Miad Maleki

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Miad Maleki

Miad Maleki

@miadmaleki

Senior Advisor @FDD | Sanctions Nerd | Former Treasury-OFAC Executive | USAF Veteran

Washington, DC Katılım Eylül 2022
211 Takip Edilen11.4K Takipçiler
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
1/15 President Trump is the first American president to come to the rescue of the Iranian people and stand against this tyranny. That takes courage and historic vision. What comes next can't be worse than the Islamic Republic. Believe me, I've lived there, and then witnessed firsthand while serving in the U.S. government how this regime destroyed this country, murdered, suppressed, and forced out tens of millions of generations of talented Iranians. As a transition away from the brutal regime is taking shape, here is a key issue that needs quick attention: Targeted, phased, and strategic sanctions relief will be essential to empower a democratic transitional government in Iran, one that can deliver stability, national unity, and territorial integrity.
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Andrea Stricker
Andrea Stricker@StrickerNonpro·
I realize neutrality is too much to ask for these days, but can we at least strive for accuracy? Iran never offered to turn over its enriched uranium stocks. To claim this ignores what Steve Witkoff has confirmed several times in his post-talks briefings and appearances.
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara

BOMBSHELL: Iran offered to give away ALL of its enriched uranium during peace talks in Geneva. The British thought it was a credible offer. Hours later, Trump started bombing Iran anyway. The US didn't want peace, they wanted war.

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Karim Sadjadpour
Karim Sadjadpour@ksadjadpour·
Israel is targeting the Islamic Republic’s pillars of repression. The question is whether these are structural pillars, or men who can be easily replaced. The regime’s deep unpopularity and isolation have hardened its resolve. CNN with @andersoncooper
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Israel Defense Forces
Israel Defense Forces@IDF·
🔴 COMMANDER OF THE BASIJ UNIT ELIMINATED Yesterday, the IDF targeted & eliminated Gholamreza Soleimani, who operated as commander of the Basij unit for the past 6 years. Under Soleimani, the Basij unit led the main repression operations in Iran, employing severe violence, widespread arrests, and the use of force against civilian demonstrators.
Israel Defense Forces tweet media
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Behnam Ben Taleblu بهنام بن طالب لو
Behnam Ben Taleblu بهنام بن طالب لو@therealBehnamBT·
🚨🚨The most realistic and empathetic assessment of the plight of unarmed (mentioned 2x) protesting Iranians I have seen from a sitting head of state. The only way to drive the next round of protests is to pave the pathway by drilling down against the regime’s security forces.
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh

🚨 Q: Iranians aren't rising up like you asked, what's up with that? PRESIDENT TRUMP: "They put out statements that if you protest, you will be shot and killed...the protestors have no guns." "It's very hard for them to protest. I fully understand it." "They killed 32,000 protestors, at least. We think the number's much higher than that." "Who were greatly enthusiastic and wanted to see a change...think of it. Shot and killed much more than 32,000. Now they put out a notice 'we're going to shoot and kill any protestor.' And protestors don't have guns." "I can fully understand why they're not doing it."

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Mark Dubowitz
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz·
Former Fifth Fleet commander VADM Kevin Donegan (USN-RET) on Hormuz: “I would say that if you look at the campaign CENTCOM initiated, this was built into it from the beginning.”
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
The "escape route" was never provided by the Islamic Republic. What the IRI built on Kharg is a garrison economy: workers serve the terminal, the terminal funds the IRGC, and the people are expendable. A U.S. presence that ends IRGC control over the island is, for the people there, a liberation. The regime has always treated Kharg Island's residents as hostages to its oil revenue. Iran's oil workers earn roughly $85–115/month in base wages, while the regime's own economists say a family needs ~$650/month to survive. Nearly half the Iranian population lives below the poverty line. Kharg's residents are not beneficiaries of the oil wealth beneath them. Also, I've seen reports of workers and engineers begging to be evacuated after the strikes. The regime's answer: no. Company managers are threatening disciplinary action against anyone who tries to leave.
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
1/4 Great question. The pipelines from mainland fields (Ahvaz, Marun, Gachsaran) to Kharg aren’t an escape route; they’re the dependency. Kharg doesn’t produce much oil itself; it receives it from the mainland via pipeline and loads it onto supertankers. Control Kharg, you control the exit valve for ~90% of Iran’s exports.
Jeff 🐊@JPriceOrlando

@miadmaleki @mdubowitz @TIME What about the pipelines from Kharg to the mainland? What happens there?

