Mit Patel
249 posts

Mit Patel
@mmpatel101
Building Exposure Tape
Toronto, Ontario Katılım Haziran 2024
20 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
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@Tradytics Tight range plus split flow on OPEX is pin behavior — strangles work, directional setups don't. Range stays compressed until the expiry weight rolls off, then the real lean shows up.
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Good day to go stare at the sun. Flow all over the place (very typical for OPEX). Couple bullish DTE looks, a couple of bearish ones. $SPY hanging in a tighter range.

Tradytics@Tradytics
Calls chasing puts, back and for PA for $SPY. OPEX shenanigans.
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@Mr_Derivatives That kinda one-day move means IV's stretched — every OTM call is priced for another leg. Selling premium against it tends to print better than chasing it long up here.
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SPX GEX shows bullish momentum, now with a moderate strength of 0.36, gaining further ground without change. Daily dynamic high at 7470 and low at 7400 are key targets for option sellers. Watch resistance at 7450 and support at 7430 for significant reactions. The option flow is robustly positive as calls lead, reinforcing strong upward gamma trend.

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@MenthorQpro 54% GEX drop with the flip sitting right at spot = the cushion's gone. Below 7420 the regime flips and moves get amplified instead of dampened. Above 7420 it's still pinned, but barely.
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Three hot prints in three days and the "stocks don't care about yields" narrative just died at 48 hours old.
Tuesday's 3x PPI beat? Market shrugged, $SPY closed green near all-time highs. Today Empire State doubles estimates and Industrial Production prints more than double consensus. Market pukes.
The 10Y moved 12 basis points on a regional manufacturing survey. Not CPI. Not payrolls. A regional survey.
That's the bond market telling you it's done giving equities a free pass on hot data.
The 30Y sitting above 5.10% is where things get uncomfortable. The 2s10s spread went from 53bps Tuesday to 60bps today. Bear steepener. The one configuration that grinds risk assets down without giving you recession cover to expect cuts.
TLT down 1.37% while gold drops nearly 3%. This isn't a fear event. It's a real yield repricing. Everything correlating to a single variable: rate cuts are dead for now.
I think FOMC Minutes on Wednesday become the week's landmine. If there's any hawkish lean in those transcripts, the 10Y pushes toward 4.65% and equities have another leg down before anyone buys this dip.
Is this the dip you buy, or the one where "buying every dip" finally stops working?
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@Tradytics OPEX tape always looks like this — flow flips every 20 min because half the prints are roll/unwind, not real bets. The clean read comes Monday once today's expiries are off the board. Hard to trust anything intraday today.
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Calls chasing puts, back and for PA for $SPY. OPEX shenanigans.

Tradytics@Tradytics
Little bit of mixed flow (slightly bearish) about 30 into the session. Let's give it some time to settle in and digest this drop!
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@CheddarFlow OTM call buys at that premium with that size is somebody paying for convex upside, not closing shorts. NVDA + QQQ together reads as a tech beta bet, not a single-name catalyst play. Watch if it follows through into the close.
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@QuantData Puts leading $17M across the curve on OPEX is a lot. Tells you whether it's hedges rolling off or fresh downside bets — watch if 0DTE put premium richens into PM. Rich = real positioning, fade = just unwind.
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@AUaussieF @Mr_Derivatives Just been derisking and taking profits, as we get near the bottom of the pullback load up on tech/AI leveraged ETFs…
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@mmpatel101 @Mr_Derivatives Love this, spot on mate. Positioning’s everything, keen to hear how you’re set up if we get a pullback?
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The stock market has fully eliminated bears.
zerohedge@zerohedge
There it is: the Nasdaq's "dirty sharpe" ratio just hit the highest ever (basically means there are no more pullbacks).
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@CheddarFlow During the dotcom everyone wanted to get into it, right now barely anyone knows, uses or understands AI. No one is in it yet
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@NoRiskNoPremium Understanding position rather than predicting where price will move will get you so much further
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@BeardoTrader The market is a like that just goes up, just a waiting game
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@JesseCohenInv Wall Street is on a "fresh ATH" streak. Bears are on a "tomorrow for sure" streak. Both are loyal.
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@AndrewHiesinger GEX across the board = the regime is bored of bears at this point.
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WE DID IT AGAIN
$SPY calls from yesterday at .50c
ARE NOW $2
TWO DAYS IN A ROW!!!! NO ONE DOING IT BETTER
#teamshardi
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@MyBankIsFat 748C at .45 is the trader's way of saying "I'll either screenshot this or delete X."
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@Tradytics Pre-open levels matter most when aggregate is clustered and daily isn't — the unclustered side is where gap moves get extension, the clustered side is where they fade.
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Almost time!
Here are our early $SPY levels to keep an eye on.

Tradytics@Tradytics
Heading into tomorrow our $SPY aggregate is a bit more clustered, while the daily is wide open with a huge positive bar to keep an eye on a little below price. As always, keep an eye on flow and Convergence!
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