Mit Patel

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Mit Patel

Mit Patel

@mmpatel101

Building Exposure Tape

Toronto, Ontario Katılım Haziran 2024
20 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
Most traders think they’re trading price. They’re not. They’re trading dealer hedging, and they can’t see it. That’s why moves feel random. I’m building Exposure Tape to show where pressure actually is. If you care about greeks, 0DTE, and how the tape moves, follow along!
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@Tradytics Tight range plus split flow on OPEX is pin behavior — strangles work, directional setups don't. Range stays compressed until the expiry weight rolls off, then the real lean shows up.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@Mr_Derivatives That kinda one-day move means IV's stretched — every OTM call is priced for another leg. Selling premium against it tends to print better than chasing it long up here.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$BOT interesting new name here. Up 27% already today. Robotics plays. Next big thing? Watchlist.
Sun Liao@sunxliao

Every major tech company on Earth is now building a humanoid... pay attention. $BOT is already up almost 2X from my post 2 days ago. Follow the right traders on X and start preparing. Let me explain in more detail... $TSLA has Optimus. Figure raised at $40B recently. Apptronik is shipping Apollo. 1X has Neo. Unitree is selling them on the internet for $16K. China has Unitree, Xpeng, Xiaomi, BYD all in the race. This is no longer a "maybe one day" technology. It's a "who ships first and at what cost" race. The math is what makes it nuts though... Goldman thinks the humanoid market hits $38B by 2035. Morgan Stanley says 1 billion humanoids by 2050. Tesla says they could ship a million Optimus units a year by 2030. Pick whichever number you want and the trade is still massive. But here is the part that makes this different from every other "next big thing" theme... Humanoids actually solve a real problem the world is screaming about. We don't have enough workers. The US has 8 million open jobs. Japan is short 6 million workers by 2030. China's working age population peaked 10 years ago and is falling fast. Warehouses, factories, elder care, fast food, logistics, all of it needs labor that does not exist. Humanoids walk straight into that gap. And the second order trade is where the real money lives... Just like NVDA created the AI trade and the suppliers compounded faster than NVDA itself... Tesla and Figure are creating the humanoid trade and the suppliers are about to do the same thing. Lidar. Vision chips. Precision motors. Actuators. Edge AI silicon. Batteries. Start looking into these tickers, many of which we've already been talking about for months... $AEVA $ALNT $AMBA $AMBQ $ARBE $ATOM $AUR $CGNX $HG $INDI $ISRG $KITT $KLIC $LSCC $MBLY $MRAM $NEO $NOVT $OUST $RR $SERV $SYM $VPG $XPEV $ZBRA Every humanoid is basically a walking shopping list. Most of these supplier names are small cap, ignored, and trading at AI 2022 valuations. Not AI 2026 valuations. The repricing window is wide open. And the people positioned in the suppliers now are going to look like geniuses 18 months from now IMO. Will of course keep updating... Stay tuned.

