Meepo

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Meepo

@meepo86

Poof poof poof poof!

Katılım Kasım 2022
27 Takip Edilen62 Takipçiler
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John Bourscheid 🇺🇸 🚀
Elon’s mom caught posting from the perspective of Elon’s dad. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to assume Elon is posting on Twitter as both his parents & was on the wrong alt. The cringe deepens daily with this one.
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JaguarAnalytics
JaguarAnalytics@JaguarAnalytics·
FYI, we have a JaguarAnalytics channel in Telegram where all alerts plus selected important news and after hours action is discussed, feel free to join here: t.me/+VgxBh6LUfevm5…
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Meepo@meepo86·
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Meepo@meepo86·
@OHare888 @WesternUnion @solana Crypto is a scam. They dive into crypto when everyone is done with it. What’s next - collab with Tesla?
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Meepo
Meepo@meepo86·
@OHare888 Yawn crypto shmypto is soo yesterday. Bitcoins are for boomers
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poppa
poppa@popitforpoppa·
american assassins when its school kids donald trump
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Republicans against Trump
Republicans against Trump@RpsAgainstTrump·
Jimmy Kimmel: “Stephen Miller is so racist. The reason he went bald is because his hair was black.”
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MeidasTouch
MeidasTouch@MeidasTouch·
MAGA accounts tweet in unison about the need for a White House ballroom following WHCD incident
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Ted Lieu
Ted Lieu@tedlieu·
Dear @WhiteHouse: I’m Chinese American. I read donald trump’s racist post below. Please tell donald trump I said fuck you. See you in November.
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George Noble
George Noble@gnoble79·
I just sat down with @GordonJohnson19 and we did something that apparently nobody on Wall Street wants to do anymore: We valued Tesla like an actual BUSINESS. Not a narrative or a promise about what might happen in 2030. We took each of Tesla's 4 business segments, assigned them the valuation of the best comparable company in each category, and added it all up. I want to see how the Tesla cult argues against what we found out... Segment one: Optimus robots. Tesla's humanoid robots are teleoperated. There are videos of them falling over at exhibitions. They can barely serve popcorn. But let's be generous. Let's give Tesla the valuation of Figure AI - a company that actually has working AI robots you can buy today. Figure AI is valued at $39 billion. On Tesla's 3.75 billion shares outstanding, that's $10 a share. Segment two: FSD and robotaxis. Waymo has completed over 127 million fully autonomous miles without a driver behind the wheel. They did 15 million paid rides in 2025 alone. They operate commercially across 6 US cities. Tesla has done effectively ZERO reported fully autonomous miles at scale. But let's give Tesla Waymo's valuation of $100 billion anyway. That's $27 a share. So far we're at $37 for the two businesses the bulls say justify the entire market cap. Segment three: The auto business. Ford sold 4.5 million cars in 2025 and grew sales. Tesla sold 1.6 million and it was the second consecutive year of declining deliveries. But let's give Tesla Ford's market cap of $51 billion. That's $13 a share. Segment four: Energy. LG Electronics did $14.5 billion in gross profit last year. Tesla's energy business did $3.8 billion. But let's give Tesla LG's market cap of $14 billion. That's $4 a share. Add it all up: $10 + $27 + $13 + $4 = $54 a share That's being GENEROUS. That's assuming Tesla is best in class in every single segment. Better robots than the company with actual working robots. As good at autonomy as the company with 127 million autonomous miles. Worth as much as a car company that sells 3x more vehicles. $54. The stock is $387. The difference is literally $1.2 TRILLION. That is what the market is currently paying for Elon Musk's promises. Promises that he literally just pushed out again on the earnings call two days ago. And when the stock price finally breaks - the lawsuits are going to cascade. Right now, the stock price is keeping those lawsuits at bay. People don't sue when they're making money. But when the stock drops to $100, $80, $60 - those same owners are going to want a lot more than their FSD money back. The positive reflexivity that carried this stock runs in reverse. Cash flow goes negative. Market share keeps declining. The SpaceX IPO pulls attention and capital away. Momentum investors move on. And then the math that Gordon and I just walked through becomes the ONLY thing left. $54 if you're generous. $25 if you're not.
George Noble@gnoble79

Last night was the biggest disaster in the history of Tesla. Let me walk you through what actually happened on that earnings call, because the headlines are doing you a disservice: Elon Musk got on the call and admitted (his words) that Hardware 3 "simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD." He said he wished it were otherwise. He said the memory bandwidth is one-eighth of what Hardware 4 has. And that's the end of the conversation. Approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles on the road right now have Hardware 3. Many of those owners paid $8,000 to $15,000 for Full Self-Driving capability based on Musk's repeated promises (going back to 2016) that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. As recently as 2022, Musk was publicly assuring owners that HW3 had the processing power to get it done. BUT IT DIDN'T Those promises are now officially broken. The solution is a "discounted trade-in" toward a new car with Hardware 4. Not a refund or a free upgrade... A discount on buying ANOTHER Tesla. Investor Ross Gerber said it too - all HW3 owners got screwed, and with roughly 285,000 FSD purchasers affected, the potential liability runs into the BILLIONS. But that's not even the worst part. Musk was asked if the current FSD v14.3 was ready for unsupervised deployment. He said yes. Then immediately walked it back and admitted Tesla has "major architectural improvements" in the pipeline that would significantly improve safety. What he really means: the software isn't SAFE ENOUGH to deploy without a human watching. Full unsupervised FSD for consumer cars is pushed to Q4 2026. At the earliest... Maybe. How many times has this deadline been pushed? I've lost count. And trust me, I've seen a lot of broken promises. But this one takes the cake. Now let's talk about the numbers everyone is celebrating: Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue and $0.41 in non-GAAP earnings. A "double beat." The stock popped 4% after hours. Victory, right? WRONG Dig into the actual filing: The number one driver of operating income improvement wasn't cost reductions, wasn't volume growth, wasn't FSD revenue. It was - and Tesla listed this FIRST in their own shareholder letter - "one-time benefits related to warranty and tariffs." They released warranty reserves. They booked tariff refund windfalls. They stretched supplier payments by 10 days. They took on billions in new debt. Then they presented everything through non-GAAP metrics that strip out over $1 billion in stock-based compensation. GAAP net income was $477 million on $22.4 billion in revenue. That's a 2.1% net margin. On a $1.4 trillion market cap. Let me put that in perspective: 3.75 billion shares outstanding. Annualize the Q1 GAAP profit and you get roughly $1.9 billion. That's a trailing P/E ratio north of 700. Use the adjusted number - strip out stock comp, which is a REAL cost to shareholders through dilution - and you're still at around 250x earnings. All of this is extremely bad, but I didn't even talk about the CAPEX BOMB yet... 3 months ago, Tesla guided to "over $20 billion" in 2026 capital expenditure. Last night they raised it to over $25 billion. A $5 billion increase in a single quarter. That's 3x their historical annual capex run rate - $8.5 billion in 2025, $11.3 billion in 2024. The CFO confirmed on the call that Tesla expects NEGATIVE free cash flow for the rest of the year. So you have a company generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow on a good year, and they're about to spend $25 billion. The math doesn't work. They will almost certainly need to issue equity. Which means dilution. Which means the $1.9 billion in annual earnings gets spread across even MORE shares. The core auto business is literally deteriorating in real time: Tesla delivered 358,000 vehicles in Q1 (missed estimates again). They produced 408,000. That's 50,000 cars sitting on lots that nobody bought. Inventory days jumped from 10 to 27 in just a few quarters. California (their most important US market) saw registrations crash 24% year over year. Their market share in the state fell from 9.2% to 7.7%. That's on top of a Q1 2025 that was ALREADY weak from Model Y retooling. They're declining off a decline. And here's what really kills the bull case... The entire valuation rests on robotaxis, Optimus robots, and autonomy. So let's put numbers on it: Waymo - the actual leader in autonomous driving with 15 million completed rides in 2025 alone, over 127 million autonomous miles driven, operating commercially across 6 US cities with plans to expand to 20 more - just raised $16 billion at a $126 billion valuation. That's the market's verdict on what the LEADING robotaxi company is worth. $126 billion. And Waymo is YEARS ahead of Tesla in actual deployment. Tesla has 3.75 billion shares outstanding. So even if you assign $126 billion in robotaxi value (giving Tesla full credit for matching Waymo despite being nowhere close) that's $33 a share. Add the auto business at generous auto-industry multiples, maybe $20 a share. Throw in energy storage and services, $10-15. Sum of the parts gets you to roughly $65-70 a share if you're feeling generous. Maybe $50 if you're not. The stock is $387. So what exactly are you paying for? You're paying for a STORY. You're paying for PROMISES that keep getting pushed back, technology that keeps falling short, and a business plan that requires spending $25 billion a year while the core product sells fewer units at declining margins in a market where California sales just fell 24% and the federal EV tax credit is gone. I managed the number one mutual fund in America. I founded two billion-dollar hedge funds. I've been doing this since 1981. And I am telling you: Tesla at $387 is one of the most egregious mispricings I have seen in my entire career. THE CRASH WILL BE EPIC

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Anthony Varrell
Anthony Varrell@V_arrell·
Pam Bondi really was the PoS we all thought she was. $MSOS
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Brian Krassenstein
Brian Krassenstein@krassenstein·
Here’s the exact moment that police found cocaine on Steve Witkoff’s son Zach Witkoff, who also happens to be Donald Trump JR’s best friend as well as CEO of their crypto scheme partnership World Liberty Financial. Note that Steve Whitkoff is the top negotiator with Iran right now.
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James Tate
James Tate@JamesTate121·
This photo was from this week in Hungary. The man with JD circled in yellow is Paolo Zampolli. He’s the former owner of the NYC KitKat Club and was major supplier of little girls (including Melania Trump) to Epstein. He had his own wife deported by ICE! This makes me WANT TO PUKE! Via~~~Mike McKee
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Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
LMAO I swear this was the most brutal roasting of Trump so far I have ever seen he would go literally mad if he had seen this 😭😂🤣
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