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Behnam Ben Taleblu بهنام بن طالب لو
Behnam Ben Taleblu بهنام بن طالب لو@therealBehnamBT·
💯. The Islamic Republic made a mistake. Time for America to capitalize on it by showing Qatar a better path. 2 great quotes to guide US strategy: - When your enemy is making a mistake, don’t interrupt him. (Napoleon Bonaparte) - Goodwill begets goodwill. (George H.W. Bush)
Jonathan Schanzer@JSchanzer

Qatar wants to bolster security partnership with US after Iran’s strikes. This is the moment to make clear what kind of behavior we don’t want to see from our terror-sponsoring, illicit-financing “friends” in Doha. english.alarabiya.net/News/gulf/2026…

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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
4/4 Bottom line: severing the Kharg export valve doesn’t just hurt Iran’s foreign exchange: it puts the regime in a position of managing fiscal collapse and labor insurrection simultaneously in the same geographic heartland where its oil production lives. That’s not a manageable situation.
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
3/4 Iran’s oil revenues account for over half the government budget. The moment NISOC cash flows stop, so do salaries. Iran has a well-documented history of oil worker strikes over unpaid wages; 2021 saw the largest labor unrest since the Revolution, with 120,000+ contract workers walking out across Khuzestan.
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
As I told @TIME, a U.S. military presence on Kharg would simultaneously⁠ ⁠guarantee freedom of navigation by dominating the northern Persian Gulf, give President Trump direct control over Iran’s oil sector, and create the physical precondition for redirecting Iranian oil from China to Western markets.
TIME@TIME

Kharg Island has become a strategic focus in the Iran War—and its fate could determine the direction of the conflict. time.com/article/2026/0…

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Mark Dubowitz
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz·
On @foxandfriends: President Trump is going after the financial lifeline of the regime — $78 billion in annual Iranian oil revenues. That’s 50% of regime’s annual state budget. That’s 3 years worth of budget for entire military-security-intelligence-terror apparatus.
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Mark Dubowitz
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz·
I was on @foxandfriends this morning: after the strike against Kharg Island, the president and the U.S. military may still have surprises in store for Iran—hitting the regime’s financial lifelines, missile infrastructure, repression apparatus & more. youtu.be/k0JokMW1s2k?si…
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YouTube
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
Merci! Shaheds alone are unlikely to sink supertankers, but they don’t need to, they just need to make the Strait too dangerous and costly to transit, and force US naval assets to deploy expensive interceptors. Combined with USV drones and mines, they form a layered denial strategy. That’s exactly why neutralizing the launchers, storage, and staging platforms, including Kharg, is the prerequisite for any safe demining or escort operation.
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Matin Mirramezani
Matin Mirramezani@matinmrz·
@miadmaleki Very insightful, thanks Miad jaan! Do Shaheds pose a serious threat to tankers, even if the mines were no longer an issue? They're plentiful, cheap, and can be launched from afar.
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
1/11 Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of coral in the northern Persian Gulf, but it handles ~90% of Iran's crude oil exports and earns Tehran the bulk of its ~$78B/year in energy revenue. President Trump called it Iran's "crown jewel." He's right.
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47

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Mark Dubowitz
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz·
To be clear: You don’t have to seize the oil. You only have to control Iran’s ability to export it. Kharg moves 80–90% of the regime’s crude—mostly to China—and generates roughly $78 billion annually for the regime. That is their economic jugular.
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz

Kharg Island is the regime’s economic jugular: 80–90% of Iran’s oil exports flow through it, much of it to China. The U.S. Air Force just took out the regime’s military defenses. Marines reportedly heading in. Over-under before Washington controls the regime’s oil?

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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
11/11 President Trump's message was unmistakable: "Should Iran, or anyone else, do anything to interfere with the Free and Safe Passage of Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider" sparing the oil infrastructure. Iran's 3-4% of global supply is dispensable. The 20% flowing through Hormuz is not. That's the calculus behind every strike on Kharg.
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Miad Maleki
Miad Maleki@miadmaleki·
10/11 The U.S. Navy or others can't effectively escort tankers through Hormuz until Iran's missile and drone threat is eliminated. Neutralizing Kharg's military assets, along with Bandar abbas, clears the path for Independence-class LCS minesweepers and counter-mine drones to safely demine the Strait and restore freedom of navigation.
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Keşfet

@andersoncooper @TIME @foxandfriends @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates