Kyle Michaels

90 posts

Kyle Michaels

Kyle Michaels

@micha85053

Katılım Kasım 2023
79 Takip Edilen9 Takipçiler
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@Mericamemed The Apple Store is about the same: I can’t just “walk in” and purchase product. There is some sort of dance required. I want this, here is money. Too complicated. I was successful, they did take my money, but it was weird
English
3
0
3
3K
MERICA MEMED
MERICA MEMED@Mericamemed·
This is the exact experience of what its like to buy a Rolex from an authorized dealer.
English
111
189
6.2K
772K
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@timsoret Maybe blue people are having a hard time with the one-shot aspect of this game. In the real world, the game does not end: How you behave in a game has downstream consequences, and people are rightfully conditioned to consider them, even if they should not in this case.
English
0
0
1
1.2K
Tim Soret
Tim Soret@timsoret·
Assuming no possible coordination: If everybody was rational, we would all individually pick red & be safe without needing coordination, trusting that the sum of individual interests would lead to the most optimized outcome. Except that many humans are irrational & dogmatic, and driven by idealistic / empathetic concerns, would pick blue, even if that requires coordination which is not guaranteed & which puts them as risk. Knowing this, even if you’re initially inclined to vote red, the actual moral choice, to avoid the death of those willingly putting their lives at risk, is to vote blue to maximize the chances of saving everybody. In short, if you know that others are not perfectly rational agents, to save them you have to go along with their irrationality, which is counter intuitive.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

English
508
51
1.1K
91.2K
Mike
Mike@Mike21538943329·
You can't fathom?? As a Christian father, you'd be deciding your children's vote. do you gaurantee the whole family lives along with everyone else voting red? Do you have them vote blue, risking likely death, for a chance they save others? Do you have them vote red to save them, but vote blue risking you leave them without parents? Do you gamble their life based on your estimation of how 1.5B chinese, 1.5B indians, and 1.5B africans will vote, as they dominate the vote? Is it on voting machines, with mail in, and no ID check (is there any reason to trust the vote totals)?
English
5
0
5
657
Sleepless in Agartha
Sleepless in Agartha@Lus_Headbanged·
@plainstriumph If you're a believing Christian, blue is obviously the correct choice. If you succeed, you've saved everyone. If you fail, you get to go to your Lord after trying to save everyone, and you don't have to live in a majority red button world. Win-win
English
6
0
33
1.2K
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@ZPostFacto No. It only included the people that understood the question. Their parents voted for them.
English
0
0
1
164
Fletcher Dunn
Fletcher Dunn@ZPostFacto·
In this hypothetical, does "everyone in the world" include toddlers? Suddenly the blue pushers dont seem so dumb. Are toddlers the only examples of human lives that have worth, but are incapable of solving game theory problems?
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

English
225
18
563
92.4K
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@peterrhague We also are in an age full of dirty commies. We wholly expect a majority to have suicidal empathy.
English
0
0
0
70
Peter Hague
Peter Hague@peterrhague·
Amazing how lots of self appointed game theory experts confidently asserting that blue is the stupid choice. But every time this poll is run blue wins. Not only is the “game theory” answer predicting the wrong outcome, its explanatory power is based on it being able to predict the right answer. So it’s doubly wrong.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

English
1.2K
191
4.3K
843K
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@feelsokayle @mattforney They only rescue blue voters, who should have voted red. Everyone wins if everyone votes red. This question is about helping people who do not want to be helped. They will drain your resolve until you’re resentful.
English
1
0
0
32
feelsokayle
feelsokayle@feelsokayle·
@mattforney There's a lot to learn here besides the math of the prisoner's dilemma. It's been proven that cooperation beats competition at scale, but not in small individual choices. What do people get by risking pressing blue? They hypothetically rescue others.
English
1
0
0
867
Matt Forney
Matt Forney@mattforney·
I wish I could block everyone who voted "blue" because you've demonstrated that you're incapable of understanding the prisoner's dilemma even when the math is taken out of it
Matt Forney tweet media
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