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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@SPXGAMMA 0.34 GTS with calls leading is bullish but stretched — small reject at 7450 and the call OI starts working against itself. Watch if put OI builds at 7430, that's where the positioning case actually breaks.
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SPXGAMMA
SPXGAMMA@SPXGAMMA·
SPX GEX shows bullish momentum, now with a moderate strength of 0.36, gaining further ground without change. Daily dynamic high at 7470 and low at 7400 are key targets for option sellers. Watch resistance at 7450 and support at 7430 for significant reactions. The option flow is robustly positive as calls lead, reinforcing strong upward gamma trend.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@MenthorQpro 54% GEX drop with the flip sitting right at spot = the cushion's gone. Below 7420 the regime flips and moves get amplified instead of dampened. Above 7420 it's still pinned, but barely.
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Menthor Q
Menthor Q@MenthorQpro·
SPX liquidity remains in a positive gamma environment, but dealer exposure is fading fast. Net GEX dropped over 54% since yesterday, put volume continues to lead, and key support/gamma flip levels are now sitting right near spot around 7420.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@traderhc Bear steepener with vol still underpricing the move is the tell. This is the dip where you stop buying delta and start buying vol — if FOMC minutes lean hawkish Wed, IV catches up fast and every blind dip-buy gets handed back.
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TraderHC
TraderHC@traderhc·
Three hot prints in three days and the "stocks don't care about yields" narrative just died at 48 hours old. Tuesday's 3x PPI beat? Market shrugged, $SPY closed green near all-time highs. Today Empire State doubles estimates and Industrial Production prints more than double consensus. Market pukes. The 10Y moved 12 basis points on a regional manufacturing survey. Not CPI. Not payrolls. A regional survey. That's the bond market telling you it's done giving equities a free pass on hot data. The 30Y sitting above 5.10% is where things get uncomfortable. The 2s10s spread went from 53bps Tuesday to 60bps today. Bear steepener. The one configuration that grinds risk assets down without giving you recession cover to expect cuts. TLT down 1.37% while gold drops nearly 3%. This isn't a fear event. It's a real yield repricing. Everything correlating to a single variable: rate cuts are dead for now. I think FOMC Minutes on Wednesday become the week's landmine. If there's any hawkish lean in those transcripts, the 10Y pushes toward 4.65% and equities have another leg down before anyone buys this dip. Is this the dip you buy, or the one where "buying every dip" finally stops working?
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@Tradytics OPEX tape always looks like this — flow flips every 20 min because half the prints are roll/unwind, not real bets. The clean read comes Monday once today's expiries are off the board. Hard to trust anything intraday today.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@CheddarFlow OTM call buys at that premium with that size is somebody paying for convex upside, not closing shorts. NVDA + QQQ together reads as a tech beta bet, not a single-name catalyst play. Watch if it follows through into the close.
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Cheddar Flow
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow·
$4M+ $NVDA & $QQQ calls were just added
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@QuantData Puts leading $17M across the curve on OPEX is a lot. Tells you whether it's hedges rolling off or fresh downside bets — watch if 0DTE put premium richens into PM. Rich = real positioning, fade = just unwind.
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Quant Data
Quant Data@QuantData·
🚨 Net Drift update on $SPY: 0DTE puts lead calls by $500k+ 7DTE puts lead calls by $200k+ <=90DTE puts lead calls by $17M+
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@AUaussieF @Mr_Derivatives Just been derisking and taking profits, as we get near the bottom of the pullback load up on tech/AI leveraged ETFs…
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@CheddarFlow During the dotcom everyone wanted to get into it, right now barely anyone knows, uses or understands AI. No one is in it yet
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@NoRiskNoPremium Understanding position rather than predicting where price will move will get you so much further
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No Risk No Premium™
No Risk No Premium™@NoRiskNoPremium·
Unpopular opinion: Most people in 0DTE options don't have an edge. They have a direction and a prayer. An edge is: → Defined levels before the open → A setup with clear invalidation → Position sizing that doesn't blow you up when you're wrong Direction is not a strategy
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ITM Banks
ITM Banks@MyBankIsFat·
best trading month of my life $SPY 🏌🏽‍♂️ this is 6+ years of work
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@BeardoTrader The market is a like that just goes up, just a waiting game
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Beardo
Beardo@BeardoTrader·
Buying the $SPY dip has a 100% success rate, let that sink in...
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$SPX The next 2% pullback will feel like a 10% one. The next 3% pullback will feel like a 15% one. The next 5% pullback will feel like a 20% one.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@JesseCohenInv Wall Street is on a "fresh ATH" streak. Bears are on a "tomorrow for sure" streak. Both are loyal.
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Jesse Cohen
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv·
Another day another record high on Wall Street $SPY $QQQ 🚀
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Andrew Hiesinger
Andrew Hiesinger@AndrewHiesinger·
What a surprise, positive Gamma Exposure across the board on $SPY. There's quite a bit of exposure at $745, with the MVC at $750. I expect support around $745 with a potential move to $750 today. I am not particularly interested in any downside, waiting for news out of China.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@ShardiB2 Two for two on the same call. The tape is doing all the work, you're just collecting tickets lol.
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@MyBankIsFat 748C at .45 is the trader's way of saying "I'll either screenshot this or delete X."
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ITM Banks
ITM Banks@MyBankIsFat·
$SPY 748C @.45 lotto size
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Mit Patel
Mit Patel@mmpatel101·
@Tradytics Pre-open levels matter most when aggregate is clustered and daily isn't — the unclustered side is where gap moves get extension, the clustered side is where they fade.
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