mindlock

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mindlock

mindlock

@mindlocked1212

Katılım Mart 2022
260 Takip Edilen124 Takipçiler
mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@6abcadamjoseph hey @6abcadamjoseph any idea why NAM continues to climb? Obviously, 46 inches is not happening but seems so bizarre for the numbers to be climbing run after run...
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@DanBTC916 Spacex +XAi seems most likely. Interested to hear your take @DanBTC916 but it seems like Elon's new pay package requires Tesla to be a separate public company.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@AlternateJones Elon + Tesla Board spent like a year negotiating a pay package based entirely on market cap and operational milestones. You really think they will completely restructure that plan for a merger with Spacex after approving it literally 2 months ago?
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Alternate Jones
Alternate Jones@AlternateJones·
The mother of all mergers is coming …
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@teslayoda I think there is zero chance this happens. Elon negotiated the pay package with the board for what, 1 year? No way he gives up the market cap and operational milestones for a merger that would probably take years to materialize.
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Tesla Yoda
Tesla Yoda@teslayoda·
A Tesla–SpaceX merger makes sense if AI satellites are seen as solar-powered robots in space, built largely with Tesla tech: Tesla solar panels, Tesla Terafab chips, and Tesla-manufactured structural components. However, since SpaceX business outcomes aren't currently connected to Elon's new comp package, I doubt a full-on merger will happen. I think Tesla taking a stake in SpaceX is more likely.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@ZacksJerryRig @DBurkland With all due respect @ZacksJerryRig why would Tesla update HW3 cars not knowing what the actual requirements for FSD will be? We are seeing in real time the required hardware for FSD change like camera washers. You dont think it makes sense to fully decide on requirements first?
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@NWS_MountHolly How are you giving Philly a 76% chance of a foot or more and all the local whether stations have much different totals?
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NWS Mount Holly
NWS Mount Holly@NWS_MountHolly·
Snow may mix with or change to sleet or freezing rain across portions of SE PA, S NJ, and the Delmarva Sunday. This may hinder snow totals some, but significant impacts are expected nonetheless. Full briefing available at: weather.gov/media/phi/curr… #PAwx #NJwx #MDwx #DEwx (2/2)
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NWS Mount Holly
NWS Mount Holly@NWS_MountHolly·
Confidence continues to increase in a major winter storm impacting the region Saturday night through early Monday afternoon. Major impacts from accumulating snow are likely areawide. (1/2)
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Dan ⚡️
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916·
@arkive_tech It’s a lower probability scenario, but that will require a complete disappointment in the next 2 earnings calls, significant delays in Robotaxi scaling, 20%+ pullback in SPX.
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Dan ⚡️
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916·
Here’s our plan for $TSLA in 2026 using XY Strategy to accumulate shares, calls, and LEAPs. Y Axis Accumulation Range: $430 to $200 Factoring in all scenarios and valuation. Anything is possible in markets X Axis Accumulation Period: Jan to October 30th, 2026 It will take time for Tesla to scale Robotaxi and CyberCab. In case TSLA chops in a range, we will accumulate over time. Options will follow the XY Strategy, but with more caution due to time decay and volatility. In terms of the price range and accumulation period, we think this gives us a good opportunity to slowly add more shares and calls while taking advantage of volatility before Tesla rerates higher later in 2026 and into 2027. We have cash ready after closing out all of our calls during the rally to the upper $400s in Dec. Will post at a high level our accumulation for followers. Detailed plan, live updates, unfiltered thoughts, and much more available for Subs.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@DanBTC916 When do you think SPX enters a 10% pullback? This quarter?
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Dan ⚡️
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916·
I’m quite impressed my $TSLA prediction for Q4 2025 posted back in August 2025 has played out almost perfectly! Overall expecting a re-accumulation phase in H1 2026 in the $400s to $300s. If TSLA significantly disappoints Q4 2025 earnings (Robotaxi progress, complete miss on estimates), the $SPX enters a 10% to 20% pullback, the narrative could turn very bearish and $250 could be tested. Zooming out, we still think TSLA is in a 3 year+ Wyckoff Accumulation, which should conclude sometime in H2 2026, driven by Robotaxi scaling significantly and Tesla returning to growth. Since October 2025, price and volume is suggesting TSLA has been in a Wyckoff Distribution phase as every higher high had diminishing volume and bearish divergence in CVD. Over the next few weeks, Tesla is reporting Q4 2025 earnings and that should be the catalyst that could trigger the completion of Wyckoff Distribution, leading to Mark Down, which begins the H1 2026 re-accumulation phase we have been anticipating since August 2025. Near it’s hard to see a sustainable rally above $500 without Robotaxi scaling and earnings growing. If we continue to see bearish divergence on near term rallies and lower highs being made, that further validates Wyckoff Distribution. We are holding 100% of our shares and will hedge part of our position with Puts when conditions are optimal (details available for Subscribers). Note, I posted this chart before Musk disclosed his $1B purchase of TSLA on 9/15/25. The blue line is just a general estimate of what we should expect. TSLA could fall significantly lower if we see a disappointing earnings, Robotaxi delays, or the media pushing a declining auto business which negatively impacts earnings.
Dan ⚡️ tweet media
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916