English
275
46
1.2K
104.2K
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@conflict_desk @pmarca @grok I assume all charities are mostly fraud. Restrict your charity to where you can see it spent and confirm it is helping rather than just making it worse.
English
0
0
3
119
Conflict Desk
Conflict Desk@conflict_desk·
@pmarca @grok (1/2) It’s a powerful suspicion but without evidence, it risks turning into a blanket distrust of all advocacy groups.
English
62
0
18
24.7K
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
So @grok, we all just discovered that the SPLC has allegedly been funding some of the worst of the people and groups it claims to oppose. What are other activist pressure groups that advocate censorship/deplatforming of their enemies that could be doing the same thing?
English
815
3.1K
17K
34.7M
Breanna Morello
Breanna Morello@BreannaMorello·
🚨BREAKING🚨 I just finished making French Onion Soup. I made the broth from scratch which is a beef bone marrow broth. 10 out of 10! 👩🏽‍🍳
English
365
75
1.6K
37.4K
Rev .Vitus
Rev .Vitus@Vitus_osst·
The first images of the moon, taken by the current Artemis II mission. Magnificent and fascinating." God is wonderful
English
554
986
5.8K
465.7K
Oilfield Rando
Oilfield Rando@Oilfield_Rando·
BREAKING: the DOD has released HARROWING footage of the F-15 Weapons Officer evading Iranian forces. Warning: footage may trigger deep emotional response
English
32
61
1K
92.3K
Derrick Evans
Derrick Evans@DerrickEvans4WV·
🚨 WATCH: A Video shows CJNG leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes “El Mencho” holding rival Adolfo Mendoza Valencia “El Michoacano” captive. The capture allegedly followed a dr*g seizure and civilian casualties, with CJNG vowing retaliation.
English
16
51
574
79.1K
John Carmack
John Carmack@ID_AA_Carmack·
256 Tb/s data rates over 200 km distance have been demonstrated on single mode fiber optic, which works out to 32 GB of data in flight, “stored” in the fiber, with 32 TB/s bandwidth. Neural network inference and training can have deterministic weight reference patterns, so it is amusing to consider a system with no DRAM, and weights continuously streamed into an L2 cache by a recycling fiber loop. The modern equivalent of the ancient mercury echo tube memories. You would need to pipeline a bunch of them to implement modern trillion parameter models, but fiber transmission may have a better growth trajectory than DRAM does today, so it might someday become viable. Much more practically, you should be able to gang cheap flash memory together to provide almost any read bandwidth you require, as long as it is done a page at a time and pipelined well ahead. That should be viable for inference serving today if flash and accelerator vendors could agree on a high speed interface.
English
462
693
10.2K
1.7M
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@Rainmaker1973 Finally! The technology of Ancient Greece for use in “remote regions”
English
0
0
1
249
Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
This ultra-small generator is highly portable and works even with shallow, slow moving water. Tested with powering street lights, it promises to allow the world’s remote regions to generate their own electricity [📹 Japan Video Topics]
English
54
720
3.3K
118K
MJTruthUltra
MJTruthUltra@MJTruthUltra·
Holy Shit… NEW: Watch the face of Scott Moe when Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says they’re entering a “New World Order” They don’t even hide it anymore. Right in everyone’s faces. rumble.com/v74eab4-pm-can…
English
250
1.1K
2.9K
1.1M
Kyle Michaels
Kyle Michaels@micha85053·
@adamcarolla Yikes! Iron rebar and concrete beside salt water? That willl last 10years, or less.
English
0
0
3
27
Adam Carolla
Adam Carolla@adamcarolla·
Want to see what a two and a half million dollar foundation looks like in California. This is for a 2000 sq ft single family house
English
1.8K
1.9K
19.7K
2.2M