask for that which is not yours to give
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Sowell Economics
Sowell Economics@sowelleconomics·
Why is the South African government issuing statements about what is going on in Iran in the first place, let's start there.
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SollyMalatsi
SollyMalatsi@SollyMalatsi·
Today, I met with @ICASA_org leadership to engage on key regulatory priorities shaping South Africa’s communications sector. Strengthening collaboration between government and the regulator is critical to unlocking investment, expanding connectivity and driving digital transformation.
SollyMalatsi tweet mediaSollyMalatsi tweet media
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@BuddyWells1 It was intentional... Remember PetroSA wanted to exercise the option to purchase Engen from Petronas in 2013-2015. Gordhan killed the deal by making the CPs unworkable. The same Gordhan that wanted to sell SAA for R51. Now the same Engen has been sold to Vivo Energy (Vitol)
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Buddy Wells
Buddy Wells@BuddyWells1·
This is the same govt that recently let its fuel refineries fall apart. Some of us said 5 years ago when they allowed this to happen that it was crazy, and that it is just plain stupid for the rand issuing state to pretend it has no rand to invest in cheaper fuel supply, when that pretence will cost it 100s of billions in forex which govt can’t issue, wasted on importing more expensive fuel.
SABC News@SABCNews

WATCH | Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources Gwede Mantashe says South Africa needs to urgently boost its capacity for refining fuel in order to mitigate against the surging oil price caused by the Middle East conflict.

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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@RobbieBranch14 @CryptoNobler @Polarbear165 I don't think you understand what is happening.... you have you oil futures or/and physical petroleum products in storage outside the middle east...you are balling now. And NO...we are not taking payment in crypto.
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@NickHudsonCT @simaxis Martin Kingston captured SA for the Rothschild clan way back... South African SOEs always seems to use Rothchild affiliates when issuing bonds. Does Blackrock, Carlye group, PIC still own the majority of Eskom debt?
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
@simaxis Check out the Rothschilds’ grip on South Africa’s energy sector while you’re at it. Motsepe’s mates make the Guptas look like rank amateurs.
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simaxis
simaxis@simaxis·
Transnet tenders and the Guptas now sitting in Dubai Palm Island untouched and living the good life years later
simaxis tweet media
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@piersmorgan Shut the fuck up... Candace Owens is right...your view changes are not based on facts, but what the popular position is at the time
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@patrickbetdavid You are really an idiot. The graph doesn't even indicate the source of the data or how the data was collected. "Lies, damned lies and statistics"
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Patrick Bet-David
Patrick Bet-David@patrickbetdavid·
Data never lies.
VINCENT OSHANA@VincentOshana

@mtgreenee America first indeed 🇺🇸 Turns out arresting the guy behind Venezuelan narco boats and taking them out has made overdoses in America plummet. That is what protecting Americans actually looks like.

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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@Martin_ASFL You idiot. Everyone now knows who the real gangsters are
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Martin van Staden
Martin van Staden@Martin_ASFL·
South Africa's government has repeatedly congratulated the brutal dictator Maduro for "winning" elections in Venezuela. I wonder what retarded, childish take the GNU will have now.
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
@FrijtersPaul A despondent view of humanity is not something I’ve ever expected to have. I’m still resisting it, but having to dig deep.
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Nick Hudson
Nick Hudson@NickHudsonCT·
There are legions of bots on this platform trying to make you hate one group or another and blame them for all your fears and woes. It’s torches and pitchforks on an industrial scale. 🧵
Nick Hudson tweet media
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Mensus
Mensus@medrededeng·
@Zwelinzima1 Climate change blamed when it comes to water. Same amount of dams yet the number of new developments taking place (residential, industrial and commercial) increasing dramatically. No notion of resource planning in government. Water levy increase loading.. timeslive.co.za/news/2025-12-3…
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Zwelinzima Vavi
Zwelinzima Vavi@Zwelinzima1·
Malls and Office Parks Are Not Empowerment Developments like Sandton, Rosebank and Waterfall reflect private capital investment, not people-centred transformation. Its rather ridiculous to claim the private sector driven development as the victory of government. Real empowerment must be seen in: • Township and rural industrial development • Public infrastructure jobs • Reliable water, electricity, transport and housing • Decent, permanent work — not casualised labour The government record measured against these is pathetic to put it mildly.
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