Here’s why I think $TSLA is heading to $600+ in late 2026: Here is a visualization of my $TSLA Q3/Q4 2025, H1 2026 consolidation, and anticipated H2 2026 breakout. This is what I realistically expect after mapping out every possible #Tesla and macro related catalyst and information I have available now. Thread 🧵

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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@ChrisDungeon $250 would be amazing if it hits again, low likelihood though imo
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Christopher Dungeon
Christopher Dungeon@ChrisDungeon·
Rolled 1% of $TSLA position into cash on Dec 31st. Waiting on a dip between now and Cybercab's April production ramp. Any major delay in deploying Cybercab or expanding Robotaxi will send TSLA lower in the short term. Buyer at $250 and under. Wise to never say never with TSLA.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@TSLAFanMtl I think Q1 will be the real test. This is historically Tesla’s worst quarter and I’m not sure the standard variants are helping much. They still need to make money to fund the autonomy build out.
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James Cat
James Cat@TSLAFanMtl·
Stock up +2% on so-so deliveries and another year of negative vehicle sales. If it wasn't already clear to everyone, car sales don't really matter much anymore.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@DanBTC916 You think $300 range is back in the cards or long gone?
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Dan ⚡️
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916·
@arkive_tech Agreed. Made that very clear in my 2025 Outlook posted in August.
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@AnthonyDiBs @SawyerMerritt The updating cars overnight is not the issue. Don’t they need regulatory approval in every state/city to even allow this update to function legally?
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Anthony DiBenedetto
Anthony DiBenedetto@AnthonyDiBs·
@SawyerMerritt A single software update that will instantly turn a depreciating liability into an income-generating asset. Long $TSLA
Anthony DiBenedetto tweet media
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
Morgan Stanley in new $TSLA note: "We expect Tesla to increase its Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles on the road in 2026. By the end of 2035 we expect Tesla to have 1 million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities." It's gonna be a hell of a lot more than that lol
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
Morgan Stanley expects Tesla $TSLA to have roughly 1K fully self-driving robotaxis on the road next year. Here are the three robotaxi tailwinds they’re watching: 1. The inflection point is when Tesla removes safety monitors entirely and opens rides to the public. Every software update is pushing them closer and once one city allows it the regulatory dominoes start to fall. 2. To expand state-by-state in 2026, Tesla needs logged miles without safety drivers where crash rates and interventions keep trending down. If safety improves as the system takes over more driving then regulatory resistance weakens fast. 3. The Cybercab is a purpose-built robotaxi with no steering wheel or pedals built through Tesla’s “unboxed” manufacturing system. Lower parts count plus lower capex per unit means cheaper vehicles, faster ramp & better unit economics for an autonomous fleet. Productions starts April 2026
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@amitisinvesting How exactly is the run healthier? Earnings are still not growing and still zero indication of when they will accelerate again.
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$TSLA Ironically, Tesla hit ATHs of $488.54 last year on…December 17th. Would be quite poetic to see it get back there either today or tomorrow. While we are seeing a rotation out of tech, looks like the street wants more exposure to physical AI and the robotaxis in Austin were evidence over the weekend of that reality becoming more real. However, the Dec 17th high was also the short term top for Tesla last year as well. It does feel like a much healthier run to the $480s this time. $TSLA now +24% YTD and +125% since Tim Waltz called the bottom
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@ChrisDungeon Agreed. Tesla needs to actually get moving to make revenue growth possible next year imo. We are still stuck at like 20 robotaxis in Austin I believe?
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Christopher Dungeon
Christopher Dungeon@ChrisDungeon·
@arkive_tech Anything can happen in between now and a Wall Street re-rating. 40-50% retracement to sub-$300 is not out of the question. Most volatile stock there is in the short term.
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Christopher Dungeon
Christopher Dungeon@ChrisDungeon·
Don't jinx a new ATH for $TSLA 🤫🤐
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mindlock
mindlock@mindlocked1212·
@DanBTC916 Do you think this all comes back with the delivery report in 3 weeks? I don’t expect it to be good honestly and they are even discounting standard models apparently
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Dan ⚡️
Dan ⚡️@DanBTC916·
$TSLA breaking the $460s making near term higher highs. CVD firmly positive so far today. Overall looking good.
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